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Thursday, November 7, 2013

Where The ROK Was Right & Where India Went Wrong

As Jitendra Singh, India’s Minister of State for Defence, accompanied by Avinash Chander, Scientific Adviser to India’s Defence Minister plus Secretary of the MoD’s Department of Defence Research & Development plus Director-General of the MoD’s Defence R & D Organisation (DRDO), toured the various pavilions hosting Made-in-Republic of Korea (ROK) exhibits during the International Aerospace and Defence Exhibition (ADEX-2013) at the KINTEX expo site in Seoul between October 29 and November 3, 2013, they must have wondered exactly how the DRDO’s counterpart in the ROK, the Daejon-based Agency for Defense Development (ADD) has, since the 1980s, managed much faster turnaround times when it came to exploratory development and systems development schedules for new-generation weapon systems. Just sample the following comparative track-records:  
The Cheongung (Iron Hawk) MR-SAM (above) co-developed by a consortium of entities that included Russia’s Almaz Design Bureau, the ADD, LIG Nex1, Samsung-THALES and Doosan DST, was developed within a five-year period and entered the series-production phase last year. In Russia, the Cheongung will soon be produced as the S-350E Vityaz.
The ADD and LIG Nex1, in the mid-1990s, co-developed the 180km-range Hyunmu-1 surface-to-surface battlefield support missile (SSBSM), followed by the 300km-range Hyunmu-2 SSBSM and the 1,000km-range Hyunmu-3 LACM (below), all within a decade.
The ADD, along with ROTEM and Samsung-THALES, began co-developing 61-tonne K-2 Black Panther main battle tank (above) in 1995 at a cost of US$230 million and by March 2007 the K-2 had entered limited series-production. Following this, in June 2007, the ROK and Turkey successfully negotiated a contract worth $540 million under which a re-engineered K-2 will be licence-built in Turkey as the Altay MBT.
The ADD, along with Korea Aerospace Industries (KAI), began co-developing the KT-1 ‘Woongbi’ basic turboprop trainer (below) in 1988. By June 1991, nine prototypes were built, and the KT-1’s maiden flight took place in November 1991. The first of 85 KT-1s meant for the ROKAF was delivered in 2000 and between April 2003 and May 2005, 27 KT-1Bs had been exported to Indonesia. In June, 2007, Turkey ordered 55 KT-1Ts while in November 2012, Peru contracted KAI for the procurement of 20 KT-1Ps worth $208 million.
In 1992, work began on developing the T-50 Golden Eagle (below) multi-role combat aircraft (under the KTX-2 project), with 70% of the R & D effort being funded by the ROK government, with KAI picking up the tab for 17% of the required funds and Lockheed Martin the remaining 13%. The T-50’s maiden flight took place in August 2002 and by December 2003 the ROKAF had placed orders for 25 T-50s. The T-50 entered active service with the ROKAF in 2005. In May 2011, Indonesia ordered 16 TA-50Is worth $400 million, and deliveries commenced in September 2013.
In less than a decade, the ADD along with LIG Nex1 has developed and delivered three types of ASW weapons: the Blue Shark lightweight torpedo (below), the Red Shark vertically launched anti-submarine rocket, and the Tiger Shark wire-guided heavyweight torpedo).
The Chun-ma (Pegasus) SHORADS, co-developed by the ADD, LIG Nex1, Doosan DST and Samsung-THALES between 1989 and 1999, has since evolved into the Crotale Mk3 (below) and uses the LIG Nex1-developed DS-20K missile. 42% of the R & D work on vectronics was done by Samsung and 58% by THALES.
The C-Star subsonic anti-ship cruise missile (above) was co-developed by the ADD and LIG Nex1 between 1996 and 2003, with exploratory R & D work being undertaken between 1996 and 1998, followed by systems development between 1999 and 2003. On the other hand, the Ray Bolt ATGM’s exploratory R & D effort lasted from 2007 till 2009, while systems development work began in 2009 and will end next year.   
 

