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Tuesday, April 27, 2021

China's Assessment Of The Military Dimensions Of The LAC Standoff

The following is a semi-official assessment of the military balance-of-power along the LAC in eastern Ladakh by an unknown China-based entity, which was drafted sometime last last year, and has subsequently appeared here:

https://mil.news.sina.com.cn/china/2021-02-07/doc-ikftpnny5561650.shtml

This week, the western theatre of action continued. First, the combined regiment of a rapid reaction force of the Xinjiang Military Region (MR) changed from the ‘round head’ to the ‘square head’ Type-15 MBT, and then the ‘Dawn Xiongguan’ ZTZ-99A MBT was rushed to the Reqin Pass again after travelling thousands of miles on both railroads and tank transporter trucks. With the completion of a new round of organisational reform in the Xinjiang MR, the mechanised troops on the LAC are at last welcoming large-scale mechanised equipment replacements. Towards the end last year, the new equipment of the various units of the Xinjiang MR appeared: two fire regiments were replaced with PCL-181 vehicle-mounted 155mm/52-cal howitzers (mounted gun system, or MGS), some composite regiments were replaced with Type-15 MBTs, and some light and highly mobile infantry regiments were replaced with third-generation ICVs, and now with the ZTZ-99A MBTs also appearing at Reqin Pass, everyone has a bright future. After completing the reforms of the Tables of equipment (ToE), the equipment of the Xinjiang MR is thus ushering in a wave of long-overdue equipment upgrades. Affected by a series of conditions such as preparation for war, scattered troops, and a special establishment system, the Xinjiang MR is a military district that carried out the systemic reforms relatively late.

According to the PLAGF’s normal military re-organisation into a Brigade, generally the highly mechanised mobile/armoured Divisions will be directly dismantled into two Combined-Arms Brigades, one of which is based on the Division and the other is based on the Regiment. The two new Combined-Arms Brigades then determine whether the Brigade is a heavy Brigade, a light Brigade or a medium Brigade based on the deployment area requirements and the weapons equipped by the previous troops. For example, the old 6th Tank Division became a heavy Brigade and a medium Brigade after the reform. However, the four infantry Divisions in the Xinjiang MR are still deployed in a relatively scattered area, with many response directions and varying degrees of mechanisation. Coupled with the need for combat readiness after 2017, it is difficult to carry out ‘outright dismantling’ as easily as the PLAGF infantry Divisions located elsewhere in the hinterland.

Before the Xinjiang MR’s reform process began, the quality of mechanisation was roughly the same as that of the Indian Army, and the quantity was roughly the same when deployed on the front line. The Xinjiang MR has four Divisions. Among them, there are two infantry Divisions and several Frontier Defence Regiments on the front line. Before this round of systemic reforms, the total mechanised force of the Xinjiang MR against the Indian Army was about 4 armoured regiments and 2 light infantry regiments (equipped with Type 92 infantry combat vehicles). The first-line force was about 372 MBTs and 248 ICVs. The strength of the PLAGF does not seem to be much, but India is limited by natural conditions, and there are not many mechanised troops deployed in the western section of the Sino-Indian border. India's mechanised forces in the western section of the Sino-Indian border are mainly the XIC Corps and its 3rd ‘Trishul’ Division with its own integral MBT Regiments (85 Armoured regiment and 4 Horse), and the 254 Independent Armoured Brigade. The 254 Brigade has two tank regiments and one mechanised infantry regiment. The mechanised infantry regiment is equipped with 60 BMP-2 ICVs, and the MBT regiment is equipped with 59 T-90S MBTs. Therefore, the mechanised equipment deployed by the Indian Army in Ladakh all year round is about 180 T-72CIA tanks and 60 BMP-2s. The PLAGF thus has a quantitative advantage over the Indian Army.

Facing the actual military needs of the western section of the LAC and the overall situation of China’s force modernisation priorities from the east to the west, in recent years the Xinjiang MR has formed a hierarchical ‘Synthetic Division-Synthetic Regiment-Synthetic Battalion’ reforms process. Under the new ToE, the Xinjiang MR still maintains the overall strength of four Divisions, but the various infantry Divisions under its jurisdiction have been transformed into Synthetic Divisions, and the regiment-level units under its jurisdiction have also been reformed into synthetic regiments. The quantum of MBT units in the Xinjiang MR has been greatly reduced, from 4 armoured regiments to 3 heavy synthetic regiments, but the mechanised forces have increased significantly from the original two light regiments to 3 medium synthetic regiments. In addition, two new light and high-mobility infantry regiments were added. The new heavy synthetic regiment has three synthetic Battalions, and each synthetic Battalion has one armoured Company and two mechanised Companies. The armoured Company has 14 MBTs and the mechanised Company has 13 ICVs. However, compared with the past three MBT Battalions and an armoured regiment with one motorised infantry Battalion, the number of MBTs under the new combined regiment has dropped from 93 to 42, but the number of ICVs has increased to 31. At the same time, the number of self-propelled artillery in the firepower Battalion, the quantum of reconnaissance troops, and the establishment of air-defence Battalions have been greatly improved, the number of overall mechanisation has been increased, and the effectiveness of the troops has also been improved. The ToE of the medium regiment is the same as that of the heavy regiment, but the 14 MBTs per Battalion will be replaced by 14 wheeled assault vehicles.

In terms of the specific composition of troops, the Xinjiang MR has changed from its original warfighting concept of ‘more MBTs, more motorised forces, fewer artillery firepower and fewer battles” to the new ‘few MBTs, more troops, more field/air-defence artillery and more battles’. Under the new ToE, the number of MBTs in the PLAGF has dropped sharply to one-third (the original 4 regiments, 12 Battalions, 36 Companies and 372 vehicles are now to 3 regiments, 9 Battalions, 9 Companies and 126 vehicles). The overall number of assault weapons has dropped by about one-third, from 372 to 252. However, although the number of MBTs has dropped significantly, under the new organisation, the number of ICVs has increased significantly, from about 248 to 468. At the same time, the PLAGF is being equipped with a large number of wheeled armoured vehicles. In actual contact, India tends to rely on the advantages of certain geographical conditions over China, concentrate its forces, engage in large and small frictions with the BDR regiments in a non-hot war environment, engage in cold-weapons combat, and establishes ‘illegal’ strongholds. In this situation, the PLAGF is countering the small-scale offensive of the Indian Army by relying more on the manoeuvrability of mechanised vehicles for battlefield projection, and at the same time using vehicle-based firepower to deter the Indian Army's motorised infantry forces.

The firepower of the Xinjiang MR has also been greatly improved. In terms of overall deployment, the Indian Army is relying on solid strongholds for defence in both the east and the west. The two sides often have to fight on a preset battlefield. The typical preset battle area, such as the Rechin Pass south of Panggong Tso Lake, is not suitable for the armoured regiment to launch a Brigade-level offensive. In this situation, the PLAGF should give full play to its mobile and firepower advantages to attack the Indian Army's aggressive forces in a preset area. Therefore, in this round of reforms, the PLAGF has increased the proportion of firepower. Under the new ToE of the Xinjiang MR, four firepower regiments have been formed. Each firepower regiment will have two vehicle-mounted howitzer/self-propelled howitzer Battalions and one rocket artillery Battalion. The Xinjiang MR also has an army aviation Brigade equipped with armed helicopters and transport aircraft, and an artillery Brigade equipped with 300mm PHL-03 MBRLs and PCL-181 mounted gun systems. The overall artillery establishment of the Xinjiang MR has now reached 216 firing units, which far exceeds the quality and quantity of the firepower possessed by the Indian Army. The Xinjiang MR attaches great importance to artillery, which can also be seen from the re-balancing situation this year: since this year, the MR has two fire regiments and two battalions re-armed with the PCL-181 MGS and a regiment of AR-3 370mm MBRLs is now being raised.

Let us now talk about Xinjiang MR’s ToE upgradation efforts. The situation on the LAC has always been the catalyst for every change of troops/weapons compositions in the Xinjiang MR, and every major reform of the ToE of the Xinjiang MR is related to the Indian Army. The ups and downs of the LAC over the past few decades have turned the Xinjiang MR into the ‘Modern Chinese Tank Museum’. Most of the ‘round head’ MBTs waiting to be replaced by the PLAGF are mainly concentrated in the Xinjiang MR. In the 1980s, the Xinjiang MR successively formed a large number of Type A motorised infantry Divisions, under the jurisdiction of MBT regiments. The last batch of Type-59 MBTs of the entire PLAGF that are currently stationed in Urumqi is the result of the formation of this period.

By the late 1980s, the Indian Army, which had significantly mechanised itself, increased its provocations against the border areas. In order to cope with the large quantities of T-72M1 MBTs procured by the Indian Army, the two fast-reacting Divisions of the PLAGF in Tianshan on a fast-track basis replaced their MBTs with the most advanced MBT that China could provide at that time--the Type-88A MBT with 105mm rifled-bore cannon. About 200 of them were built, equipping two armoured regiments. With the completion of development of the Type 96 MBT (armed with 125mm smoothbore cannon) by 1998, the mechanised infantry regiments stationed in Hotan finally began service-inducting them. The Xinjiang MR now has one regiment of Type-59 MBTs, two regiments of Type-88As, and one regiment of Type-96 MBTs. 

By including one Type-96A Brigade, one ZTZ-99 MBT Brigade and one ZTZ-99A MBT Brigade of the 76 Group Army, the Western Theatre Command can be seen as an illustration of 70 years of MBT development in China. A series of second-generation motorised and second-generation semi-mechanised equipment of the Xinjiang MR procured 20 years ago also appeared in the current LAC standoff. In particular, an armoured regiment went to the front line of the Rechin La Mountain Pass to confront the T-72CIA MBTs of the 85 Armoured Regiment.

However, in the face of the Indian Army's deployment of T-90S MBTs of the 254 Independent Armoured Brigade to Ladakh since late 2019, the crew of the older Type-88As will naturally suffer from ‘loss of face’ and demoralisation. The location of the Type-88As was at a certain post on the front line of Lake Spanggur Tso, at an altitude of 5,000 metres. The post is close to the relatively flat Rechin La Pass and closer to the actual LAC. The faceoff point at Rechin la Pass is rare in the western section of the LAC and is suitable for the deployment of mechanised troops. Such a battleground for military strategists is of course, vital for anyone who is not willing to lose face. Since last summer, infantrymen of both armies have engaged in multiple rounds of ‘cold weapons combat’ (i.e. mirror deployment) at the Rechin La Pass. After the failure of this tactic to capture the Pass, the Indian Army mobilised the XIV Corps’ T-90S MBTs and BMP-2K ICVs.

The mechanised units of both armies faced each other there, and the situation was tense. If the broadcasted CCTV news reports are turned to 90-degree viewing angles, then we can see the T-72CIAs of the 85 Armoured Regiment, the BMP-2 ICVs and the Indian Army tents deployed there since last year. This direct confrontation also reflects the characteristics of armoured combat: Although the PLAGF’s MBTs are comparable in terms of night combat, manoeuvrability and fire-control, it is difficult for the Type-88As from a human resource standpoint to perform at preset battle-scenes like Rechin La. And that was why the PLAGF had urgently requested for the ‘rough-skinned Dawning Xiongguan’ ZTZ-99A MBTs to be urgently transferred to the Spanggur Gap after the June 2019 Galwan River-Valley clashes.

Although many technical parameters of the 55-tonne ZTZ-99A were finalised 10 years ago, they are still superior to the current MBTs of the Indian Army. However, the ZTZ-99A still faces many problems. Although it has undergone specialisation on the Tibetan plateau, it has encountered difficulties in logistics maintenance, manoeuvring deployment, and passage. The ZTZ-99A faces difficulties in reaching the designated positions when the troops need it the most. This is also why the ZTZ-99, ZTZ-99A and their successors are still generally installed in the 76 Group Army’s rear areas instead of the frontline. Presently, the Type-15 MBTs equipped with the rapid reaction forces of the Xinjiang MR can hardly take advantage of such a face-to-face confrontation. This puts forward the demand for a new type of 40-tonne MBT that is more balanced in protection and mobility and can replace the existing Type-88A and Type-96 MBTs.

After the Type-96B MBT performed well in the Russia-hosting Tank Biathlons over the past few years, it has basically met the needs of the PLAGF. Consequently, in future, the main MBT of the Xinjiang MR will be the Type-96B. Of course, the future of the Type-96B goes far beyond the Xinjiang MR. The various Synthetic Brigades that are Taiwan-centric have an obvious demand for 40-tonne MBTs. Therefore, the quantity of Type-96Bs procured in future will be much higher than expected. In the future, the Xinjiang MR will establish a three-tier MBT system: a certain Aksu-based Regiment will be equipped with Type-15s as a fast reaction force, the ‘Kunlun Cavalry’ of a certain formation in Hotan will be equipped with Type-96Bs, and the 76 Group Army at the rear will be equipped with ZTZ-99As.

As mentioned earlier, India’s aggressive advances will often speed up the replacement of the PLAGF’s mechanised equipment. Except for MBTs, this generation of mechanised equipment of the PLAGF was technically finalised 10 years ago, or even earlier. After nearly 10 years of development, the various sub-systems of mechanised equipment have continuously unveilled upgraded models with various improvements. As the Indian side continues to maintain a high-pressure situation along the LAC, these new mechanised equipment, after being replaced with ones featuring enhanced firepower and network-connectivity, will also sequentially join the various combined forces of the Xinjiang MR in future, and will follow the Indian Army’s force modernisation processes.

The reforms of the ToE of the Xinjiang MR is generally in line with the overall strategy of both China and its PLAGF, which is: “defend the west and attack in the east” and emphasize “controllable border situation”. In the final analysis, although the western section of the China-India LAC is vast, the geographical environment is harsh and the altitude is high, and it is impossible for the PLAGF to organise even a brigade-level mechanised offensive. The western section of the LAC is mainly based on offensive and defensive warfare on preset battlefields, while the eastern section is based on three-dimensional offensive control-points. Therefore, the proportion of PLAGF armoured might in the western section is relatively small, while in the eastern section it can form a “dimensional reduction strike”. As for the situation all along the LAC, the Indian Army knows all this very well, but in terms of geopolitical practice, India has always played imperialism by mass, and now it has provoked a country much larger than it, and has fallen into it. A kind of complete blindness.

Nowadays, despite constant domestic polarisation and a GDP growth rate of approximately -8.9%, India still has to increase her weapons procurements from abroad and invest heavily in the development of her own military industry to fill the gap between China and India in arenas like airpower, mechanised tube/rocket artillery, and air-defence. This is a kind of “against the trend” behaviour, which is not conducive to long-term competition practices. It is better to leave it to experts in country-studies to explain the reasons for India’s blind moves against the trend. After all, India’s apex-level civil decision-makers thought for 10 days and 10 nights and didn’t know what the Indian Army wanted to do. However, this kind of military adventure will prompt China to continue completing the upgradation of warfighting equipment in the next few years. After all, the national strength of China and India will grow stronger in the known future. As a country that has been able to dominate alone for 70 years and has a complete and advanced military-industrial infrastructure, the initiative of China’s and India’s military situation is in the former’s hands.

178 comments:

Anonymous said...

In short and one-liner is - India screwed up BIG TIME. Now no hope left for salvation either.

Prasun K. Sengupta said...

To DASHU: These are even more interesting & conclusively prove the collusion between China & Pakistan:

Details of PA COAS’ Iftaar with Journalists: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=12KQ5XZCRgE

Details of India-Pakistan Back-Channel Talks: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2lDEX7K7Bbg

From the above, it becomes crystal-clear that Pakistan was terribly rattled by India’s decisions taken on August 5, 2019 WRT J & K & so was China, as both next expected India to rattle up PoJK inclusive of GB. Hence, a carrot-n-stick stratagem was adopted under which China would use the stick while Pakistan would dangle the carrot, starting with the reinstatement of the ceasefire along the LoC. This, both countries are now hoping, will prevent India from liberating PoJK & also save the CPEC, which in turn will enable China to save its face and will enable Pakistan to earn a reprieve from the FATF's sanctions.

For, it goes without saying that any talk of achieving lasting peace between India & Pakistan is utter hogwash for as long as Pakistani textbooks continue teaching that it is perfectly alright to harbour compulsive hostility against India (thereby sowing the seeds of hatreds from an early age among successive generations of Pakistanis) & for as long as Pakistan clings on to the two-nation theory to justify its existence & pooh-poohs India’s secularism.

In my view, just as Gen Pervez Musharraf as both President & PA's COAS faced intense opposition & even institutional sabotage to his $-Point Formula, even the current COAS of the PA will now face not only institutional opposition & sabotage from within the PA & its state-sponsored Jihadi actors, but also from the citizens of Pakistan, since they have for decades been tutored to harbour compulsive hostility against India through successive 'Crush India' movements since the 1960s.

Hardik Thanki said...

Hi Prasunji,

Which engine can replace GE F404 engine in Tejas MK.1 and Tejas MK.1A progarm, if CAASTA sactions are applied?

Thanks & Regards

Hardik Thanki

AMIT BISWAS said...

Which means both these countries have succeeded in their plans as india is showing no inclination to claim back POK and GB and super spy doval is busy meeting ISI dg in UAE...if the situation is all is well why did 56 inch carried out balakot just to get sympathy votes in 2019 elections??