India’s Track-Record Thus Far
Since the time the programme for indigenously developing the ‘Tejas’ multi-role light combat aircraft (LCA) was initiated in August 1983, when India’s Ministry of Defence (MoD) sanctioned an interim R & D expenditure of Rs5.6 billion for carrying out the project definition phase (PDP), it has cost India Rs140.47 billion—spent over a period of 28 years—to acquire the core technological and industrial competencies required for producing a home-grown MRCA. In the process a total of 40 laboratories owned by the DRDO, 25 academic institutions, 300 public-/private-sector companies, and a combined design/engineering team made up of 600 personnel had to be roped in to realise the national dream of developing a fourth-generation MRCA for both the Indian Air Force (IAF) and Indian Navy (IN).
Despite such efforts, the production-series versions of the Tejas are not yet available, nor are their flight simulators and various automated test equipment (ATE)—required for the intermediate avionics workshops—anywhere near to being delivered to the IAF, while drafting of the 30 MRO and six flight manuals is nowhere near completion. Suffice to say that without all these, the IAF just cannot initiate the process of service induction of the Tejas Mk1 MRCA, i.e. operational conversion, be it initial or final, remains a distant pipedream.  
Following a 25-year R & D effort costing Rs 10 billion ($200 million), series-production of the 25km-range Akash-1 extended short-range air-defence missile system (E-SHORADS) continues at a snail’s pace, with delivery schedules not being adhered for both the IAF—its launch customer, and the Indian Army (IA). The first IAF order for two Akash-1 squadrons, valued at Rs 12.21 billion, was placed in May 2009 and comprised 250 missile rounds, 36 AAFL-1 wheeled launchers (built by TATA Power’s Strategic Electronics Division), nine battery command centres, nine Rajendra L-band passive phased-array target engagement radars, and nine S-band Rohini 3-D central acquisition radars. The second order from the IAF, valued at Rs 42.79 billion ($925 million) came in November 2009 for an additional two squadrons, which included 750 missile rounds. This was followed in January 2010 by the third order, this time for six squadrons. Prime contractor for the IAF-specific Akash-1 E-SHORADS is the MoD-owned Bharat Electronics Ltd (BEL), with Hyderabad-based Bharat Dynamics Ltd (BDL) being the principal sub-contractor.
The IA in late 2011 had placed an order for up to nine Regiments of Akash-1, valued at Rs 125 billion ($2.8 billion), approval for which was obtained in June 2010 from the MoD’s Defence Acquisitions Council (DAC). The Union Cabinet Committee on National Security (CCNS) on March 17, 2011 cleared the induction of an initial two Akash-1 Regiments valued at Rs 14.18 billion, each with six Batteries.
It was in July 1983 that the IA finalised its General Staff Qualitative Requirement (GSQR) for the 214mm Pinaka-1 multi-barrel rocket launcher (MBRL) system, with service induction being targetted from 1994 at a rate of one Regiment per annum. R & D work began in December 1986, following the sanctioning of Rs 264.7 million in R & D funds. Targetted date for systems development was December 1992. However, it was only on March 29, 2006 that the IA awarded Tata Power SED and Larsen & Toubro’s Heavy Engineering Division a $45 million contract to produce the first 40 Pinaka-1 MBRLs.
The DRDO’s project to develop an L-band ‘Swathi’ weapon locating radar (WLR) at a cost of $49 million got the green light in April 2002, with the DRDO promising to complete all R & D work within 40 months so that BEL could commence deliveries of the 42 WLRs as projected by the IA. However, while all R & D work was completed in only late 2011, the IA is now having second thoughts about procuring the ‘Swathi’ and has instead decided to float global RFPs for procuring 29 WLRs worth $285.3 million through the competitive bidding process.   