KIDDO said...

Dear Prasun
Thanks For this wonderful info on Chinese analysis of the LAC situation and future strategy. Makes for compelling reading.

Altho a lot of it is self-explanatory I would love to get your detailed thoughts on what the implications are for INdia. Hope you will be providing us with your thoughts and where u would Agree/Disagree with this analysis. For example;

1. How does PLA's reduction in MBT forces combined with a big buildup in ICVs/Mech Forces affect the IA's battle plans & force composition (From what I could understand it is in keeping with the "Defense in the West & Offence in the East" philosophy)

2. Please explain the concept of "Dimensional approach to battle" that the writer is talking abt WRT to the Eastern sector? "Remove 1 Dimension" I think is mentioned as the PLA's approach in the Eastern Sector

3. To what extent can India's deficit in offensive firepower assets - Artillery/Rockets/ SS-BSMs - be compensated for through Aviation Assets (IAF & IA) and what more needs to be done

Very much looking forward to ur Breakdown of the analysis in this Document

Thanks

Unknown said...

How we screwed up when we didn't attacked anyone. Our enemies themselves want bloody nose so what we can do.

asd said...

Dear Prasun,

What I could comprehend is that PLAGF is not capable of facing IA directly. First they are telling Ladakh belongs to them; then they are talking about defending in west and offending in the east. If Ladakh is what they claim, then why not whole heartedly they claim like they do with Taiwan!!!!

However, disgusting is that IA is blind to its vision towards China. And our present political leadership is impotent enough to give courageous kick to China's political leaders.

Rajesh Mishra said...

Shri PKS: Unfortunately you are correct. So we will have to seed a drunken Yeltsin in China.

just_curious said...

Prasun,

1-I never get my head around why do we f****up when we seem to have the upper hand, what is the need to even engage the porkis.. n as for the chinese now they have stopped the silly disengagement process as well just when it started suiting them.. our idiots learn
:(...
2- As for the super sukhoi project .. are the indian made components which you had shared in the following articles been tested already?
https://trishul-trident.blogspot.com/2020/02/defexpo-2020-expo-highlights-1.html
http://trishul-trident.blogspot.com/2018/08/super-su-30mki-has-taken-shape.html
3- You mention about the adverse effects of CAATSA, what is the biden adminstration driving at?.. they seem to have been following a carrot nstick policy.. latest being dragging their feet on covid apis..not to forget Lloyd Austin's mention of CAATSA & the sundry human rights reports & currency manipulator status etc etc...

joydeep ghosh said...

@prasun da

you always say you make suggestions of importance to the concerned. Can scuba diving tanks be used to deliver medical oxygen to the needy. with capacity of 3 to 18 ltrs these are small, handy and easy to carry thanoxygen cylinders. if this is viable can you forward it to the concerned

thanks
Joydeep Ghosh

just_curious said...

prasun,
4-what do you make of the single crystal blades developed by drdo. how significant is the development & comparable to others developed countries? will this give a new lease of life to kaveri engines. China hasn't been able to develop it as yet.. is this true

ShivKurup said...

Prasunji,
1) How many Su-30s have been modified to use brahmos as of now?

2) How will indian infantry counter the armed UAS of china like Av-500w?

3) How much of a threat do such armed mini UAVs pose to us?

4) Since India lags far behind in artillery and TBMs wrt to China along the LAC, how can we counter that disadvantage?

5) When do you see china's economic growth slow down significantly due to their aging population anytime soon?

6) Can the brahmos hit small, fast, rocket armed boats like the ones used by the iranian revolutionary guards navy?

7) How small a ship, lengthwise, can the brahmos effectively strike?
20 meters long? Or lesser?

8) How many Igla manpads and launchers do we have?

9) With theatre commands being set up, do you see indian army reforms proceeding fast enough to counter chinese army mechanisation drive by 2025?

10) Do you foresee a chinese invasion of taiwan in the near to midterm future?

Thanks

Prasun K. Sengupta said...

To HARDIK THANKI; Lolz! It is now too late to consider turbofan alternatives. Consequently, India will have to do everything to ensure that CAARSA sanctions are not applied. And this also shows which of the two 2 countries is the ‘Real Vishwaguru’.

To AMIT BISWAS: That’s right. And this also explains why all the retired services veterans & all the ‘desi’ tele-warriors in CNN-News-18 & Republic TV have suddenly stopped talking about militarily liberating PoJK & GB. The air-strike at Balakot was just a PR-gimmick & colossal waste of PGMs being expended. After all, a mosque or madrassa existing right in the midst of a terrorist training camp can hardly be expected to be used for religious purposes. Consequently, an air-strike delivered to send a strong message should have used 500kg HSLDs to obliterate any man-made structure on that hilltop—a fact acknowledged later by the former CAS of the IAF, ACM B S Dhanoa. In addition, I have not yet come across any document or treaty agreement which mandates that India will surrender its airspace sovereignty over PoJK, be it in 1949 or in 1972. That being the case, it is bizarre that India has to date not made any efforts to ensure that no non-Indian civil or military aircraft ever flies within PoJK’s airspace.

To KIDDO: VMT. This assessment should be read as a follow-on to what I had uploaded here under the heading ‘How IA’s Mechanised Forces Got Inducted Into Ladakh’:

https://trishul-trident.blogspot.com/2020/05/what-has-plagf-learnt-from-dogra-gen.html

1) As is evident, the PLAGF has focussed on raising combined-arms battle-groups at the Battalion- & brigade-levels by increasing integral mobility, survivability & firepower. The IA on the other hand has yet to come up with integrated battle-groups tailor-made for high-altitude plateau warfare & has instead focussed more on raising ‘Combat Groups’ comprising mechanised infantry & pure armoured regiments. For example, the IA still does not possess MGS or tactical UAVs that are embedded within tube/rocket artillery regiments. 2) What it means is the use of helicopters & STOL transports for insertion of one’s own forces behind enemy lines, i.e. vertical envelopment. Back in 1962 while an inexperienced IA had deployed in the river-valleys of NEFA, the PLAGF had outflanked them by crisscrossing mountain ridges on foot & establishing themselves at dominating heights, which in turn enabled the PLAGF to both destroy the IA’s logistics supply lines & attack the IA’s units from the rear. 3) Therefore, the IA needs 150km-range NLOS-SS-BSMs (not like BrahMos-1) that can be fired from existing Pinaka-1 MBRLs, i.e. a modular configuration that will be far easier to deploy & use than existing SS-150 Prithvi liquid-fuelled SS-BSMs. In addition, the vertical envelopment used by the IA during the December 1971 crossing of the Meghna River in then East Pakistan need to be refined & made use of throughout Arunachal Pradesh & Sikkim.

To UNKNOWN: As fellow blogger & my great friend Ravi Rikhye has observed: “I don't understand why Indians cannot understand that since Aksai Chin was stolen, any recovery we make is NOT aggression, whereas anything we give up, even if matched by China, is a defeat.”

Prasun K. Sengupta said...

To ASD: Because of the 1960 discussions in which they had to officially limit their land-grabbing. It is all explained here by Manoj Joshi:

https://thewire.in/security/china-redrawing-lac-ladakh-1960-claim-line

Meanwhile, China is going all-out to show how generous & well-meaning it is towards India:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IocH4nWbL2Q

While the situation is UP is now BEYOND HOPE & BEYOND DESPAIR:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E5EFAoAnl44

https://theprint.in/india/the-young-in-these-2-varanasi-villages-started-to-die-thats-when-covid-became-real/646326/

And the UP State Govt is trying in vain to cover-up the total mess through censoring:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hrr0rZLHqv0

But in Tripura, the right example is being set by the civil administration (and not by the ‘netas’):

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4Bk9JxQ566g

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_g1lwljWwQY

Barkha Dutt’s dad fell victim to COVID-19 yesterday. May he RIP:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F8UWmOE7OvI

To JUST_CURIOUS: 1) LoLz! Leave alone disengagement & de-escalation, the PLAGF is presently rotating its deployed formations, with the 4th & 6th Divisions now being replaced by the 8th & 11th Divisions. 2) yes, all of them have been tested & certified by CEMILAC. 3) That is the most practical way of proving to Indi8a who the ‘REAL VISHWAGURU’ is, isn’t it? 4) They have been developed for this:

https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-pCNbudxi9Gk/WKGd4MDLuWI/AAAAAAAAMTk/x9XCV6CeTiEbcfoOxCXYTe4kqRqRZunnACLcB/s1600/HAL%2527s%2BHTSE%2BConcept.JPG

To JOYDEEP GHOSH: Why don’t you suggest it yourself & prove your credentials as a ‘model citizen’ of India? Is anyone stopping or preventing you? So go one & take the plunge.

To SHIVKURUP: 1) Only 2. 2) The only option is to use laser effectors to shoot them down. 3) A lot. 4) Invest in developing 150km-range NLOS-SS-BSMs (not like BrahMos-1) that can be fired from existing Pinaka-1 MBRLs, i.e. a modular configuration that will be far easier to deploy & use than existing SS-150 Prithvi liquid-fuelled SS-BSMs. 5) By 2045. 6) No. 7) About 40-metre long vessels. 8) More than 2,000 launchers & up to 8,000 missiles. 9) No. 10) No. China had declared way back in 1996 that never again will Chinese fight against Chinese.

Prasun K. Sengupta said...

YEH NALAAYAK KABHI NAHIN SUDHRENGE: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_gsxBgOrIHw

JF-17 Block-3 with PL-10E SRAAM: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Ez-Y2ywXIAIT8sm?format=jpg&name=large

asd said...

Dear Prasun,

Thanks for your response. You had uploaded a video link of DM from Tripura. I have my views upon it.

The DM did the right thing in wrong way. He doesn't have right to hit the pandit. He can't tear the permission paper that the lady was showing and again abusing her. Disgusting!!!! You can't support him. Again the brother of the bride came up with proof that his office only issued the permission for the event to hold. In Hindu rituals, it's lagna that plays an important role in marriage event. So following the ritual by getting permission is wrong!!!!

If you support him for his action, then I agree with you. But you have to discourage him for his dabangai!!!! Please enlighten him if possible. He has already offered apology.

I'm presenting my view after thinking rationally. I need yours.

Prasun K. Sengupta said...

To ASD: The paper containing the permission for the wedding ceremony had clearly stated that everything was to be wound up by 10pm. The raid was conducted at 11.30pm. Rituals like these must be curbed at all cost. Even if videographed, such 'lagnas' & public rituals are never accepted as evidence of any wedding. The only acceptable evidence is the Marriage Certificate from the Registrat of Marriages. As for any 'Dabbangg' methodology, it is all permitted under the Police Act of 1861. If such incidents are not to re-occur, then a Police Act of 2021 vintage should be ushered in to replace the one of 1861. But I'm pretty sure that the current crop of 'metas' are quite happy to keep India restricted to the 1861 era & have no intention of embracing modernity & pragmatism.

ShivKurup said...

Prasunji,

1) Can igla manpads be used to shoot down armed mini UAVs china possesses?

2) Can israeli smash 2000 rifles be used to bring down those drones?

3) If china and india go to war in 2024-25 timeframe, how bad do you think we will come out of it?
Will it be a bloody, costly pyrrhic victory for the Chinese or a repeat of 1962. My apologies if i sound defeatist and i know there are many variables and non quantifiable entities in this question, but would like to know your opinion considering the direction and pace of modernisation of both militaries along LAC.

4) What effect can the augmentation of our air defenses like the S400, MRSAM, and Rafale have on the course of the conflict considering china is at a terrain disadvantage. Will it help us to atleast partly make up for our weaker position on the ground?

5) If you could list 5 of the most important pieces of equipment, and their approximate quantity, we need to procure, to hold the chinese to a draw in 2025,what would they be? (I know this is overly simplistic question, but still would like to know your opinion)?

6) How many Barak-8 squadrons have been ordered by the army and air force so far and how many have been delivered?

7) Does the air force intend to order 150km range LRSAM version of barak-8 in addition to 70km range MRSAM version. If so how many squadrons do they plan to order?

8) How many akash SAM regiments /squadrons have been delivered to our forces so far and how many more have been ordered?

9) Considering the Chinese have been exporting military equipment for a few years now, how has their performance been? Are they as robust and effective as russian or western ones? Recently heard the UAE has been satisfied with the performance of the Wing Loong UCAVs in the yemen war.

Thanks


Anonymous said...

Hi Prasun,

Good narration of the existing chinese problems:
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=nRUc4gTO-PE
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=vTbILK0fxDY
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=EgVXRtq5EIg

Regards,
K

joydeep ghosh said...

@prasun da

Police Act of 2021 vintage, how come??

as for scuba tank suggestion, I dont know anything. so I asked some guys some say can some say cant so don't know who is right that's why I asked

thanks
Joydeep Ghosh

asd said...

Fear Prasun,

Thanks for your rebuttal!!!! Why these bloody Netas are still blind to the police act 1861!!!! What are they not ready to bring the change??? Any advantage for them?

BTW what's the difference between Indian police and American police? American police is too involved in many barbaric cases like killing of George Floyd.

I'm still sceptical whether any new police act can bring any changes in the professionalism and mindset of the current police force. Your view please.

As usual I am grateful to you for sharing your views.


Hardik Thanki said...

Hi Prasunji,

-With many serving military officers and former ambassador from US advising against CAASTA sanctions, do you think that the Biden administration will listen to them?

-Could Crop of Signals take on the role of cyber defense for the Indian Army considering that they are responsible for Battlefield communications and Electronic Warfare?

Thanks & Regards

Hardik Thanki

VSJ said...

Sir I have been following Mr Ravi Rikhye for sometime and his orbat updates are very swift!
But he is cryptic at best for us civvies.

1) There has been news that we shifted a division with 10k troops from Northeast to Ladakh?
Will that not denude NE when most vets and you have said they will create pressure in Arunanchal next?

2) Where is the reoriented strike corps with 2 divisions headed to? Ladakh?

3) Sir, there is a new brigade in raising. Gap filling somewhere? Why not continue to raise MSC to planned 2 div + 1 bgd or suggested 1 division + 3 IBG format by 2025?

4) We have 3 divisions in Ladakh +1 from NE + assuming 2 from new strike corps + 2 ind armored bgd and 1 rsrv bgd. (All Open source from internet/news)
So we can't go on offensive with 7 division worth of force against their 2?

5) Sir how will fully mech force be brought to bear at LAC in other places. All one have is Depsang, rechin la and parts of sikkim, right? Useless at finger area and disadvantage in narrow galwan type valleys.
My question is to your above point about bloody noses, can they still fully utilize any of the mech advantages when tank-terrain is limited to few spots and rest requires large infantry formations and we have 3:1 numerical advantage?

6) my last on this, every vet/analyst is silent on HP-UK front. China had BDR only deployed in peacetime.
What forces have China and India deployed there now?
We do have china claiming barahoti and violating chamoli airspace frequently while both Nepal and China are against new infra at Tri junction area?

Thanks in advance.

AMIT BISWAS said...

Intent of DM isn't wrong..his methodology is wrong...the surgeon was talking to him politely ..then there was no point in using expletives saale bloody like that...he even touched a police dySP in uniform...instead he could have avoided the fiasco by simply letting the marriage going on while asking all guests to leave...this UP wallahs consider it very handsome to show rowdy behaviour with NE people.

asd said...

Dear Prasun,

DRDO has successfully Integrated python 5 air to air missile on Tejas.How do you look into this development? Please share your views.

AMIT BISWAS said...

https://twitter.com/ryankakiuchan/status/1387480935084347394?s=20


Any info about this ship??

AMIT BISWAS said...

https://twitter.com/evazhengll/status/1387507475885273100?s=20


How this missile will change WVR engagement scenario between IAF aircrafts without MAWS vis a vis PAF JF17s

Prasun K. Sengupta said...

To SHIVKURUP: 1 & 2) Yes, but it will be an over-kill. Cheaper options like UAVB data-link jammers & Smash-2000 aiming kits attached to SLRs are preferable options. 3) The PLA prefers non-contact warfare so as to avoid own human casualties & hence China will rely on standoff artillery firepower for inflicting attrition casualties on India. 4) It is not China that has any terrain disadvantages, but India. The terrain all within the Tibetan plateau is highly advantageous for China as explained in this book:

https://archive.org/details/in.ernet.dli.2015.148183

5) Rocket artillery like NLOS-BSMs, heavylift helicopters, LCH attack helicopters, LUH/RSH helicopters & 155/52-cal MGS. 6 & 8) Have already answered that several times before in past threads. 7) IAF never ordered MR-SAMs, only IAF has ordered LR-SAMs. 9) The steady export orders themselves are testimonials about the efficacy of China-origin weapons.

To JOYDEEP GHOSH: Amid the Covid crisis, the DRDO has transferred this technology to private companies Tata Advanced Systems Ltd, Bengaluru and Trident Pneumatics Pvt. Ltd, Coimbatore, which will produce 380 plants of 1000 litres-per-minute (LPM) for installation across various hospitals in the country. While Tata Advanced Systems will supply 332 orders, Trident will produce 48. Moreover, 120 plants of 500 LPM capacity will be produced by industries working with the Indian Institute of Petroleum, Dehradun, under the Council of Scientific and Industrial Research. These systems can cater to 190 patients at a flow rate of 5 LPM and can charge 195 cylinders per day. The MOP technology is capable of generating oxygen with 93±3% concentration which can be directly supplied to hospital beds or can be used to fill medical oxygen cylinders. The MOP utilises an air compressor to provide input air supply to the oxygen plant which is filtered and dried by an air dryer and filtration system before the air is admitted to oxygen generator. The oxygen generator removes the nitrogen from the air by adsorbing it in the molecular sieves and produces an output with 93±35 oxygen, the balance being argon which is not adsorbed. For separating oxygen from air, the MOP employs PSA technique. Nitrogen is preferentially adsorbed in molecular sieves at higher pressures, thereby concentrating oxygen, DRDO sources said. The adsorbed nitrogen is released at low pressure (usually atmospheric pressure). This technique is employed by alternating the pressurisation of the two adsorbent beds. While one bed is pressurised, the opposite bed is depressurised and exhausts previously adsorbed gases to the surrounding atmosphere. However, the inability of current zeolite molecular sieves to discriminate between oxygen and argon results in oxygen purity of 93±3%. Both oxygen and argon concentrate in the oxygen generators. The concentrator system is fitted with a filter to remove particulate material, if any. The output is stored in a storage tank. An oxygen compressor/booster is connected to the system to fill cylinders which can be transported to nearby areas for use. The system is designed for a capacity to cater 5 LPM per person for up to 200 individuals amounting to total capacity of 960 LPM (57.6 M3/hour).

Prasun K. Sengupta said...

To ASD: The Netas have developed extremely thick skins & hence no heads have rolled thus within the PMO-constituted COVID Task Force. There is just no accountability, as explained here:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1Mzik7tkyIk&t=491s

On top of that, Uttarkhand is now planning to conduct the Chaar Dhaam pilgrimages:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VqzB8MKi_zY

If this continues, then there will come a time when the whole world will refuse to support India because of India’s insistence on perpetuating self-inflicted wounds. In the US, those who break the laws of the land are traced & punished, whereas in India in most cases, there is either outright denial, or the FIRs are just not registered.

So Python-5 for Tejas Mk.1 & AIM-132 ASRAAM for Tejas Mk.1A? Has DRDO & IAF made up their minds as yet? Extremely crazy state of affairs indeed! Meanwhile, do read this:

https://www.drdo.gov.in/sites/default/files/monographs-documents/Radiance%20in%20Indian%20Skies%20The%20Tejas%20Saga.pdf

To HARDIK THANKI: Kindly read this:

https://warontherocks.com/2021/04/remove-a-sanctions-cloud-from-u-s-indian-relations/

Not Corps of Signals, but Directorate of Information Systems at IA HQ & also the tri-services Cyber Warfare Cell.

To VSJ: 1) Not quite, because the IA had raised 2 Divisions for the North East back in 2009 itself. 2) They will not be headed for anywhere, but their wartime deployment orientation has been changed & the necessary logistics reqd for their movements during emergencies have been re-worked & modified. 3) Only new Independent Armoured Brigades are being raised for Ladakh & Sikkim. MSC is a non-starter & instead tailor-made IBGs for both theatres are the need of the hour. 5) There can be ZERO movement of vehicles along narrow river-valleys as they will be highly vulnerable to air-interdiction. Only standoff NLOS-SS-BSMs & attack helicopters can inflict substantial attrition losses in eastern Ladakh. That’s why the IAF deployed AH-64Es very early on but at those altitudes such helicopters can carry only 45% of their weapons loads. The PLAGF on the other hand was totally unable to deploy its Z-10 & Z-19 attack helicopters at such altitudes. 6) In those areas, the terrain is very forbidding in both HP & UK, whereas for China the terrain facing these two states is relatively flat. It is all explained in this downloadable book:

https://archive.org/details/in.ernet.dli.2015.148183

To AMIT BISWAS: here is a much better video of the whole incident (there were 2 incidents in all):

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IPqsslGJqYI

It clearly shows that the wedding organisers knew perfectly well that curfew was on from 10pm onwards, but their excuse was that they broke the rules because of 11pm being auspicious wedding-hour!!! In my view, they got away relatively easy. Had I been there I would have shoved the trishul up all their arses.

About HSVs, I had already given the weblinks about it a few times before in the recent past. Here it is again:

INCAT Australia: https://www.incat.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2018/02/military_dossier.pdf

The PL-10E/China-cloned IRST of the original Ukraine-built SURA-M HMDS will confer some advantages in close combat, but the effectiveness will be diminished due to the lack of IRST sensor on the JF-17 Block-3. MAWS will eventually find its way into both Tejas Mk.1 & Mk.1A as externally-mounted sensors contained within pylon attachments.

PLAGF’s Minefield Breaching System: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QqWP0-gQiC8

Back in 2002 Poland had developed a similar system, but mounted on MBTs like T-72 & had even demonstrated it to the IA.

China Halts Oxygen Concentrator Supplies to India:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bAtKlSrxsa4

Covaxin’s Superior Efficacy: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6NQq4nnocs8

Why is Kerala Faring Better Than Other Indian States:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OfGEDtvXynQ

Prasun K. Sengupta said...

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9507749/How-scientists-Wuhan-lab-helped-Chinese-army-secret-project-animal-viruses.html

https://theprint.in/india/covid-norms-go-for-a-toss-at-huge-rallies-of-trs-bjp-congress-in-telangana-for-civic-polls/647583/

Mt.Kailash Tour: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wOkATkuD4Tk

Power Connected to 1st Electrified Railway in Tibet:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rhAb7Pyk_34

The Sanatani Bhartiya said...

Prasun,
1)Is it likely that Pakistan will collapse under financial strain?The way situation is developing in Pakistan is leading to a situation where the Chinks will enter and capture it!
2)Any news on the torpedoes for the Scorpenes?
3)Are more Scorpenes being procured or the Navy is concentrating on SSN's?
4)Why is the US acting like it is?What does it want?
5)Has the contract for two additional Phalcons been placed?
6)Can we ever hope to get back PoK/ Giltit Baltistan?
7)The way things are moving it appears that the war with covid will never end and result in thousands of avoidable casualties.

Prasun K. Sengupta said...

https://theprint.in/opinion/light-tanks-served-well-in-62-but-ladakh-needs-a-stryker-like-multipurpose-combat-platform/647939/

Excellent assessment & a tight slap on the faces of all those 'desi patrakaars' who have been clamouring for Light Tanks.

Ashutosh said...

Dear sir, once you have opined in your previous blog that LCH in large numbers will reduce the requirement of mechanized forces. With reference to thensure discussion in this blog and realising the fact that LCH is due for induction soon, do you think LCH will reduce requirement of light tanks /long range tube artillery etc.

Dharmin said...

"This puts forward the demand for a new type of 40-tonne MBT that is more balanced in protection and mobility and can replace the existing Type-88A and Type-96 MBTs."

Looks like Chinese army is switching from light tank to medium weight tank for high altitudes areas.
While indian army issued rfi for light tank.
Can you explain why indian army is opting for light tanks?

ShivKurup said...

Prasunji,
1) Considering the relatively short range of SMASH 2000 (120 meters)
,will it suffice to bring down the armed mini UAVs china possesses?

2) Will the DRDO developed anti drone system be effective against the chinese drones?

3) Considering chinese air force is handicapped by high altitude of their airbases, can we use airpower to neutralize china's artillery and rocket launchers?

4) The military imbalance between china and india has been growing in the former's favour for the last 20-25 years. At what year do you expect this imbalance to peak, following which india can manage to start narrowing the gap? 2030 or later?

5) What kind of damage can chinese electronic and cyber warfare do to us in the event of a limited war in ladakh or arunachal?

6) Can india successfully limit the damage caused by chinese cyber and electronic attack in a limited war?

7) If not, is india developing or importing anything to defend against such electronic and cyber attacks?

8) How many carriers (Type 003 type) would china need to take the andaman islands from us in a naval war, if no foreign powers intervene?

9) Given the indian navy's modernisation, do you ever see the chinese navy superceding ours in the northern indian ocean? If so when do you predict it might happen?

10) In the absence of american help, would the japanese self defence forces be able to defend the home islands (not okinawa) from a chinese attack or blockade?

Thanks

Nayandeep said...

Dear sir thanks for the answer that you gave me..it cleared a lot of misconceptions. My next question to you is, that if the chinese are not willing to engage in face to face combat or simply put not willing to take a good amount of body bags as the cpc might loose face then why is this factor not being taken into consideration for our future moves..why are we always on a reactionary mode why not pre empt things which will anyway come to a pass on the time and place of our adversary's choosing. Have we learnt nothing from General zorawar singh? Is our leadership hemophobic ?

VSJ said...

Thankyou for explanation.

1) wrt above article by Maj Gen Panag some vets have suggested increasing 4x4 mounted atgm launchers, increased atgm launchers quota to battalions and adding squadrons of NAMICA to armd rgmts, can that replace any light tank requirements?
There is an anti tank variant of excalibur using 2 cbu105 bomblet per shell.

2) how to deal with SP/Mobile artillery particularly on LAC when we are mostly towed force? Has dhanush MGS failed requirements that we need RFI for new?

3) What will be the role of mahindra LSV? some say instead of COIN it can be used as mobile HMG, atgm and recon mounts for battalions. Alternatively is there an option to have a super mobile humvee based infantry division?

4) wrt to attack helos fleet, some vets cautioned against having too much focus on air attack bgds, as even in best SEAD/DEAD ops there is good chance of enemy manned isolated 23-30 mm guns and manpads be left operational in battlefield? Whats the counter?

Thank in advance.

Raj Gupta said...

Type-96B = 40 tonne tank

Prasun K. Sengupta said...

To THEINDIAN: 1) It had collapsed a long time ago & is now for all intents & purposes just another province of China. 2, 3 & 5) No one has the time for such matters, only electioneering matters & that’s what has led to the criminal breach of trust over a 4-month period starting from last November on the part of almost all political ‘netas’ of India. 4) Because that’s how Superpowers/Vishwagurus act. 6) Not if the present state of affairs continue. 7) It will not end for as long as India’s ‘netas’ want it to stay. As I had always stated, what goes around, comes around, this being the law of nature. If you recall, sometime back in 2017 the PM of India himself had said that if a village was to have a graveyard, then it must also have a crematorium. Another ‘neta’ went further to then claim that there should be no graveyards, but only crematoriums. Here are their soundbytes:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dL9gpx2qaF0

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ybt57BgMuMM

So, it seems the Gods of Yore have now starting granting their wishes to them. So much so that even crematoriums meant for animals are now being converted into those meant for human beings:

Dog Crematorium Site In South Delhi’s Dwarka Used For Humans:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fkKD8_c5mh0

The Gods of Yore indeed work in mysterious ways when administering justice!

And only now the true definition of ATMANIRBHAR is emerging:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pO_ALQDXDnk

As opposed to all this, China has begun launching the modules of its future station station:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wz6iuNdrdN8

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nZGR9LHSVNE

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w65eqBCXkWA

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i54A8WaXVYs

Prasun K. Sengupta said...

To ASHUTOSH: Attack helicopters, when employed en masse like that done by the armies of the US, UK & France, produce the desired effect in blunting the land offensives by armoured & mechanised Divisions. But the IA has not yet adopted such concepts it still views helicopter gunships & attack helicopters as just deliverers of immediate air-support. Hence, the IAF ordering only 10 LCHs & the IA ordering only 5 does not translate into a credible conventional deterrence capability. One therefore will have to wait & see what the final quantum of orders for LCHs will be for both the IA & IAF.

To DHARMIN: That still remains an aspirational capability for the PLAGF, because it is still next to impossible to produce a light tank that has superior firepower while being lightweight, because armoured protection even with APS suite never comes as a weight-saving solution.

To SHIVKURUP: 1 & 2) VTOL-UAVs of China are lightweight & hence do not carry any long-range air-to-ground weaponry & hence Smash-2000 will work well against them. For other types of UAVs, only manportable data-link jammers & laser effectors will produce the desired results. 3) Yes, but a far better option will be the SS-BSMs. 4) The gap is the most only where the navies are concerned. In the land forces & air forces domain, the IA & IAF still has the decisive edge. 5) Cyber warfare will not be used on the battlefield, but in other areas like civilian economic/financial infrastructure. 6) Yes. 8) All expeditionary navies require bases all along their navigation routes. Consequently, if a PLAN carrier battle group or even 2 of them begin their journey from Hainan Island & come non-stop towards the A & N island-chain, they will not be able to access logistics support (like fuel, food, ammunition etc etc) & hence the PLAN will never attempt such an expeditionary mission. 9) No, it won’t be possible due to the reasons I have given. 10) Again, the PLAN will never attempt such an operation due to the logistical constraints.

To NAYANDEEP: The reason was given yesterday by Ravi Rikhye: “I don't understand why Indians cannot understand that since Aksai Chin was stolen, any recovery we make is NOT aggression, whereas anything we give up, even if matched by China, is a defeat.”

To VSJ: 1) The answer lies in the topmost image I had uploaded above. That is the PLAGF’s solution as of today, because the PLAGF’s demand for light tanks remains ASPIRATIONAL & has yet to be achieved. Incidentally, during DEFEXPO-2016 TATA did show a similar concept, as shown here:

https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-HiD4Ez3riaM/Vv8HBIdhvMI/AAAAAAAAKfI/B8hjVcut0o0PhBw7KrASIQPeQAAi8CQYw/s1600/TATA%2BMotors%2BKestrel%2B8%2Bx%2B8%2Bwith%2BNag%2BATGM%2BLauncher.jpg

2) It is known as precision fires, which can easily be delivered by Guided Pinaka-2 rockets. 3) Such vehicles are meant only for peacetime recce & won’t last on the battlefield during wartime as they will be useless against ATGMs. 4) In high-altitude plateau warfare, attack helicopters have utility, but of a very limited nature because, for instance, an AH-64E flying at 20,000 feet ASL will be able to carry only about 40% of its offensive weapons payload.

Kaustav said...

Prasunda

The Chinese Betrayal by BN Mollick - good revision of known facts. He understands but doesn't get the Army view point that an army chooses it's battlegrounds & does not necessarily defend set pieces. An army fights to it's strengths, not weaknesses. While India faces biological warfare intended or unintended, it's best to prepare for the day when & IF there is a regime change to drive PRC from Tibet & Xinjiang. Unfortunately, PRC seems to have the correct attitude of superiority to us in their Nationalism / Patriotism as Mallick identifies. Let us continue to secure what we have. PRC has tried to show us a mirror many times but we refuse to look into ourselves. India has much to learn, but we dont seem to or suffer from constraints as we did in the fifties.
As you say, those Gods of Yore can't really assist if we can't help ourselves. PRC is a good enemy though.

asd said...

Dear Prasun,

1. If Tejas Mk1 and Mk1A can get pylon based MAWS, then JF-17 too can. If this happens, will Tejas lose out to JF-17?

2. Further how much effective a pylon based MAWS compared to a dedicated MAWS?

VSJ said...

1) Sir still possible to relaunch sudden heliborne ops to drop troops on finger 4 heights and both shoulders of kailash range - rechin la pass like last time?
Then overtime develop full fledge infrastructre to support and sustain these high altitude posts. New LAC be realigned permanently?

2) when brahmos NG comes, is it possible to add 8 slanted silos each like Rajput class modification to our current destroyers and frigates? Or exposed silos will be vulnerable?

Thanks

bhoutik said...

*https://www.ynetnews.com/magazine/article/S1Rh31ODu

could there be a link between EL/M-2084 & high cancer rates as alleged by some israelis? if there is, could IAF personnel be at risk from Arudhra?

*will India use VC-11184 to monitor any american tests of interest?

Prasun K. Sengupta said...

To KAUSTAV: All the more reason to read the book WAR IN HIGH HIMALAYAS by Ret’d Maj Gen D K Palit, where the contrarian PoV has been presented. Only after reading both books will an objective assessment emerge.

To ASD: 1) What do you mean by “JF-17 too can”? Both JF-17 Block-2s & Block-3s have MAWS. 2) Obviously an internally mounted MAWS suite will offer less aerodynamic drag than MAWS sensors mounted as external pylon attachments.

To VSJ: 1) Why should it be sudden? If India all along has been claiming that the heights occupied on the night of August 31, 2020 were well within India-controlled territory along the LAC, then the IA should have permanent presence at those heights. Why has that not been happening before or why did India decide to abandon those heights last February remains an unexplained mystery to everyone & no satisfactory answers have been given by anyone in authority. Because if India has decided to leave them unoccupied, then that gives China the perfect excuse to occupy them permanently without any warning—i.e. exactly how India has since the 1980s lost all the pasturelands in eastern Ladakh. Has all this been explained to the ‘netas’ ruling from Delhi??? 2) Slanted BrahMos-1 silos have been operational on INS Rajput since 2005. I was the first one to bring it to everyone’s notice here:

http://trishulgroup.blogspot.com/2008/12/brahmos-mrcm-operational-with-indian.html

To BHOUTIK: It is very much possible, as such radars are mounted at heights above 15 metres. You want Indian tracking vessels to travel all the way to the east & west coasts of the USA to monitor their missile-firings? Are you still harbouring any thoughts about India attaining ‘Vishwaguru’ status?