The Nag ATGM, developed at a cost of Rs 17 billion since 1983, is nowhere near service-entry. Its THALES-designed and supplied uncooled long-wave infra-red (LWIR) seeker was only last year re-engineered to incorporate a new-generation focal plane array (FPA) supplied by Sofradir of France.
It was in September 1988 that the IA felt the need for tactical unmanned aerial vehicles (UAV). The IA finalised its GSQR in May 1990, following which the DRDO’s Aeronautical Development Establishment (ADE) began R & D work on the 380kg Nishant UAV. Despite the first technology demonstration UAV making its maiden flight in 1995, the IA placed its first orders for 12 Nishants in only May 2007. Similarly, the Lakshya pilotless target aircraft, under development by the ADE since the late 1980s, entered the series-production stage in only mid-2007 and to date only 27 units have been ordered by the IA, IN and IAF from the MoD-owned Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd (HAL). And in late 2011, the DRDO promised to deliver to the IA an all-singing-and-dancing version of the Rustom-1 MALE-UAV—equipped with a belly-mounted optronic payload—by 2014. Also to be delivered by then will be a version of the Nishant tactical UAV (also equipped with a belly-mounted optronic payload) sporting a wheeled tricycle undercarriage.
After incurring an R & D expenditure of $62.5 million since 1983, the DRDO officially terminated the project to develop the ‘Trishul’ SHORADS on February 27, 2008.
It was in the late 1980s that the DRDO’s Vizag-based Naval Science and Technological Laboratory (NSTL) initiated R & D work on developing three types of torpedoes: a lightweight torpedo, a heavyweight electric torpedo, and a heavyweight thermal torpedo. The first, known Torpedo Advanced Light (TAL) was meant to be a 220kg torpedo capable of being launched from warships and helicopters, have a top speed of 33 Knots in both deep and shallow waters, incorporate a self-homing guidance system, and was to be powered by electric batteries which would last for six minutes. It was only in 1998 that the TAL’s technical trials began, while user-trials commenced only by 2007. The IN began service-inducting the BDL-built TALs only two years ago.  
It was on December 24, 2008 that the NSTL had stated that the ‘Varunastra’ heavyweight electric torpedo being developed by it will be ready for service-entry by 2009. The Varunastra, weighing 1.5 tonnes, having a length of 7.6 metres and a 30km-range, was meant to be launched from shipborne twin-tube launchers already developed indigenously by Larsen & Toubro. However, it was only on September 26, 2013 that the NSTL stated that it had completed the creation of state-of-the-art facilities required for the design, testing and prototype production of heavyweight torpedoes like the Varunastra, meaning user-trials of the Varunastra are still two years away.
Similar is the case of the NSTL-developed Shakti thermal torpedo that runs on monopropellant fuel, which can burn without oxygen and so is useful in underwater operations. Under development since 1996, the NSTL took nearly seven years to develop the engine and fuel for Shakti. The monopropellant fuel can generate 400kW of power and enable the Shakti to move at faster speeds (almost double that of an electric torpedo) and at depths of up to 600 metres. Technical trials of the Shakti are still underway in shallow waters, and user-trials won’t commence till 2016 at best.
 