Meanwhile, do read these:

https://assets.documentcloud.org/documents/20692731/hypersonic-weapons-background-and-issues-for-congress-april-26-2021.pdf

https://www.iiss.org/-/media/files/research-papers/open-source-analysis-of-irans-missile-and-uav-capabilities-and-proliferation.pdf

https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/975077/Global_Britain_in_a_Competitive_Age-_the_Integrated_Review_of_Security__Defence__Development_and_Foreign_Policy.pdf

And watch this: Shitski!: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D7dZjqKRX1A

Looks like the Kalibre-PLE Fire-Control System suite was unable to transfer the fire-control solution to the 3M-14 Kalibre cruise missile.

just_curious said...

prasun,

why isn't India declaring the following null & void, has the Indian polity given up on GB & POK?.. http://idrw.org/imran-khan-announces-rs-370-billion-development-package-for-pak-occupied-gilgit-baltistan/#more-253827...
also where has the Dim found his "Moneyplant" to fund this?

Prasun K. Sengupta said...

To JUST_CURIOUS: India has got a lot more to worry about, thanks to the premature declarations of euphoria & dwelling in a world of make-belief over the past 4 months, as explained here:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xhlZwF8uNOQ&t=203s

Consequently, China is now taking full advantage & is this is how it is going about it:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OHAWr3zbu-0

For India, the slogan now is: From ATMANIRBHAR (self-reliance) TO SABH PE NIRBHAR (dependent on anybody & everybody). This is the price of the arrogance displayed by all those 'netas' from all those parties who for the past 5 months have been appearing in Parliament, public events, election rallies & TV talk-shows without wearing face-masks!!!

Vedant said...

to prasun da,
1) how much is R&AW potent.
2) what are its strength which can be used to counter the anti indian propaganda running.
3) do you believe that there was some disinformation campaign in work as suggested by the EU
based Disinfo lab.
4) what is your analysis for the indian external intelligence agency r&aw.

asd said...

Dear Prasun,

Can India play Taliban card to create unrest in resistive Xinxiang after the exit of US army? Can it be an alternative to thwart Chinese dominance? Please share your view.

bhoutik said...

*i often find it curious that Indian assessments of others often tend to overlook very obvious ethnic angles. for example in the below:

https://www.lowyinstitute.org/the-interpreter/agalega-glimpse-india-s-remote-island-military-base

notice the mention of ethnic & cultural ties of Indians & Hinduism. i can't think of a single Indian assessment of Australia, highlighting the euro-ethnic & christian ties, not to mention the ties to the british monarchy which raises obvious questions on whether to consider them fully sovereign country. why the difference?

*speaking of the western indian ocean, since United States military base on Diego Garcia is housed inside an unlawful jurisdiction, the British Indian Ocean Territory (BIOT), according to the African Union, UN General Assembly and a recent advisory opinion of the International Court of Justice, wouldn't it be perfectly okay for us to conduct a FONOP style sail-past or flypast? (yes, i know where we are comparatively & in terms of our dependancy, but humor me)

also, since Port Louis has made no secret of its desire keep open the base on Diego Garcia, and with the agalega base taking shape, where do you see the status of diego garcia headed? and if that question arises, do you see India supporting mauritius against british pleas? and do you see a tripartite arrangement where India takes over from the brits and it becomes a joint Indo-American base? what indeed, would be our interest & what is the likely outcome?

bhoutik said...

by the way, also very curious how the chinese never bring up the diego garcia issue with respect to US & UK & west philippine sea, despite this being a low hanging fruit. why so?

bhoutik said...

barkha dutt's turning the death of her dad into a sob-story for american media was appalling to watch. unbelievable. she might even be lying about the incident - https://twitter.com/TusharMehtaFC/status/1388501443456344067

ShivKurup said...

Prasunji,

1) Can the Arihant and Aridhaman fire Klub anti ship and LACM in addition to torpedoes and SLBM?

2) How many torpedoes/klub missiles can each arihant class carry?

3) What are the advantages a naval 4-face fixed aesa radar (like the MF-STAR) possess over a rotating one (like the kronos or type 997 artisan) apart from continuous 360 degree coverage and less chance of mechanical failure?

4) In terms of human resources, as far as training, tactical and strategic proficiency - which army, indian or chinese, do you think is better and by how much?

5) Apart from increase in range, what other advantages does the 3x3m mfstar on the Kolkata class have over the smaller 1x2m on the israeli saar corvettes?

6) On how many ships has the mareech atds been deployed so far?

7) On how many ships has the atlas elektronik ACTAS been deployed yet?

8) Will be ASW shallow water craft being built by GRSE and CSL come equipped with a towed sonar on arrival or will we have to wait years like for the P28 corvettes?

9) Has the indian navy surface ships been equipped with the 450km range brahmos ASCM yet?

Thanks

Ashish Gautam said...

Mamta took Bengal sir as expected. BJP grown its presence by almost 26-27 times. That's good but idk why seems like by 2026 bengal may become another Kashmir. She won't let Rohingyas leave bengal even if court orders or centre tries it's best unless her govt is removed using 356 which is not gonna happen.
So another partition of India is under cooking. This time may be whole north east by cutting away chicken's neck.
Idk what ur experience n assessment says but bharat ka bhavishya andhkar may he lgta hai.
Vishwaguru to bane nahi vishwa bhikhari zarur ban gaye. Zimmedar hm khud hai or hmare anpadh gawar neta bhi. Across d party lines.

AMIT BISWAS said...

As predicted by u narrative building by china has begun

https://mobile.twitter.com/globaltimesnews/status/1388860294378577922

bhoutik said...

someone commented on twitter that poonawalla is running with the hares & hunting with the hounds. my thoughts exactly. got a bad smell when he bad mouthed bharat biotech few months back. & the social media photos of his wife and that godrej guys wife give off similar 3rd-rate aura. seems a small section of parsis have similar paki-style identity issues with respect to India. not hating like pakis. but a distinct air that can be gauged when u don't consider yourself a son of the soil.

Prasun K. Sengupta said...

To BHOUTIK: If India wants the navies of the UK & US to be close by during national emergencies, then such navies will need island-based logistics-support facilities. And the track-record thus far shows that when the shit hit the fan both in 1962 & 2020, it was India that had approached the US for displaying a show of strength in the Indian Ocean. And this will be repeated in future as well. Nor is there any comparison between Diego Garcia & West Philippine Sea, because the former has been tacidly given to the US, while in the South China Sea all the objections are about the Nine-Dash Line that has no historical or legal basis as per international law. One does not need anyone like Barkha Dutt to disclose or opine about the pathetic state of affairs within India at this moment when various High Courts & even the Supreme Court have already made the Govt of India disclose the kind of data that would otherwise have been kept a secret. If someone like Mukesh Ambani can be threatened with IEDs & Adar Poonawala can receive threats & intimidating calls, then all this shows how ineffectual the Union MHA has become, especially since the current Union Home Minister prefers to spend more time on electioneering & far less time in his office.

To SHIVKURUP: 1) Arihant & Arighat, and not any name invented by internet fanboys. Yes. 2) You can count the torpedo tubes in slides that I had uploaded several times before in this blog. 3) Laws of physics dictate that the lesser the amount of dynamic/electro-mechanical movement, the longer the service life of the hardware & the lesser the malfunctions. 4) India has the upper edge because the Indian system of service is voluntary whereas the Chinese system is based on conscription. 5) It can function far more functions. 6) On about six warships. 7) On six warships. 8) They will have only ‘Abhay’ low-frequency hull-mounted active/passive sonar. 9) No.

To ASHISH GAUTAM: Yes, Shri Ram Ji has delivered his verdict. And here are the reasons why the TMC won:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H6W-5U7_EsU
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cP5apruWc70
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I_fNM-8lFq4

Don’t get carried away by all such ill-informed propaganda about Rohingyas or anything Muslim-related. And that’s because cattle-smuggling carries on unabated NOT from WB, but through the Assam-Bangladesh IB. In any case, no state govt can encourage illegal infiltration by keeping them a secret from the BSF. So the onus is on the Union MHA to ensure that such acts don’t happen. Also, Bharat ka bhavishya aur bhi ujaala hoga, because the Gods of Yore have begun delivering justice & through their actions, certain tectonic changes will now have to take place in India, including:

1) Far-reaching reforms within the Election Commission, so that it is free from the Union MHA’s intimidation.

2) A radical rejig of Centre-State relations, because the current crisis due to the pandemic’s 2nd wave was all man-made & case caused ENTIRELY by over-centralisation of powers.

3) The consequent top-to-bottom institutional failures have shaken the faith that India’s citizens had on govts at both the central & State levels. Those states that have been pro-active have been rewarded, while those that have been apathetic will have to pay a heavy price.

So once again, the Gods of Yore have proven to those ‘netas’ of India who constantly harp about ‘Bhagwaan ki Kripa/Krupa’ (by God’s Grace) that the Almighty never does any Kripa/Krupa on anyone. Instead, the Almighty only helps those who are willing to help themselves first. Begging,/praying/pleading for forgiveness does not work with the Almighty, whose foundational rule is elementary, which is: You only reap what you sow. Mistakes, blunders & deliberate sins can be reversed only through atonement (PRAAESHCHITH). If not, then punishment will be meted out. These are the only 2 available options. Aur isiliye Tripura DM Shailesh Yadav का हुआ प्रमोशन (Promotion):

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2oqF-buyBeg

Anonymous said...

Prasunda,

What becomes of the rohingyas settled in India? Would GoI be able to deport them ? They do constitute a security threat.

Satyaki

Prasun K. Sengupta said...

To SATYAKI: They are not settled in India & they have UNHCR registration cards. Hence, all that India can do is to approach countries that accept them as refugees & then repatriate them to any such country that is willing to accept them. If they constituted a security threat, then why were they allowed into India in 2014? Now, if the GoI wants to deport them, then there's only 1 place left for them to go: Bangladesh's Bhashan Char Island refugee facility. But for that to happen, certain Buffoons in the executive branch of the GoI need to stop referring to the Bangladeshis as TERMITES. If not, then the Rohingyas will continue to rot inside India for good.

To AMIT BISWAS: Here's China now moving in for the kill:

https://theprint.in/diplomacy/chinas-top-govt-body-mocks-indias-cremation-pyres-deletes-post-after-backlash/651238/

https://theprint.in/health/pharma-industry-warns-of-covid-drug-shortages-as-raw-materials-prices-surge-200/650792/

While the western front too has been re-activated:

https://indianexpress.com/article/india/pakistan-violates-ceasefire-agreement-fires-along-ib-in-j-ks-samba-7300148/

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dAmUfN9hPsk

Prasun K. Sengupta said...

Aur Yeh Hai UP ka Haal: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bQjl1jeFJjM

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RCrkzR13oFA&t=3s

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FnFUNKzdyPk&t=34s

ShivKurup said...

Prasun sir,
1) How far can a naval multi role helicopter target a destroyer sized vessel for the chopper's ship to be able to launch an ASCM at it? Is it upto radar horizon of the chopper or less than that?

2) Is there any difference between an AWAC type chopper like the Ka-31 and a MRH like the ka-28 or MH-60 when it comes to ranges at which they can target surface vessels for their respective ships to engage them which an ASCM? Apart from range, is there any difference between the 2 types of choppers for anti surface warfare?

3) Considering modern Chinese ASCMs can outrange even the 290km range brahmos, how can our ships engage in successful anti surface warfare against the PLAN?

4) Wouldnt it be prudent as a result to procure the 450km range brahmos as soon as possible for our surface ships?

5) How come all of a sudden over the last 5 years the DRDO has been able to successfully test a large variety of guided munitions whereas it failed to do that for decades before? Is it due to growth of indias overall economy and industry which is now able to support the DRDO's efforts better or help from other countries like USA?

Kaustav said...

Prasunda


Remember, just two decades ago, PRC had no Chemical & API industry worth the name. India was through Chemical Industry for the entire world. Today here's PRC now moving in for the kill as they have the supply chain and many of our APIs closed down for lack of orders and dumping by PRC of substandard but cheap RM & Intermediates Live & Learn.

AsRemember, just two decades ago, PRC had no Chemical & API industry worth the name. India was through Chemical Industry for the entire world. Today here's PRC now moving in for the kill as they have the supply chain and many of our APIs closed down for lack of orders and dumping by PRC of substandard but cheap RM & Intermediates Live & Learn. As always India has only itself to blame rather than the enemy taking advantage of us

asd said...

Dear Prasun,

Can India play Taliban card to create unrest in resistive Xinxiang after the exit of US army? Can it be an alternative to thwart Chinese dominance? Please share your view.

Rajesh Mishra said...

As per a TV news, a new variant of the Corona has been found in Kurnool (AP). This variant is supposed to be spreading at the rate of 1000 times faster than the original virus. I am telling all this because I do not want to be blamed that why I did not tell it earlier. BTW your Tejas Oxygen idea is getting good response. For your kind comments please???

AMIT BISWAS said...

Leave alone UP, Nothing to boast about in bengal too..citizens are being killed by ruling party thugs, muslims raping hindu women's doing bjp party...kolkatas bhadrolok doesn't represent entire bengal either..even police aren't spared

https://twitter.com/THlNGSWORK/status/1388749432930258947?s=20

Rajesh Mishra said...

May Please see :
https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/hyderabad/mutant-n440k-10-times-more-infectious-than-parent-strain/articleshow/82348011.cms

Mohan said...

What we are seeing in west bengal is overfull of development, employment & maturity of socialism to the fullest.

Best of luck to people who voted for its own destruction.

Prasun K. Sengupta said...

To SHIVKURUP: 1) Yes, it all depends on the surveillance envelope of the radar as determined by the curvature of Earth, i.e. radar horizon. 2) Both types can undertake surface search for detecting targets at sea, but shipborne NRMHs can’t provide AEW cues. 3) Even though naval BrahMos-1 has 290km-range, till to date, such an ASCM has NOT been tested against any moving naval target. Every time it was fired out to its maximum range, it was always against STATIC FLOATING targets. The same applies to all China-origin ASCMs as well. Targetting moving naval targets beyond the radar horizon is impossible for the navies of both China & India. Only the US Navy’s LRASM can receive & act upon re-targetting updates sent in real-time. 4) Only if the targets are static in nature & are shore-based or further inland. 5) It is due to the growing military-industrial infrastructure in the private-sector, due to which prototype fabrication has been expedited.

To KAUSTAV: That’s right. It reminds us all about BENGAL CHEMICALS & how it has been treated, instead of nurturing it as a national treasure. Same goes for HCL & the sad tale of how India missed the bus when it came to developing ‘desi’ computer servers & PC workstations.

To ASD: And what will happen if China retaliates by playing the ULFA card & also starts supporting the extortionist syndicates within Manipur & Nagaland?

To RAJESH MISHRA: Arey bhaya, all the new mutant strains are far less virulent. Thje reason they are spreading fast is due to idiotic acts like these:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AlaT4rYRuIw

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZuNM_rWNsEM

Wherever sound common-sense has been applied, there is no chaos & everything is proceeding in an orderly manner, like these:

https://theprint.in/india/no-entry-for-pilgrims-tourists-temples-shut-how-ayodhya-averted-a-kumbh-amid-covid-surge/651295/

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sa4vCG1oY6M&t=178s

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cr36Bc-xx7g&t=10s

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sL75Bh0yjf8&t=30s

To MOHAN & AMIT BISWAS: What we are all seeing in WB is is exactly what is nature’s law, i.e. the history of a land is always dictated by its geography. There are no magic formulae, nor are there any devis/devtas standing by to descend from the heavens above. WB’s economic future is intrinsically tied that of India’s north-east but the road has to pass through Bangladesh. Consequently, regional economic integration is the key & this in turn will spill over into Bihar, Chattisgarh & Jharkhand, with even Odisha becoming a part of this axis of economic activity. Lastly, WB’s record is far better & much more humane when it comes to treating the migrant workers, which number about 2.5 lakh. Compared to the chaotic & inhuman exodus of migrant workers from other states & metropolis last year, none of that was witnessed anywhere inside WB. So yes, all other states of India have a lot more to learn from & about WB.

rad said...

hi prasun
i was just thinking about the targeting of mobile enemy ships by the brahmos . It is taken for granted that a ship travles at 20 knots average ie roughly 11 mts per sec. The brahmose average speed is 1 km persec in hi- hi - low flight profile. To cover 300 km it will take 300 secs. In 300 secs the target ship would have travelled 3300 mtrs ie about 3.3 km .
Surely the imaging radar of the brahmos has a detection range off approx 20km . So which ever way the target ship goes it will be deffinitely within the cone of detection of the brahmos radar when it arrives at the initial tqargeted position?.. Of course if there are multiple ships around some AI software methodologhy should be used to detect the correct target.Even if the ship is travelling at 30 knots it still falls wihtin the range of the brahmos radar. The other costly solution is to bracket the target ship with a salvo of 2 or three just like torpedoes from a submarine . Surely that will do the job?
giventhe US philosophy we have to put a samall sat com terminal on the nirbhay to give it the flexibility like the LRSM of teh US ?
Is the A320 AWACS project on?

your views

Srinivasa Nanduri said...

It's unfortunate to see a rationalist like you justifying violence, lynching and rape as natural order of law in Bengal. Bengal today is not a model of anything but thuggish behaviour. Even in states like up and Bihar we do not see this kind of post poll violence.

Prasun K. Sengupta said...

To RAD: It all depends on the range gate of the X-band SGH seeker, the terminal flight trajectory of the BrahMos-1 & the maritime traffic in the area where the targetted vessel is. In the high seas it will be very much possible for a NMRH to pick up distinct confirmed targets without any clutter, but in littoral or territorial waters the chances of erroneous targetting beyond a distance of 70km will be highly risky. If an LRASM-type capability is reqd, then that will call for the deployment of a much higher concentration of ocean surveillance & communications relay satellite constellations, i.e. about 70 satellites dedicated to just this job over the IOR.

To SRINIVASA NANDURI: LoLz! Kindly bring to my attention any statement or observation I had ever made that justified any criminal or unlawful act. On the contrary, I have always maintained that due to India being ruled & not being governed, law enforcement will always remain a half-baked affair. As for Bihar & UP, they are the worst-faring in terms of caste-based violence & targetted violence against Dalit communities on any given day all 365 days every year, regardless of pre-poll/post-poll periods. Kindly try not to gloss over this ground reality so that you can avoid being economical with the truth. Just a gentle reminder.

Kaustav said...

Prasunda

InnWest Bengal, the fault lies with the Hindus or BJP as you like it. There isn't a cohesive Hindu vote which isn't anything new. If the state is absent or in collusion with a party counter attacks should be organised & launched. Wimps aren't respected. Some BJP leaders are apparently whining for Central assistance. Obviously, theu don't have a political base, having been parachuted in. Whatever, the merits of such politicos, it's obvious that they & Hindus in general are not able to put up a fight which encourages the opposition. Instead of running away, they should retaliate & if necessary die fighting. It is just like 1971 in East Paxtan. Fighting back might encourage those that are timid to stand up & fight. Bengal isn't a state for timidity. Violence is part of the landscape & it will get them safety & respect. Fight Back, nobody comes to help cowards Atleast die fighting rather than die like cowards.

AMIT BISWAS said...

But how do u justify the violence in land of so called bhadrolok..be it 2011 or now 2021 only party change but behaviour didnt
..so it does prove bengali r bigots while couldnt keep own house in order it is better we don't give gyaan to other states..


Having said the economic angle u highlighted is correct..prosperity and economy of bengal is linked to bangladesh

just_curious said...

Prasun,

1-whatever happened to OFB's truck mounted CIWS is it being tested.. any chance of it being inducted?

2-IJT 36 spin test status? will these be inducted if yes, then will the IAF now have 4level training htt40, IJT36, Hawk, lift? or will some hwak be converted into light support aircraft given that weapons integration in being done. pls share updates that too (hawk wepons integration)

3-Jaishankar @G7 meet any new developemnts expected?

4-taliban has reached out to india 24 times??? http://www.indiandefensenews.in/2021/05/taliban-has-reached-out-to-india-24.html


5-why is egpyt on a defence spending spree espically when they have no money be it the prev buys of rafale, mistrals, mig 35 etc .. now another batch of rafales? add http://www.indiandefensenews.in/2021/05/taliban-has-reached-out-to-india-24.html.. another wannabe caliph sprouting .. this time from egypt? how do these countries plan the maintance & opertaional costs of such diverse set of weapons?

6-Indo-UK virtual 2+2.. some good outcomes expected?

ShivKurup said...

Prasun sir,
Thanks for previous replies
1) Following on from your reply to Rad, supposing in a war scenario a kolkata class destroyer of the IN engages a type 052d of the PLAN in the high seas where there is no clutter. Neither side is part of a CBG and have only their NMRH for OTH targeting of each other.
If the chinese NMRH flies at an altitude of 3500m consistently, it should be able to target the kolkata at a distance of ~265km.
And if the NMRH flies a short distance ahead, it should be able to help the type 052d launch its longer range ASCM at the kolkata beyond the 290km range brahmos.
I know it seems unlikely, but what are options the kolkata class has in such a scenario?
Is it possible for the NMRH to do that kind of targetting at that distance?
Can the NMRH be jammed by onboard sensors of the kolkata class destroyer?
I ask this also because most western ASCMs like exocet have even shorter ranges. So how do those ships defend themselves when confronting an enemy equipped with much longer reaching ASCMs?

2) Once a warship knows it is being targetted by an NMRH for OTH missiles from an enemy warship, what are the responses it initiates to defend itself?
We know that the ship can deploy chaff and ECM to fool the missile and use SAM and point defences to shoot an incoming missile down, but what other options are there to defend against an attack? Is there anything that the targetted warship can do to the NMRH itself in terms of electronic counter measures?

Srinivasa Nanduri said...

I agree with you on caste discrimination and violent nature of UP & bihar. But can't remember last time we had post poll violence this like:

Https://t.co/0Sz9R2wq5E

Anonymous said...

How many Brahmos-A have been ordered by IAF & how many of them have been delivered till now?

Thanks!
Aman

asd said...

Dear Prasun,

I want to conclude my discussion about Sino India military conflict. India will lose to China. China will give bloody nose to India in case of conflict and we patriotic citizens will bid adieu to Martyrs. Period.

SUJOY MAJUMDAR said...

Srinivasa Nanduri,

Due to Telugu people who regularly enter the US illegally it has become almost impossible for people from other states to get a US visa. And this is what happens in your civilized state. People beaten to death in broad daylight

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=plC_Dr6XQJw

Telugu people are generally practical & smart but you sound like those mediocre BIMARU Sanghis who post on this blog. Since they come from failed states themselves they have ample time to pontificate about happenings in other states.

So keep your below average knowledge about other states to yourselves.






Anonymous said...

hi sir a longtime lurker,
1. how does indian SAMs fare against the chinese ones?
2. just now came to know that when PARAM was first released, it was the 2nd fastest than what cray offered ;). Is node tech been our downfall sir, as PARAM Sanganak, the indian made is about 1.3 petaflops?
3. what node is is PARAM Sanganak processor made of?
4. is there any news about the new indian army camo?
5. since now i have some idle time, i would like it to spend by learning indian history sir. Don't know where to start. suggestions will be helpful sir!
6. remember seeing a long conversation b/w you and a member on kumari kandam and origin of Tamil people. would be nice if u give some article/ documentry regarding th conversation! (i guess him name was sentil kumar)

thank you
Venkatesh

Rogue said...

During the lockdown I have been bing watching WW2 documentaries. I can draw parallels to the direction this country is going with people like these.

Srinivasa Nanduri said...


@ SUJOY MAJUMDAR ...

Thank you for checking about me and my sub-national identity. Unlike many northern/eastern folks you did call me a Telugu and not a madrassi.

Yes i am a Telugu from Hyderabad which has 40% muslim population. We do not discriminate ppl based on what they eat or language they speak either, like ppl of WB.

Regarding Telugu illegals in USA, last i checked its a human nature i guess to go for better opportunities. Many do legally some illegally. Each one to their own. Whom am i to judge. Other than to belittle my ethnicity i do not know why you bought this topic up. Didn't know i will be trolled here that too on a off topic. Its cute.

Regarding the activist lawyer couple hacked to death while returning from High court by their rivals with whom they were embroiled in a land dispute, the police already caught the culprits and they are in jail.

Why a Telegu is like a mediocre BIMARU Sanghi? Don't know may be because he feels that your Didi might be a mass leader but leads a band of thugs. Please do not misunderstand me, I do have healthy respect for all Indians including the ppl with extreme ethnocentric feelings with an air of arrogance around them.

Regarding my knowledge about other states and what i can say or not say, thank you for reminding why trolls will be trolls no matter the platform. God bless you and your state with development and more importantly harmony.

Regards,
Srinivasa Nanduri

Unknown said...

Even if there comes a cohesive hindus vote bank, BJP will dump them.. ultimately its ex cpm and tmc cadres that have joined BJP..which organic vote winning leader has come out from Bengal..also if violence post polls is happening, what stops a rich party like BJP to give back to TMC in the language they understand..one should lead with strength

Regards

Kunal

Technology, Photograpy and Travel said...

@majumdar the maximum illegal entries to other countries is from Punjab state , Telugus use the route of he MS education, they delay their masters to get more time and then go for H1B ... the illegal route is not easy for Indians and most of the illegal route is taken by the countries arround the USA .

As far as smart is considered I think there were more industrialists from Bengal than AP/Telangana till 1970's or till 1980's that cultures died in WB , with Left and TMC being for far too long !!

Prasun K. Sengupta said...

To AMIT BISWAS & SRINIVASA NANDURI: Nothing can justify the breakdown of law-n-order. But if one wants to undertake a holistic assessment, then one will also have to question the enabling factors, like stretching the election process to 8 rounds by the EC. Prolonged campaigning always raises tempers due to the inevitable degeneration of opposing electioneering narratives. Hence, leave alone WB, this will happen anywhere else in India as well for as long as the EC takes insane decisions.

To JUST_CURIOUS: 1) Even a functional prototype of that CIWS has yet to roll out. 2) Hawk Mk.132s are dual-tasked & hence they will continue to be used as AJTs. As for the IAF it has yet to officially state that it wants an IJT. 3) No. 4) There are several factions of the Taliban that have been officially communicating with the Indian Embassy in Kabul since 2014 itself. 5) Egypt receives heavy financial support from both KSA & the UAE for protecting both countries’ investments along the entire Horn of Africa. That’s why Egypt had acquired the two Mistral-class LPDs.

To SHIVKURUP: 1) Such a scenario will never materialise because during wartime, warships don’t deploy alone & instead they cruise as an integrated battle group. NMRHs always fly beyond the horizon of friendly warships & hence the warships’ EW capabilities won’t affect the NMRH. 2) Active jamming is then the only option left.

To SUJOY MAJUMDAR: It will be wrong to accuse just the Telugu-speaking natives of India of such acts. I myself have seen folks from Andhra Pradesh, Gujarat & Haryana going to Malaysia, then buying GENUINE Malaysian Passports & NRIC Identity Cards & then heading for the US & Canada. But only the folks from Haryana were unable to sing India’s national anthem & were even unaware of the words. All the rest could with ease.

To VENKATESH: 1) India’s SAM-based air-defences are on par with the best in the world, especially after the S-400 LR-SAMs start arriving. 2) All data on C-DAC & PARAM can be found here:

https://www.cdac.in/index.aspx?id=hpc_ss_supercomputing_systems

History of computing in India:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mPse1iQMtlw
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vwpv_KGxnDo
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r73IJVQJKmQ

https://www.thehindu.com/books/Story-of-computer-technology-in-India/article14680681.ece

5) You can start by going through the video presentations uploaded here:

https://www.youtube.com/c/SangamTalks/videos

I won’t recommend all that is available there, but some of them are insightful.

To UNKNOWN/KUNAL: Spot on! That’s why I had earlier observed that it all boils down to choosing either Skin Cancer (AITMC) or Blood Cancer (Left Front) or Bone Cancer (BJP).

To ASD: GoI had ignored early-warning of 2nd-wave: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DnTXVLIranY

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kUCuNyWZAEE

https://theprint.in/opinion/collapse-of-the-vishwaguru-in-60-days/651920/

https://theprint.in/economy/indias-covid-crisis-shows-lack-of-foresight-complacency-says-raghuram-rajan/652058/

Egypt Orders 30 More Rafales: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9Eep-3EfXKU

AMIT BISWAS said...

Veteran community thinks current CAS is corrupt to sign Rafale deal at high prices and Egyptian rafales deal is similar to indian Rafale deal....

https://twitter.com/BhaduriRajendra/status/1389641292074815495?s=20

https://twitter.com/BhaduriRajendra/status/1389636966795251722?s=20

https://twitter.com/BhaduriRajendra/status/1389636966795251722?s=20

AMIT BISWAS said...

Political class will loose elections for ignoring the corona plight...but no action will be taken against bureaucrats for their criminal action of inept handling of covid crisis..that's is the reason why our system never learn from old mistakes of ours

Kaustav said...

Prasunda

Maybe this observation might help as demographics always matter which you have always stated
"PK to Media - Wherever demography has changed & the ratio of Hindu & Muslim population is 7:3 or 6:4 then it is very difficult for BJP to win elections. If BJP wants to win they've to take 50-55% of Hindu votes but it is next to impossible because Hindus never vote like Muslims."

With a significant percentage of Hindus voting as yet for TMC including Women, state govt employees etc who are scared of change in status quo & expect freebies, the only way for any political party leadership to prosper is by standing by & being in n ground with the cadre. Else the BJP will lose the significant gains it has made.

Millard Keyes said...

Reading some of the comments from people who represent the Indian society, I am starting to wonder if India has moved on at all since the pre-British era. Britain took advantage of the exact mindset we see in India, they only capitalised on the same as shrewd business people. In 21st Century, a country that still sits on religious issues and divide, practices physical violence to settle political scores, rampant corruption permeates through all levels of bureaucracy...I mean the list goes on. Why would anyone take India seriously when in essence it is acting just like Pakistan? Religious bigotry, blaming external factors for internal shortcomings - I see no brighter prospect. Thankfully a small percentage of people in India do rise above these narrowmindedness and shortsightedness and I think the little bit of progress we see today is a result of those hard working individuals. Truth will hurt and as an example you will see those vomiting abuse to deal with the bitter pill I am sure but that can't stop me or anyone from speaking the truth out loud. I had great respect for Modi even though I dreaded BJP as an alternative to the inert Congress, but now once Modi secured his godi (borrowing Bengali) his cushy position is heading for a KHUD-cushy! Still Indians can't see that uniformity and unanimity aren't the same.

SUJOY MAJUMDAR said...

Yes Prasunda, you are correct. People from the states that you mentione also migrate to the West through dubious means. Just that Mr.Srinivas Nanduri is from Hyderabad so I pointed out to him that Telugu people are not holier than thou either.

Srinivas Nanduri could have made negative remarks against Bengal's political parties, instead he described Bengal as a model for "thuggish behaviour".

So I felt it necessary to remind him that his fellow Telugus are also violent and thuggish. Re communal riots that Nanduri states hardly happens in Hyderabad lets not forget that communal riots rocked Hyderabad in 2010 & 2013 and they were not due to election results.

https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/Curfew-in-Old-City-of-Hyderabad/article16627812.ece

https://www.indiatoday.in/magazine/indiascope/story/19810815-communal-violence-burns-hyderabad-leaves-35-people-dead-and-280-others-injured-773125-2013-11-15

Bengal is still being controlled by ECI till 5th May. There are still 1 lakh central forces in Bengal. ECI could have stopped this violence, they chose not to. Because after their humiliating defeat in Bengal, BJP is trying to flare up violence so as to impose President's rule.

Fake news pertaining to violence is being spread by BJP's IT cell/Godi Media. They are amplifying incidents of violence trying to create the impression that the entire state is in turmoil.

https://twitter.com/deepscribble/status/1389627634183667714?s=20

Unknown said...

@Rogue..india can not go down the world war 2 path..while i hope they do, i guess they ar incapable to do it..in world war 2 nations developed military industrial complexes which we havent done, leaders brainwashed their populace to actually and in practise be capable war fighting soldiers for racial/national cause; are we there; world war 2 nations came out with economic policies to fund war fighting efforts; india is still figuring out how to tackle npas and come out of covid induced slowdown. The second world war.nations.after the war became.developed and.prosperous after.a little over one generation; where is india post 74 years.

So.my dear while i hope india goes.down the world.war 2 path, i doubt india is capable of one. India has to develop its.own narrative and first thing it has to get rid of its colonial institutions and laws. Even the latter i dont see happening anytime atleast for the next 50 years

Regards

Kunal

asd said...

Dear Prasun,

Now you are committing a crime. You are putting Black Rock Salt on my already inflicted injury. I used to be bhakt; but no more. I'm rational, although not like you due to small knowledge domain.

However, a college going student could have planned to ramp up vaccine production at the end of first wave of pandemic. However, alas!!!! Modi Shah and thankfully the great health minister they all did their duty such a manner that there is a beeline of dead bodies in crematorium.

However again I'm thankful to you for posting valuable links above.

Srinivasa Nanduri said...


@ SUJOY MAJUMDAR

At least Millard Keyes has made a sensible critique of the current status of Indian Politics. You on the other hand come out as a Ethno-Nationalist with a sense of entitlement.

Be it as it may, there is political violence in Bengal politics and it is different from other parts of India. This is a basic documented reality. You being Bengali might get offended by it. At best i can say sorry for hurting your feelings but truth is just a google search away. Do that.

Whether we Telugus are thugs or not we do not have this political violence. Power is transferred peacefully and there is no retribution. Even our seperate state agitation was a peaceful one filled with self-sacrifice.

Regarding communal riots in Hyderabad that you mentioned in 2010 & 2013, both times it was in a particular locality (old city) of Hyderabad. A section of the city where MIM dictates terms with 90% muslim population. They happend during hindu festivals and police was able to contain it in both occasions that curfew imposed there. Whole city of Hyderabad was never in curfew.

Bengal is still being controlled by ECI till 5th May and it is a failure of ECI and central government that TMC workers are able to freely commit violence, kill ppl or rape women, loot property. No one but bengalis themselvers are causing damage to Bengal. If its workers are targetted obviously BJP will politicise it. You can complain about it. President rule though is out of question. No one is that insane. But Mamta is cornered. Her violent ways of rule will be challenged and questioned all over India. Cant help that either. BJP succeed in putting the narrative and picture of a vindictive and violent TMC worker.