So When And Where Did And Does
India Go Wrong?
(to be concluded)

208 comments:

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Prasun K. Sengupta said...

To SUJOY MAJUMDAR: Trouble with these folks is that they’re totally incapable of conversing in a coherent manner & always adopt a patronising attitude in their perceived all-knowing wisdom.

To RAW13: JF-17 MRCA can carry only two CM-400AKG ASMs in underwing pylons. However, the JF-17 squadron tasked with maritime strike will be armed with C-802A ASCMs (shown at Dubai 2013 along with JF-17), not CM-400AKG.

To Anon@5.25PM: All domestic warship construction programmes have cost overruns. IAC-1 is therefore not an exception.

To ABS: Folks like Hamid Gul are ardent believers in the concept of ‘defiance & brinksmanship’ of the type practices by DPRK, Iran not too long ago, & Cuba not too long ago. Suffice to say that now the tables have been completely overturned since even Gul in his wildest imagination could not visualise a rapproachment between the US/EU & Iran. If Iran really were to give up its nuclear weaponisation option, then it will definitely on Pakistan’s nuclear weaponisation as well. Today Iran & Pakistan are like petrol & diesel, given the rampant sectarian strife within Pakistan. Therefore, the US/EU & of course India will definitely prefer to use Iran’s good services to make inroads into Central Asia, where Iran’s cultural & linguistic influence still prevails to a large extent. This will also have a spillover effect within Gilgit-Baltistan, where most of the Muslims are either Shias or Ismailis.

To SS: Most of your answers will be in the latest thread (already uploaded).

To RAD: Even a flight of two JF-17s each firing two CM-400AKGs won’t be able to pose any credible threat to a carrier battle group operating 300km away from Pakistan’s coastline, rest assured. The gamechanger is not the CM-400AKG, but the network-centric airspace surveillance provided by AEW platforms like Ka-31 along with new-generation ESM systems. Will explain more about it all in the latest thread by adding suitable illustrations & data.

Prasun K. Sengupta said...

To ATUL K: Under the Indian scheme of things, RFPs are never released for public consumption.

To CHRIS: 1) Only fourth-generation or fifth-generation M-MRCA & heavy MRCA are reqd nowadays. 2) Rafale can undertake terrain-hugging flights. Su-30MKIs cannot. 3) Rafale will eventually replace the Jaguars, MiG-29UPGs & Mirage 2000UPGs. 4) The ASQR is still very much relevant, just as that for the Tejas MRCA is. ASQR never spells out how a particular capability is to be exploited. It only lists out the capabilities reqd. 5) Whether an AESA antenna fits into a circular radome atop an aircraft or on the aircraft’s nose/tail sections depends very much on the type of platform chosen & the place available for hosting such structures on the aircraft. G-550 AEW & CS cannot be compared to the EMB-145I. The former is a generation ahead of the EMB-145I in terms of technological innovation.

To VIKRAM GUHA: For the LPH, Navantia & Fincantieri are the favourites.

To HEBERIAN: The 10mW n-reactor at Arak is what has been worrying the US & EU the most, since that is a PHWR capable of producing plutonium. No one contemplating the development of nuclear weapons will opt for the enriched uranium route today. Even in the 1980s the path adopted by Dr A Q ‘Bhopali’ Khan was a total eyewash meant only for distracting public attention. Today, there are four PHWRs running in Khushab capable of producing plutonium & thus one must indeed ask why does Pakistan require four PHWRs for producing plutonium IF AT ALL it had attained self-sufficiency in producing highly enriched uranium (HEU) in the mid-1980s itself. This just goes on to prove my earlier assertions about Pakistan’s n-weapons always being plutonium-based, & not using any HEU at all. The Saudis have now realised that all this while Pakistan was taking it for a ride as far as the availability of HEU-based n-weapons went. Consequently, it can now be conclusively stated that the Sunni ummah never had even an iota of chance for acquiring any kind of ‘Islamic N-Bomb’. However, since Pakistan is the only country capable of supplying the Saudis with military manpower (Brigade-strength or even an infantry Division) for internal security requirements, Riyadh won’t come down that heavily on Islamabad for the latter’s doubletalk.
China’s ‘Sharp Sword’ stealthy UAV isn’t that stealthy if one looks at the UAV’s rear, where the nozzle of the RD-93 turbofan (minus the afterburner) can be clearly seen. As of now, this UAV is merely a technology demonstrator. But the Xianglong Soar Dragon HALE-UAV is far more impressive. Lastly, if you examine photos of Iran’s latest MR-SAM, the Sayyad-2, if you realise that it is the China-supplied LY-80E MR-SAM. What China has done is instead of housing the missile on circular cannisters, it has adopted box-type cannisters (originally developed for housing the SY-400 NLOS-BSM) to house the missile.