There can be many fake posts but then there are equally damning videos of violence. Again a google search away. Do check it.

As much as i enjoyed seeing a angry bengali trying to show mirror image to a fellow Indian, it only has shown the subaltern ethno-nationalism of you. Nothing wrong with that. I do not have any illusions that it doesnt exist in India. But i am ok with that. I know i am not perfect and Telugus have there set of problems themselves.

To each there own. God Bless you. Jai Bangla Jai Telangana and Jai Hind.

Unknown said...

Sujoy..violence in bengal against BJP, CPIM and congress cadres is happening..the reason for such violence and threats is for these cadres to abandon their respective political parties and join the TMC thereby eliminating potential power threat to TMC..CPIM in its heydays also did the same..thats the game.. article 356 cannot apply in bengal as government is yet to be sworn in..what is required is for the opposition party leadership to also do "khela hobe", hitting back at TMC cadres in the language they understand, if that means fist fights on the streets then do it..this is my opinion..lead from front

Regards

Kunal

Unknown said...

While there is.undobtedly inept action, what is required is the way forward.and the determination to not make the same.mistakes. In the huge media noise, i see sanity missing and one upmanship in the covid 19 debate..what needs to be done and how to be done should be raised.and asses.of.government put on hot charcoal for it..not only was the government sitting over its.ass since Nov 2020 but even the present media which is crying hoarse over systemic failures was.covering farmers Delhi gherao.protest..guess.desis.will remain high class chutiyas..regards kunla

Unknown said...

What is there to dread in a party like BJP that cannot protect its.cadres in Bengal..take a.chill pill guru..regards kunal

Harsh said...

veteran community? really? he is a Proven Dalla of TMC.

So many retired fighter pilots are out there.

why only army vets come out to insert their nose in something which they never dealt with... & that too someone who retired as a lieutenant colonel.

Rajesh Mishra said...

Whatsoever are the shortcomings but I feel that the BJP has much improved its position from merely 3 seats to 76 seats. This is not a meager achievement. Rest will follow. Just compare it with Congress and the Left with a Zero Zero.

Ashish Gautam said...

Sujoy bhai whatever u said regarding presence of forces in bengal, then inability of ECI to do anything. Sab kuch sahi hai, coz BJP khud he kuch nahi krna chahti to protect its grass-root worker. Krna hota to kr deti, 356 use kr deti lekin nahi they won't do it. coz they lack spine n courage to do so. As far as video being fake is concerned some of them may be fake or old... But some are correct. Post election violence has been history of Bengal, true, but now it's more of anti hindu type.
N don't worry BJP won't exercise 356 in Bengal.
Prasun sir apke ek answer ka screenshot le k dala tha maine Lt Gen Syed ata Hasnain sir ko on twitter.
This is what he answered-
https://twitter.com/atahasnain53/status/1389968756978327552?s=19

Prasun K. Sengupta said...

To ASD: There’s nothing wrong with being a BHAKT, provided you are a BHARAT BHAKT and not a Bhakt owing allegiance to any political party/political ideology/religiosity-inspired cult. As for disease-control measures, there are 2 methodologies: preventive & curative. It is the former that facilitates the latter because the former reduces the need for the latter. Now matters have reached a stage where ‘Pandits’ clad in Saffron clothing are citing the Netas’ flagrant violation of preventive norms as being the excuse for organising mass religiosity-based gatherings & elections-based mass gatherings all over India since last January, like this Pandit:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BbvWDBPvfVg&t=19s

As for China & its PLA & the situation along the LAC, here are some interesting comments/observations:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hEnHT4lfTUA

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HT4vhM-_fBg

To RAJESH MISHRA: That’s correct. Meanwhile, the OBOGS-derived LOX generators have begun being commissioned:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fi0doGwbxC0&t=13s

Now, the question that is to be asked to HQ IDS & CDS Gen Bipin Rawat is whether similar ruggedised field kits will be developed for/delivered to the IA’s field formations, the IN for HADR future missions along the IOR & for the NDRF for national HADR missions. But the most important is this: the NCR being the area where the National Capital City is located & which also houses all diplomatic missions, was a masterplan ever drawn up for ensuring that during either natural calamities or man-made calamities, there would be credible civil defence options available for swift implementation? This becomes all the more important after seeing the excellent results witnessed in Israel, South Korea & Taiwan, where civil defence drills are regularly conducted nationwide & which in turn creates a very high degree of civic awareness among the citizens & this in turn leads to disciplined compliance with the laid-down official protocols of activities.

To ASHISH GAUTAM: LoLz! That is typical response when there are no available answers of a credible or rational nature. In layman’s terms, it is known as LIVING IN A STATE OF DENIAL. When mistakes/errors are not admitted, then they keep getting repeated again & again. And that's exactly why the results of various Boards of Inquiry & Investigative Commissions never become available in the public domain, be it regarding a military aircraft crash or communal violence or geo-political blunders or terror-attacks.

Prasun K. Sengupta said...

LAC One Year After: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HT4vhM-_fBg

OBOGS-based LOX Generator: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dLkFNlJsFJ0

http://www.tridentpneumatics.com/downloads/Oxygen_plant-2-16.pdf

China’s LM-5 Rocket’s Uncontrolled Descent: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GfNFS_OaQik

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lD10fV7E_qM

Why China’s Former Premier Was Silenced: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wPq1jY4flpU

China’s Microchip Bubble: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yosanp3OtLg

China’s Showoffs: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Au7Wq-U-dMI

PLAGF SOF Training: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=77Z9WIoANJQ

https://www.aspistrategist.org.au/semiconductors-as-a-shield-for-taiwan/

Nandurbar's Success Story: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K3Ob8_bHQ4A
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n1gJEEfHEnw
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ddcIjR8A8O0
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zb1UmMs12DQ

Deepsikha Agarwala said...

Hi prasunji, I have observed that Indian Rafales look slightly different... can't explain as I am a layman... is it true?

asd said...

Dear Prasun,

Nandurbar, Maharashtra has set an example before entire country in handling covid crisis. The DM has been praised for the success.

Millard Keyes said...

Prasun may I draw your attention to Sir Humphrey who said that no government should set up an enquiry unless they know the outcome in advance. That explains India's Board of Enquiry and various other enquiries- in a nut shell, all those are mere formalities as they never want to know the truth or deal with their errors.

Chanakya Chatterjee said...

What about Rahul Gandhi and the others who publicly called it the BJP VACCINE and asked people to not take them. They should be persecuted under section 307

Unknown said...

While deaths are painful and could have been avoided, but dont you get overwhlemed by the overemotional response of indians..dont you feel irritated over the opportunism of godi media channels for the government and ones against the government..a country of nearly 140 crore population is rattled by this diseases..what the thousands that have died in the developed world..there are some lessons to be learnt here.

Regards

Kunal

AMIT BISWAS said...

As a bengali living in hyderabad I can vouch for regarding this political climate...ignore this halfwit Sujoy Mazumdar because they will be the first to jump the boat to come to other Indian cities.....no need to be defensive too...Bengalis too have dark underbelly....

AMIT BISWAS said...

Having said that any updates abt the COI of accidental spyder firing on 27 Feb kr mirage crash in hal Bangalore??

Also the pandit Ashish it seems is busy in doing fact check of the questions and answers of this forum...

rajat said...

sir, sharing "Haalat of UP" of UP is good and transparent investigative reporting..
wouldn't you love to see these same journos doing the same in Maharshtra, Keral, WB... or are these states out of bounds since they are not BJP governed ? And, knives are probably out ot effect a govt change in 2022 and subsequently in 2024.
While in delhi, the chor of delhi is busy requesting 4x of demand of oxygen..do u know where the oxygen is going ? with similar case load mumbai got 245mt of oxygen, while this buffoon kejri wanst 990mt...isn't it prudent to investigate if his party people are capturing all oxygen and black marketing it ? shouldn't the favourite of all commies the great NDTV do an investigation, the way it is active on all things UP, or is delhi too not to be touched ?? and if cenrtre intervenes it will be the murder of democracy, and not healthy for centre state relationship ?

Prasun K. Sengupta said...

To Deepsikha Agarwala: No, it is not true.

To CHANAKYA CHATTERJEE: Such statements were contradicted by other leaders of the INC like Dr Shashi Tharoor. Hence, soundbytes of any type do not have an substantive value, only deeds count.

To UNKNOWN/KUNAL: Of course there are lessons to be learnt. Here is one explanation:

https://indianexpress.com/article/opinion/columns/the-link-between-great-power-and-great-suffering-from-maos-china-to-modis-india-7303506/

But what is most worrisome is the absolute cluelessness being displayed by the executive branch of the GoI, as exemplified by this:

https://theprint.in/health/govt-fast-tracks-import-of-oxygen-cylinders-indian-firms-warn-it-could-lead-to-poor-quality/653473/

All of a sudden, the great leap from ATMANIRBHAR to SABH PE NIRBHAR!

To AMIT BISWAS: Everyone has a dark belly & no one is holier-then-thou. After all, the absence of basic public health-care infrastructure throughout rural India is not an overnight creation, but is due to decades of neglect. The SpyDer-SR was never ACCIDENTALLY fired. It was a deliberate decision taken by the local command-n-control hierarchy, but there were serious systemic flaws in the decision-making process. As to what were those systemic flaws remains undisclosed but anyone with a modicum of knowledge of such affairs will easily conclude that there were systems integration flaws due to differing bits of hardware hailing from different OEMs from different countries. What this means is that flaws had existed in the decision-making architecture even before the decision-making process was implemented on the ground.

Meanwhile, here’s an excellent analysis about the situation along the LAC in eastern Ladakh:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HonXhc6rvds

Prasun K. Sengupta said...

To KAUSTAV: Agreement has been reached on a G-to-G basis between India & the UK under which BAE Systems will become the consultant to ADA for developing the flight-control logic of the MWF's digital fly-by-wire flight-control system. This is identical to the contract inked by ADA with BAE Systems in the mid-1990s for similar work that was undertaken for the Tejas Mk.1. At the same time, HAL has inked an MoU with Rolls-Royce for industrial cooperation on the MT-30 marine industrial gas-turbine. From this, we can safely conclude that all future warship designs emanating from the IN's Directorate of Naval Design will have the MT-30 on-board, including possibly the IAC-2 (which itself is likely to be the Queen Elizabeth-class design but in a CATOBAR configuration).

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/E0isoZrUYAcIB4y?format=jpg&name=large

To RAJAT: LoLz! There is reportage of ALL States & UTs, not just about UP. In fact, situation in Gujarat, MP & Bihar is equally bad & has been reported on a daily basis by almost all national & regional TV channels. As for law enforcement, everyone except perhaps you knows that law-n-order for Delhi is under the direct command-n-control of the Union MHA. All those ill-informed & ranting/shrieking BJP spokespersons ought to read what the late Arun Jaitley himself had observed here:

https://www.arunjaitley.com/what-the-supreme-court-has-actually-observed-in-the-delhi-government-case/

Consequently, if at all anyone from the AAP has been hoarding LOX supplies or was engaging in black marketeering as per your allegations, then the Delhi Police would have immediately busted such syndicates & the Union MHA would have revealed all the collected data with great glee. But that hasn't happened & the Union Home Minister seems to have gone AWOL, leaving the PM of India to urgently have a meeting with the IN's CNS for the sake of seeking the IN's assistance for setting up field hospitals in Gujarat & not anywhere else! On top of all this, a mere look at the locations where DRDO-supplied field hospitals are springing up is proof enough of the acute sycophancy that has set in at the Centre. Possessing only a little bit of knowledge can be extremely dangerous, don't you think? Perhaps the BJP-ruled states are eagerly awaiting the results of this for ushering in mass recovery at warp speeds::

https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/science-ministry-funds-trial-on-effect-of-gayatri-mantra-in-treating-covid-19/article34111676.ece

Perhaps folks like ASHISH are working day-n-night on such projects of 'vital national importance'.

Now contrast that with this:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ngqz9WfyLGk

To SRINIVASA NANDURI: It seems some of your earlier fears were misplaced:

Disinformation About WB: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0fnYynC1JuQ

Unknown said...

While the crisis is ongoing, desi chutiya media also peddles these

https://www.opindia.com/2021/05/scroll-journalist-hindu-report-fake-news-gayatri-mantra-trial-covid-19-treatment/amp/

Guess expecting sense from indians is a far cry in this country.

Regards

Kunal

Kaustav said...

Prasunda

Excellent 👌- Dr. Ashish Jha Brown University, School of Public Health. Beyond the Shahi Snans & Public gatherings, his focus on restricting indoor gatherings, Mixing of households as well as ensuring Masks are worn & the true spread of the Pandemic statistically https://youtu.be/hSGASl_KTgk

About the final word on the situation by Lt.Gen Panag - one year on in Ladakh. Under circumstances & given India's Comprehensive Military Power vis-s-vis PRC, the best we can get. But while every stalemate is Defeat for PRC, every new buffer zone is loss of Indian territory, since PRC is already on Indian land as you have so pithily remarked many a time.

The other is the situation in Bengal. The CDSC data clearly show WB women spl Hundu upper caste & tribals voted for TMC & Mamta. Again as you said demographics dont lie. Maybe women's Liberty & freebies are the attraction for their support to TMC. What is worrying is fhe targeting of Hindus & their fleeing to Assam in significant numbers. Its a repeat of Direct Action pre-partition & 1971. While tribals may put up a fight, others flee.
This article by Janet Levy in 2015 should remove all doubts about the creeping Islamisation of West Bengal. As for the Hindus in WB, they can continue to be ostriches hankering for free gifts & sticking their head in the ground because again demographics dont lie.

http://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2015/02/the_muslim_takeover_of_west_bengal.html

Rogue said...

Talking about free gifts, the BJP govt in Assam just prior to elections gave out about 50k scooter, also talk of giving motorcycles (however, the boys want bullets whereas the govt wants to give splendors lol). When the public asked my local MLA(BJP) about the condition of the roads, he said (maybe in jest) that with good roads the youth have accidents as they ride very fast.

Prasun K. Sengupta said...

To UNKNOWN/KUNAL: This ‘effort’ is funded by the Govt of India’s Dept of Science & Technology & here is the CTRI’s confirmation:

http://ctri.nic.in/Clinicaltrials/showallp.php?mid1=51219&EncHid=&userName=Gayatri%20Mantra

It is perfectly justifiable to expect sense, but of what type? Let’s get into the specifics. If it is NONSENSE then there is an inexhaustible supply. What has become extinct is SOUND COMMON-SENSE. What else can explain a Govt of India circular suspending the domestic production of LOX cylinders while approving the import of such cylinders???

And here’s another example of the repercussions of India’s mishandling of the pandemic’s 2nd wave.

https://theprint.in/world/why-lakhs-of-merchant-navy-sailors-are-stuck-at-sea-because-of-indias-virus-surge/653958/

To KAUSTAV: I presume you mean Muslimisation, not Islamisation, because even the bulk of the Arab kingdoms & states don’t claim to be Islamic & rightly so, because in the absence of the Holy Prophet, Islamisation cannot take place since it was only he who could receive & dessimminate Allah’s wisdom. With WB’s population demography currently comprising 70% non-Muslims & 30% Muslims, I don’t see WB becoming a Muslim-dominant state even over the next 80 years. And despite all the political promises by any political party, socio-economic upliftment won’t get a great boost until all the tools reqd for regional economic integration are operationalised, i.e. the East-West Freight Corridor & the various riverine maritime corridors linking WB with Bangladesh, North East India & Myanmar.

Meanwhile, prepare to transition from RAM RAJYA to RAMYUG:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n06_wLWmW8Q

And for those residing in Hyderabad, time to strap-up & brace for impact:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tSEeziAYbjU

While Karnataka starts reaping the whirlwind after hosting Aero India 2021.

Oxygen Concentrators Arrive in Kolkata from China:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VUOa7jcb7OM

Chinese archaeologists find sutras dating back to 618 AD in Tibet:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NtB9Nfq1sFw

Prasun K. Sengupta said...

It seems Delhi Police has busted a racket involving the black-market sales of oxygen concentrators, run by a Khan Market-based restaurant owner, who was allegedly doing this business with Sam Duggal, the son-in-law of Ret'd IA COAS J J Singh. All are absconding as of now.

VIKRAM GUHA said...

PrasunDa,

1.This is the Indian Army's RFI for Light Tank (Tracked)

https://docs.zohopublic.in/file/xdth029dfc081e5a341288f993502c45e3c6c

Please let us know of your analysis of this RFI.


2. Which foreign companies do you suspect will participate in this tender for Light Tanks?

Thanks
VIKRAM

manoj joshi said...

He has stolen the name of the popular "Khan Chacha" restaurant in Khan Market from Haji Banda Hasan and his two sone. He owns several other businesses in Khan market as well.

Chanakya Chatterjee said...

I request all here to ponder over this without any political or other biases.

Let's see the chronology.

1. Till February 2021, all seem to be wonderful.

2 The malls had opened, shopping centres restarted, schools were reopening and life was creeping back to normalcy in India.