Prasun K. Sengupta said...

To S N BOSE: They’re neither technologically advanced nor are competitive. Had they been, export orders would already have flowed in.

To GESSLER: 1) Let’s wait & see. All indications are that Nawaz Sharif wants to domesticate the Pakistan Army in order to have a free run over the country’s foreign policy. Whether the Pakistan Army as an institution will allow this to happen remains to be seen. 2) India will have no other option if the US, EU & Russia are all on one page regarding this matter. 3) China has always adopted as mercantile approach towards Pakistan. This won’t change.

1) Not anything that is not already out in the open domain. 2) Aryans are the original inhabitants of what is today’s area around the Caspian Sea, Azerbaijan & Iran & also possibly the Sumerians of Mesopotamia. The ‘mythical’ Gods & Sages appeared in continental Kumari Kandam long before the advent of the Aryans. Thus, Vishnu, Krishna, Rama & Shiva were never fair-complexioned nor were they brown-skinned (like what’s been shown in soap-operas on Indian TV channels). I also can’t understand (LoLz!!!) why such soap-operas have DEMOTED Lord Shiva from a ‘Bhagwan’ to a ‘Devta’. Maybe he pissed off the soap-opera’s producer. 3) Hinduism is not a theocratic faith, but rather a philosophy of life. Himmler was a believer of the occult & was more into paranormal phenomena & Tibetan mysticism. Consequently, there was never any link between Hinduism & Nazism. 4) There’s also a pure white-skinned human race, as documented by a former US Army official. Will try to find out his presentation in Youtube. Then there’s a blue-skinned human race as well, whose skin complexion is identical to that of Vishnu, Rama & Krishna. These races are classified as extra-terrestrials, and are not aliens, who belong to a totally different species.

Heberian said...

Hi Prasun

As always, thank you for the replies and sharing of thoughts and info.

Well, the question I have is... how much will the Saudis tolerate Pakistans duplicity and double dealing in the name of the Ummah when faced with a resurgent Iran opening ever so slightly up to the west..

Yes, I was aware of the Xiang Long UAV and it is mighty impressive indeed, perhaps even in our border scenario.

Those centres of excellence you mentioned in the a previous post.. the ones where a lot of research based on stolen info is being done.. I am very jealous of them... because while the Lijian is not stealthy at all, it still is a flying article.... unlike our badly drawn "Stealth UAV's" whose pictures certain blogs kept publishing.

If you have time, do read the previous weeks Economists special on the USA. Very interesting articles.

Thanks again for sharing !!

rad said...

to Raw 13
I agree that the jf-17 can carry 2 missiles of your super carrier killer. The point is whether the actual missile is good enough in range and speed ie mach 4 and 250 km as pom pommed. If that is achievable then there will be no reason to develop ramjet based ASHM like the brahmos,Which are extremely complex and expensive compared to a solid fuel based missiles like the exocet etc that can do approx 70 km only in the later versions.
Coming to your boxing hook, true that an unknown factor can complicate things in war , but then you will have no chance of missile release as any awacs worth it salt will monitor you as soon as you take off, given pakistan has no strategic depth so as to say. So the question of surprise and hook is a non starter.
Well the real hook you will have to watch out for will be a volley of Novator k-100 missiles launched at 300 km by a super su-30 with AESA!!!

Prasun K. Sengupta said...

To HEBERIAN: VMT. The Saudis like the Kuwaitis & Bahrainis will continue to rely on Pakistan for internal security-related manpower reqmts. But in all other high-skill professional areas the reliance on India has already started increasing in countries like Qatar & the UAE. In other words, strategic cooperation between the GCC member-states & India will increase by a huge quantum.

Anonymous said...

So this article will be concluded someday?

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