3. The indian vaccine had been the "talk of the town" in the whole world with exports to 87 countries. Infact we were competing with China in most of the countries, as Indian vaccine gained more favour.

4. The farmer protests had almost died down and no major protests of any nature were happening in the country.

5. End February. The boundary talks with China have finally resulted in to some kind of negotiations.

6. March 2021.
There were some major arms deal signed and decision taken to manufacture a lot of equipment within the country.

7. 07 Apr- A major Maoist attack took place. A meeting called in Delhi to review counter naxal policy.

8. Between 10- 15 April. Within 5- 6 days, a huge wave hits India with unimaginable proportions completely overturning the situation.

9. Surprisingly no such Covid criticality in equally populated Pakistan and Bangladesh !!

10. By 20 April. By now whole international media jumps in to highlight inadequacies in Indian medical system and administration.Countries like Pakistan started talking of offering medical help to India.

11. 24 Apr. Glacier bursts takes place in Himalayan borders killing several people. Simultaneously articles appeared in the Chinese media saying India should not expect any more concessions on boundary talks.


Chanakya Chatterjee said...

Now the question is : Is this huge second wave, could be a result of a planned and carefully crafted biological attack by our adversaries to bring down our International standing and create internal unrest ???

(Please think over it with a cool mind and keep all political or other biases away.)

*Is the second corona wave a planned biological war against India?*

Do you believe that the *second wave of epidemic that is currently spreading in India* is due to the spread of the virus in general?
Until a fortnight ago I used to believe that this is the *second wave*, but now a lot of _deep doubts_ has gone home in my mind.

Look at the state of the entire *Indian subcontinent*. *The Pakistan, Bangladesh, Nepal, Bhutan* have no *second wave* in these countries or in any other country in Asia. Those countries today have similar conditions as they were in India two-and-a-half months ago.

Then how did this *bomb* explode in India itself?

Are the citizens of all those countries much more *disciplined than Indians*? Do they wear *masks* round the clock to avoid epidemics ?
No!
Is their *geographical location different from India*?
No!

Then, why this *second wave* could not even touch these countries and is *breaking* India, badly, why?
*ICMR* has said at the time of first wave that crores of people in India got this *disease* and they did not even know when *crores of people* suffered it and *immunity* developed in them then how come this *second wave*

*

Chanakya Chatterjee said...

How dangerous did it become then*?

And why did it happen *only in India*?
Lets look at the global conditions before & now in this epidemic.
From *medicine, vaccine to economy management, India amazed the whole world*.

And now, understand the * real concern of *China*. talking of *help to India* today.

Last year was also *infiltrating in the epidemic period*.
After getting the *kicks* they started to help us, *does it not raise doubts* ????

_Pakistan as Chirashatru is lamely talking of help too_!!!..
One very important reason is that *Modi* is not bowing down like *Trump*.

The world's *Pharma Lobby, Oil Lobby and Arms Lobby* created this *epidemic and under the guise of *BlackLivesMatter* and
*George Floyd* beat *Trump* to retreat, by causing a terrible uproar in the *media on the epidemic issues*.
All because *Trump* confronted these *lobbies*. Today the same lobby people are painstakingly on all fours with day in day out attacks on *Modi*.
Do you know why?

Because ...the business of : *pharma companies at least 4 to 6 trillion dollars (annually)*.
*Vaccine business of at least 1.25 trillion*
Is all set to be reduced to zero.
The *PPE Kit* of *500 billion dollars* and *business of mask* was almost reduced to near nothing, when people relaxed after *first wave*, and even _went to Kumbh, election rallies etc, with minimal caution_.
In the light of medical sufficiency of India, the lobbies was suffering *colossal loss*.
How did the country that was always _hands to mouth_ become a *vaccine exporting country*?
And who was not digesting all this?
Know this *pain* of a country like *Germany*, lamenting how *India* beat us in the field of *Drugs*
Think all over again what slipped & got out of hands of other affluent nations?.

Chanakya Chatterjee said...

Go ahead ...Can anyone imagine 75000 to 100000 charging stations are being built for *electric vehicles* in India in the next 2 - 3 years which will reduce *oil consumption by/upto 30%*.?
This is a slap in the face of the *global oil lobby*.
And not only this...
... India has started to *export LCA fighter planes* and *BrahMos missile* which is proving to be a *big blow* to the *global arms lobby*.
*Modi is a big thorn* in the way of all these lobbies …
... and believing that this *thorn can be removed only by public anger* is the tacit ploy of these lobbies.
Imagine *Pfizer* calling up for defense set up in exchange of vaccine, drugs, a new arm twisting tactics with needy nations.
Another aspect...
Most people are now shown to be angry at *Modi's rallies and campaigning in Assam and West Bengal elections. But
They have no understanding of *Geo Politics*.
*15 crore Bangladeshis and Rohingyas intruders* in Assam n West Bengal *Didi* and *Gandhi* made *Aadhaar Card* for everyone, as being more important to India than *Kashmir issue*.
(Search * "Chicken Neck" * on Google).
Believe it or not, *second wave of Chinese disease in India has been brought to fail Modi on every front and to trigger *civil war in the country*.
It is a *dangerous game* of the *Maoists of China* and its *sleeper cells* hiding in India…
Showing *24x7 corpses and *lack of oxygen* of *pandemic* against *Modi government* is a opposition-led part of this *conspiracy* in collusion with big tech lobbies of developed world to overthrow the present dispensation, and reinstall the leftists- Maoists, as happened in America.
But here they forget, _Modi isn't Trump_, at best turmoil for trouble will linger, dampening to *stability & survival* as an outcome.
Come on,come to think, 'Why is the same *mother* dying as a *mother* of hundreds'?
Why only the *crowd* in the *crematoriums*?
Same *70 tweets* - Why- our *Amma died without oxygen* ??
*Tool Kit Gang* Again Active On whose *hint*?
Suddenly the *farmer* also returned to the *border*?
As soon as the *recovery scandal* surfaced in Maharashtra, and Modi started winning *Bengal*.
... how did *the epidemic* appear again * ???
*Brothers, this is a conspiracy Believe it or not* !!
*This could be a huge war*!
I am not an expert but look at situations and think why all of a sudden it happened only with byIndia ?
It can be a *formidable biological weapon* !!!
After a short interval, this fight *is going to go a long way*.

Anonymous said...

Hi Prasun,
Do you know the average flying hours of IAF Pilots over the past few years and how it compares to Us,nato,israeli ,russian,chinese and pakistani pilots?

-Dr KRG

Rogue said...

Hahahahhahahahah this dude 🙄 is tripping on coronil or something.

Prasun K. Sengupta said...

To CHANAKYA CHATTERJEE: Open-source data easily reveals that the pandemic’s 2nd-wave was global & not restricted to India:

1st Wave in China: January-March 2020
2nd-wave in China: September till December 2020
1st-Wave in Europe: April-May 2020
2nd-wave in Europe: November 2020 till January 2021

And the 2nd-wave continues to ravage other countries as well, not just India:

https://indianexpress.com/article/world/indias-disaster-hangs-over-countries-facing-covid-19-surges-7306202/

The 2nd-wave had begun in Pakistan earlier than in India in early January 2021 due to increased arrivals by air from Europe, especially from the UK. The same went for Bangladesh as well. From this, we can safely conclude that India’s apex-level decision-makers had prematurely declared victory in Parliament, thereby proving themselves to be totally ill-informed & ill-read about the history & nature of pandemics. I’m pretty sure no ‘external force’ drafted the speech that the Indian PM had given in Parliament.

As for global hydrocarbons lobbies & related conspiracy theories, just as no one stopped Brazil from embracing Ethanol as fuel for motor vehicles since the 1970s, no one has forced India to shun Ethanol either. Neither is anyone forcing India to shun electric vehicles, as proven by this:

HERO MotoCorp: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-Kcxv0S6698

Gogoro https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C2zh5f71O8o

Both crematoriums & burial grounds have been overwhelmed. Therefore, always blaming outsiders & outside forces won’t work as they don’t stand up to scrutiny. Nor has the Union MHA been able to table any verifiable figures on the quantum of ‘illegals’ residing within India. Finally, ‘Aadhar UID cards cannot be issued by any state govt as the issuing authority is a Central-level authority/dept. Hence, the only available sane option is to admit to one’s deficiencies at the intellectual & systemic levels & take the necessary corrective measures. Always looking behind one’s shoulders or just below the nose & not any farther won’t help matters.

To VIKRAM GUHA: Before examining the RFI, it is far more important to examine how & why the PLAGF's Tibet & Xinjiang Military Districts have undertaken the kind force modernisation since 2007. As I had stated above in the narrative, what appears above is only a partial or incomplete analysis emanating from China. The other half has yet to emerge & I'm at it, which will reveal the full dimensions of the PLA's perspective on high-altitude plateau warfare, especially in Aksai Chin. Consequently, without such additional data-points, it will be futile to examine just one element of India's response, i.e. the projected procurement of light tanks.

Parthasarathi said...

Prasunda,

HAL is going to make marine gas turbine with collaboration from Rolls Royce. Don't you thing that BHEL would have been a better choice considering their expertise on gas turbine>
Best regards

Srinivasa Nanduri said...

Hi Prasun,

Can't help Hyderabad. We are all indoors now expecting sudden spike after Eid. But this and dussehra are two important festivals for Hyderabad, can't help it.

PPL will throng and it's not just Muslims. Ramazan in Hyderabad is all about evening street food. It's quiter than usual this time but still given we are nearing eid, last few days still had crowds. That is the main reason telangana government did not yet impose lock down. But heard field hospitals are build, medicines, oxygen supplies readied. Can't really help. After kumbh mela, one do not have a moral stand to stop this.

Regards,
Srinivasa Nanduri

Prasun K. Sengupta said...

To PARTHASARATHI: No licenced manufacture, only licenced final-assembly, since the number of MT-30s won't justify the financial investments reqd for licenced-manufacturing. The same goes for BHEL as well since it engages in the same type of activity in cooperation with Japanese OEMs. And that's also why HAL has never shown what exactly it produces for the LM-2500 gas-turbine at any Aero India or DEFEXPO expos.

To SRINIVASA NANDURI: Regretably, lack of civic discipline is a pan-India phenomenon, not just in Hyderabad. Here are a few snippets:

January 15, 2021 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zIQjlTzThFc

March 11, 2021: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6uGIM2pcR8o
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ll8fGGvCSYU

March 31, 2021: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CmcRAIO0fvQ
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TJ-dIEsDju4

April 14, 2021: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_qlNM9Eua28
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9gWb8BgSg3A

May 1, 2021: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E6tVWxxgNm4

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZfLMv9wKfQQ
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gYxTX6vp8yI

May 6, 2021: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xVmhG84jIWo

Contamination within ICU Wards: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C_Tvkbb90FM&t=16s

The respective state-level & Central administrations are all complicit in such acts of indiscipline. Can you recall when was the last time anyone in India had organised any kind of civil-defence exercise? To the best of my knowledge, the practice was terminated back in the early 1970s.

asd said...

Dear Prasun,

1. What are India's plan to counter PLAGF mechanisation plan? Since China is rotating its forces, they too will get acclimatize.

2. Further earlier there were sound bytes like Indian army is ready for twi front war. It is false. Once the mountain force is dedicated for East, then IA can't go for offense in the west. So getting back PoK is distant dream. China will certainly take back Ladakh from India if India tries to get back PoK. Please share your views.

Yours faithfully,
Soubhagya

bhoutik said...

*i wasn't aware of BAE's participation with the fly-by-wire system, i thought it was just lockheed. after having developed it for tejas, why do we still need BAE - what are we lacking?

*& why go all the way to taiwan when companies like sun mobility are here?

*should the navy invest in a project for a marine gas turbine derivative from kaveri?

*officers in the DMA becoming joint secretaries - your thoughts...

*who could be behind the nasheed attack?

*have you been vaccinated? don't die on us boss

Prasun K. Sengupta said...

To ASD: 1) Kindly refer to my reply above to Vikram Guha. PLAGF’s 8 & 11 Divisions are replacing the earlier 4 & 6 Divisions means that the latter 2 will now be busy with rest & recuperation at their home-base locations in Xinjiang. Personnel of the 8 & 11 Divisions will take a long time to familiarise themselves with the terrain conditions, i.e. they are not combat-ready as yet. Also, do read these:

http://forceindia.net/feature-report/red-letter-day/

http://forceindia.net/feature-report/the-tech-route/

And do watch these:

PLAGF Helicopter Operations from Ngari: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nEaDXZlqOY0

PLAGF Artillery Unit from Xinjiang MD: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RclwtZ5dIAU

To BHOUTIK: Then you ought to read this book:

https://www.manoharbooks.com/img/70227.jpg

The flight-control laws were developed with the aid of real time simulators at ADE and BAE, UK. As a point of interest, a second series of in-flight simulation tests of flight-control software took place in July 1996 at Calspan on a Lockheed Martin-owned F-16D VISTA (variable in-flight stability aircraft); 33 test flights were carried out with the LCA’s DFCC being installed on-board.

The MWF will be in a totally different weight category, i.e. it will be a M-MRCA & that too with canards & hence the requirement for a consultant is imperative. Going to Taiwan makes sense since an already-proven technological/financial formula exists there. Creating a ‘desi’ counterpart will take years to achieve. Kaveri is dead & buried & cannot be exhumed. The DMA (military bureaucracy is still evolving & a lot more needs to be done. Got vaccinated against Flu/Influenza/Pneumonia in late 2019 itself (such vaccines remain operational inside the human body for 3 years) & am now awaiting the arrival of intra-nasal spray, which is far more effective & cost-effective than all existing injectable vaccines. In the meantime, am just maintaining the basic personal hygiene regime. Hence, you are more than welcome to take my registration slot & get youself vaccinated. Happy?

Prasun K. Sengupta said...

To Dr KRG: For operational conversion purposes using the tandem-seater versions of combat aircraft, the IAF pilot is reqd to log in 25 flight-hours every month for the first 3 months, following which during solo flying the annual flight-hours logged in is about 120. In addition, there are about 40 hours of simulator time logged in during the operational conversion stage, as well as a few hours every month on part-task trainers for maintaining weapons employment proficiency.

China & Pakistan both don't possess full-flight/mission simulators for their JF-17s, J-10s, J-11s, J-14s, J-15s,J-16s, JH-7As & J-20s. Hence, the pilots of these aircraft-types have to log in far more flight-hours & it is also for this reason that both air forces have suffered quite a few fatal air-crashes involving such aircraft-types. In fact, even for the IAF, all of the Su-30MKIs that have crashed to date have been due to human-error & they could all have been avoidable had the IAF ensured the timely service-induction of Su-30MKI full-flight/mission simulators from 2002 onwards. Instead, such simulators began entering service only towards the end of the previous decade.

Anurag said...

Been a long time since I commented on your blog, hope you've been doing fine, well, as fine as one could do under the circumstances.

Anyway, my question to you is, don't you think that efforts should be undertaken to construct an extensive network of underground tunnels and concrete bunkers all along the LAC in order to ensure the safety of our military personnel and equipment, ammunition, and other supplies from the initial decapitating salvos that are to be surely launched by the PLA massive artillery forces?? Such measures, if properly implemented and in adequate quantities, should be able to mitigate PLA's massive artillery edge to a good extent if not completely nullify it, isn't that right??

I'd like to know your take on this and also, if possible, whether the Army is giving such an idea any consideration??

As always, thanks in advance and do keep up the good work.

Kaustav said...

Prasunda

This is right up your alley. Myanmar?! Why are these articles making the rounds of the Adanis packing up & multi-ethnic National Unity Govt with the Christian(!?) angle from the Chin province. There doesn't seem to be anything good in this for India with implications for the NE which has a Christian population & the Mizo tribes kinship with the Kachins. Being in bed with Anglo-Saxons never turns out too good for us. The Rus are better & more aligned.
India might have a poor time out of this. Why us?!

Anonymous said...

dear sir,
1. out of all security agency NIA seems to be religious and successful in work because the have little to no the interference from netas unlike CBI? any news on how the uranium core was obtained?
2. just as u predicted now Qureshi has come out saying art 370 is internal isssue. Does this mean pak gov is signaling for POK & GB trade for peace in kashmir
? how is pak awam going to digest this ;)
3. antov transport aircraft seems suitable for replacemnt of il 76. is it possile? if yses, how wud russians repond. can we reopen c 17 lines?
thank you
Yogesh

Chanakya Chatterjee said...

Prasunda

Your thoughts

http://www.indiandefensenews.in/2021/05/exclusive-anthony-klan-shares-details.html?m=1

Anonymous said...

Hi Prasun, thank you for your swift answer. Just a few follow on questions.

1) Is the training adequate?
2) do these numbers include the several exercises with foreign air forces?
3) Is the quality of human resources of the Iaf (pilots,ground staff....) comparable to the best in the world or is there scope for improvement to reach global standards?

-Dr KRG

Rogue said...

Mizo's have no kinship with the kachin. The Singpho tribe of Assam and Arunachal are the same as Kachin. They are Theravada Buddhist. The Mizo and to some extent Kuki are related to the Chin. Between the chin and Kachin area lies the Naga areas. Why do you say it can't be good for India???

asd said...

Dear Prasun,

Earlier there were sound bytes like Indian army is ready for twi front war. It is false. Once the mountain force is dedicated for East, then IA can't go for offense in the west. So getting back PoK is distant dream. China will certainly take back Ladakh from India if India tries to get back PoK. Please share your views.

Pratap said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Prasun K. Sengupta said...

To KAUSTAV: I wouldn’t give any credence to such news-reports. Instead, more level-headed assessments like these will be welcome:

Myanmar: Back To Square One https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MT7oytO5_00

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B0W9fYhMM5g

To YOGESH: 1) This explains it all: https://indianexpress.com/article/explained/explained-ats-seizes-7kg-uranium-worth-rs-21-crore-from-a-scrap-dealer-heres-what-happened-7305856/#:~:text=What%20is%20the%20case%20involving,which%20ATS%20made%20two%20arrests%3F&text=Two%20persons%2C%20Jigar%20Pandya%20(27,customer%20and%20got%20a%20sample. 2) Maybe he came to his senses after watching these 2 explanations:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WCj2Y6y2DmY&t=2s

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T9em9P9NRrw&t=2s

IL-76MD & IL-78MKI have several thousand hours of airframe-life still left in them & will not be replaced in the foreseeable future.

To CHANAKYA CHATTERJEE: This is far more insightful:

https://static1.squarespace.com/static/566ef8b4d8af107232d5358a/t/5eaad1204f2f3e5a01e32f91/1588252973202/Trick+of+the+Trade.pdf

To Dr.KRG: 1) It is never adequate. Technological advances are ushering in new aids & training tools that enhance flight-safety & operational proficiency & these need to be service-inducted periodically. 2) Yes. 3) That depends on on my 1st answer.

To ASD: There’s nothing to indicate that the MSC will be employed only in the North East. Nor is it that easy for China to mount a dull-scale land offensive in Ladakh. Getting back PoK using military means won’t be possible for India for as long as the force reorientations & force restructurings are not completed by 2025 at best. A lot of time was squandered between late 1998 & 2017. Also, do read this:

https://foreignpolicy.com/2021/05/07/china-bhutan-border-villages-security-forces/

Prasun K. Sengupta said...

To ANURAG: That won't be necessary since the tube/rocket artillery systems of both armies are positioned on reverse slopes, which makes their detection by UAVs & other land-based optronic sensors impossible. And that's precisely why the PLAGF was extremely worried by the IA's presence atop Gurung Hill & the heights of Rechin La, since direct IA observation of the Spanggur Bowl below had made the PLAGF formations deployed below highly vulnerable to the IA's fire-assaults. So now, the question that arises next is why did the IA not pull off a similar manoeuvre in the north-eastern part of Daulat Beg Oldie?

Kaustav said...

My bad, I wrote Chin first and Kachin in the next line but the point was the upcoming alliance which seems to want to co-opt India in a very very wrong fight and on the wrong side, in my opinion. That the Mizos have kin on that side or that the NE already has too many Christians as does Myanmar, is a stress point in itself.

AMIT BISWAS said...

Another jumla in land of Shri ram
https://twitter.com/globaltimesnews/status/1391215391913906177?s=20
Jai shre ram

Rogue said...

When ever you are on the side of the people you are on the right side. Yesterday the army started dropping Ng chemical bombs in Kachin areas. Reports say villagers exposed to it have their skin peeling off. It's not just Mizo, Naga's, khamtis, idu mishmis,Miju mishmis, singphos, lisu, kuki etc all have kin on the other side. What's wrong with NE having Christians, does it bother you. Earlier they were animist now they are Christians, they mind their own business in their own region, how does that bother anyone else?? Fact is Christianity is growing across the tribal lands. Except for Assam, Tripura and the imhal valley, it's all Christian majority.

bhoutik said...

happy & grateful that you are around. lots of love for you boss (straight love) :-)

Anurag said...

Ok, but what about the munitions and POL dumps?? Shouldn't those things be shifted to hardened underground concrete bunkers??

just_curious said...

Prasun,
1- the porkis are back .. after about 2 months of ceasefire, they could not hold it any longer ....
https://tribune.com.pk/story/2298930/pakistan-expresses-concern-over-uranium-seizure-in-india
and ...
http://idrw.org/pakistan-urges-un-to-press-india-for-release-of-political-prisoners-in-kashmir/
2 you had mentioned this long time ago when you had answerd about super sukhoi upgrade
http://idrw.org/the-uk-offers-india-to-co-develop-meteor-mk2-bvr-aam/.. will India go for this? if yes .w aht abt happens to SDFR prj with russia?
3- what is your take on this http://idrw.org/russia-insists-al-41f-1s-engine-be-part-of-indias-super-sukhoi-program/
4- Attack on girls school in Afghanistan- is it taliban or some other proxy? why is nobody talking about it? abs silence, no hue n cry from NYT, Washington post presstitues....
5- Porkis back with their begging bowl in saudi? who will it go?


Anonymous said...

PrasunDa,

HT reported today that India's national security planners are looking at France, the U.K, Russia and the U.S as possible partners for joint development of six nuclear-powered attack submarines.

https://www.hindustantimes.com/india-news/indopacific-in-mind-navy-pitches-for-six-nuclear-attack-submarines-101620527543449.html

Which country do you think can provide the best SSN technology to India?

Thank You

Rajesh Mishra said...

Perhaps few people think that this Corona is not a part of the Biological Warfare being thrust by China all across the globe. For your kind opinion please ??

Chanakya Chatterjee said...

https://www.orfonline.org/research/harnessing-indian-sea-power-post-galwan-considerations-of-time-space-and-force-69573/?amp&__twitter_impression=true

VIKRAM GUHA said...

PrasunDa,

Anon at 9:31 PM is me. My name is not showing in the above post, maybe some server issues.

Regards,
VIKRAM GUHA

Indrajit said...

Prasun da,

Little curious on why Excalibur was ditched even after such lengthy trials. Was it non optimal design or lack of confidence on OFB.

joydeep ghosh said...

@prasun d

1. I know you like him blindly but after blunders like #Demonitization, GST, 1st covid wave lockdown, flawed vaccine diplomacy, election/kumbhmela superspreder events I sincerely hope the powers that be have finally woken up and decided 'enough is enough' no more after 2024. instead of TINA time to loof NBA that INC

2. As C17s are giving dazzling service why can IAF loan at least 6 of them from USAF till the corona pandemic comes under control

3. IAF unable to upgrade IL76/78 due to squabble between Russia and Ukraine, high time they be asked to set it aside and come together to help upgrade these jets in India and boost their serviceability billing can be done later we need as many planes ready before 3rd wave hits as every chance 3rd wave will hit kids in India 1st hit 60+, 2nd hit 30+, and 3rd wave hit below 30 till babies in all likelihood

4. the two and half an ruling India since 2014 have failed yet again they know nothing except wining election by hook or crock, horse trading, everytime they blundered news management allowed them to escape noosre but not this time, the health minister, foreign minister, NSA HM must go, look how MEA honcho insulted India in London
https://twitter.com/i/status/1391438836274667522

5. deliveries of Dhanush howitzer hit again

6. you say IAdoesnt need light tanks but high powered T72s but we have hundreds of Vijayant tanks in store we could well use them

7. IN says it needs 6 SSNs, it's clear as per me 3 will be used to guard S5/6/7 with support of atleast 1 AUV OR autonomous underwater vehicle since world over SSBSNs are escorted by 2 SSNs & with S2/3/4 being used as SSGNs that wont need escort that leaves only 3 SSN for maritime patrol are they enough

8. IN ships are all lightly armed compared to size can these ships be added with more weapons if needed.

9. what happened to proposed use of 155 mm guns on ships or using LM 2500 engines for ship power, seems both plas are dropped

10. what happened to proposal of merging southern and training command of IA and distributing excess troops to other commands including MSC

hope to get your views on all

thanks
Joydeep Ghosh

Chanakya Chatterjee said...

Hi Prasunda

This one is as close as it gets to a smoking gun

http://www.indiandefensenews.in/2021/05/chinese-scientists-discussed.html?m=1

Unknown said...

Camel urine has its theoropetic medicinal value as mentioned herr

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1658361216000238#:~:text=Finally%2C%20recent%20studies%20from%20our,platelet%20drugs%2C%20aspirin%20and%20clopidogrel.

Some theuoropetic value also in cow urine

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3117312/

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4566776/

Infact human urine also has some medicinal properties.

Use of animal urine is not new and has been the case for many centuries in different parts of the world. Guess developing a scientific temperament is the need of the hour.

Regards

Kunal

ShivKurup said...

Prasunji,
1) What is the sanctioned number(if any) of destroyers, frigates, and corvettes respectively in the indian navy? If no sanctioned number, then what is the ideal number?

2) Do you foresee the chinese navy overtaking the indian navy in combat capability in the northern indian ocean any time within the next 20 years?

3) How many years will it take for India's cyber and electronic warfare capability to come to the level needed to defend us against the chinese?

Thanks

Prasun K. Sengupta said...

To BHOUTIK: VMT indeed.

To ANURAG: Images of all such hardened underground installations in Ladakh were uploaded by me in the previous thread.

To JUST_CURIOUS: Those reports on the Meteor BVRAAM & AL-41 are both FAKE NEWS & & are full of distortions. SFDR has nothing to do with Russia.

To VIKRAM GUHA: That ‘desi patrakaar’ from HT is well-known for making spectacularly outrageous claims that eventually turn out to be FAKE NEWS. The detailed design of the SSN is already in progress & L & T is doing all the work on it & hence there is no question about accommodating any kind of design features from either France or the US, i.e. the hull design will be similar to that of the S-2/Arihant.

To RAJESH MISHRA & CHANAKYA CHATTERJEE: These explain it all:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kuKPBur_TiI

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N4HSET82w9Y

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lFkDFZBOM0U

To INDRAJIT: It was junked due to the IA’s preference for 7.62 x 39 & 7.62 x 51 assault rifles.

To JOYDEEP GHOSH: 1) Your assumptions & conclusions are totally wrong. 2) Why ask for additional C-17As when there are more than enough commercial airliners that are available in India & which can easily be used as freighters? 3) Russia can upgrade the IL-76MDs & IL-78MKIs on its own. 4) You need not worry about that, as the Gods of Yore have already begun delivering justice. 6) Vijayanta MBTs are not suitable for high-altitude plateau warfare as they are under-powered & hence have sub-optimal power-to-weight ratios. 7) More than enough. 8) Not true. 9) The IN never expressed any view about them as yet. 10) Such a proposal had never existed.

To UNKNOWN/KUNAL: The only solution to all this is to subject all such ‘medications’ to verifiable clinical trials. The problem has always been that whenever someone wants to conduct clinical trials, those making the claims tend to withdraw & back off by claiming the paramountcy of FAITH over SCIENCE, thereby giving rise to competitive benchmarking between Allopathy & Ayurveda.

সুমন্ত নাগ said...

Regarding Unmasked image of Sri S. Jaishankar, MEA:

https://www.indiatoday.in/fact-check/story/fact-check-edited-clip-shared-as-foreign-minister-jaishankar-violating-covid-norms-during-g7-1800887-2021-05-10

Unknown said...

Yes..infact different medicine types have strengths that complement each other with an ultimate purpose of improving the health and well being of people..but i am given to understand that quite a lot of work has gone into medicinal properties of urine from different animals be it cow or camel or others..it should be used scientifically to test its claim on covid..it may be that cow urine derivatives with other herbal medicines may be effective in avoiding covid by improving the immunity of its recipients..this should be scientifically done and outcomes documented.

Regards

Kunal

Unknown said...

I think your query to point 4. needs to be put up in perspective. Whom should the citizens of India choose given the present lot is a bunch of fools..i see a pool of idiots who know nothing about building a nation contesting elections..

Regards

Kunal

Ved said...

Dear Prasun,
How good is python 5 when compared to R73 and ASRAAM? Kindly describe.

Do we have enough dedicated satellites for PAK and CHINA in terms of tracking movements of assets on land.

Avi said...

Hi Prasun,

What, per you, would be a good solution for the Indian Light Tank requirement?

SUJOY MAJUMDAR said...

Prasun da,

1. In Bihar, bodies of patients who died due to coronavirus are now being dumped in the Ganga apparently because cremation grounds are full. This means that the entire area is now HAZMAT isn't it? Furthermore, this contaminated water will now flow downstream to Bengal thereby affecting lakhs of people here.

https://twitter.com/rahulkanwal/status/1391812699340763136?s=20


2. A few individuals based in Gujarat & MP have sold 1 lakh fake Remdesvir thereby putting the lives of many in grave danger. Is it possible that these fake Remdesvir is also killing many people suffering from COVID 19 and it's not the virus which is the cause of death? Bengalis were called "thuggish" in your blog. Not sure how these people should be described.

https://www.indiatoday.in/india/story/1-lakh-fake-remdesivir-injections-sold-jabalpur-vhp-leader-booked-1800823-2021-05-10

Thanks, Sujoy


Unknown said...

Ironically in the clip the anchor himself is not wearing any mask..

Regards

Kunal

Prasun K. Sengupta said...

To UNKNOWN/KUNAL: The answer, as always, is common-sensical & rational, i.e. if indeed urine from different animals had any medicinal value, then surely the world’s leading pharma MNCs would not have spent billions of US$ on developing allopathic vaccines. Even Indian pharma companies of the type owned by Baba Ramdev have not developed any urine-based medicines. Hence, the ‘गौशाला में रामराज्य’ concept is being peddled by irrational & terribly ill-informed entities.

To VED: The Python-5 is an all-aspect SRAAM that’s comparable to the R-73E & AIM-132 ASRAAM & AIM-9X Sidewinder. As for overhead recce challenges, this is a good read:

https://digital-commons.usnwc.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=8165&context=nwc-review

To AVI: One needs to understand that any light tank, like the PLAGF’s ZTQ-105, is only 1 component of the overall combat group that includes all-terrain mounted weapon systems & sensors, plus standoff NLOS-BSMs, all of which are reqd to function together in order to achieve the desired outcomes. Consequently, focussing just on light tanks is a gigantic folly.

To SUJOY MAJUMDAR: 1) Yes, the floating dead-bodies in both the Ganga & Yamuna rivers raises the risk of local epidemics breaking out. 2) Yes, that’s a distinct possibility. But, in the end, while the cities & other urban areas of India will be able to pull through, the rural areas won’t be able to because 69% of India’s population resides in the rural areas & for every 40 villages there is only 1 primary health-care centre that remains operational only for less than 4 days a year & most of them in UP & Bihar have remained closed for the past 5 years. On top of that there’s no one trained or skilled enough for operating equipment like ventilators in several hospitals in these states. All in all, a very sad & cruel state of affairs that will surely take a toll on the morale of the jawans of both India’s armed forces & the CAPFs who hail from such rural areas. Therefore, as I had observed before, this latest in a series of macro-mismanagement disasters & the prevailing state of over-centralisation of decision-making powers will force tectonic changes within the federal polity of India in the times ahead.

Meanwhile, do sit back & watch in awe the nighttime IRON DOME interceptions that have taken place over the past 20 hours:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wv6EQ5oSxUE
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CBIM223Lfq0
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V83AacRyv38

Kaustav said...


Excellent articles, unfortunately the tardy rate of vaccination in India, which is proceeding too slowly to be successful in the long run & the variety of mutations, some vaccine resistant, indicate that herd immunity is the only possible alternative with flu type breakouts seasonally like with the MERS & SARS CoV. The only protection might then be social distancing & masking protocols as have been in place since 2003 for rhe CoV & regular repeat vaccinations

https://interestingengineering.com/worries-about-covids-future-herd-immunity-variants

Also as 44 Die Of Covid At Aligarh University, Calls For Genome Sequencing - NDTV https://www.ndtv.com/india-news/coronavirus-aligarh-muslim-university-44-staff-at-aligarh-university-die-of-covid-calls-for-genome-sequencing-2439629?

The shocking death of so many & more infected in the AMU civil lines area might indicate that lethal variants of the virus emerging will need genome sequencing and might indicate lack of social distancing & masking protocols as well as vaccine resistance and/or resistance to vaccination by both humans & virus.

India certainly will have to change after this, universal medical healthcare with ZERO or negligible monetary implications for it's citizens as ensured by the Indian Armed Forces or Indian Railways for it's members. This will have to ensure universal healthcare, hygiene practices, protocols alongwith changes in training of Doctors & medical skilled personnel on a faster larger scale as has been suggested by Dr.Devi Shetty which means more health infrastructure and much larger as well as faster intensive cost-effective process to train required human resources like doctors, nurses & other skilled professionals.

Prasun K. Sengupta said...

US Navy Captures Weapons from Iranian Dhow: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C5ctwrTWlmw
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kOp9_FL--v4

ISPR-Organised Visit to LoC: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=He1SZS9hBcE

Cow-Dung Bath to Avoid COVID-19: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xqurKGBnaSc

Unknown said...

Here some interesting researched facts about theuoropetic properties of camel milk and urine.

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1658361216000238#:~:text=Finally%2C%20recent%20studies%20from%20our,platelet%20drugs%2C%20aspirin%20and%20clopidogrel.

It is an interesting read indeed. also interesting ongoing research on animal urines medicinal value.

https://www.newswise.com/articles/a-new-source-of-medicines-animal-urine

Probably there is more interesting facts about animal urine one needs to look without prejudicing ones gaze.

Cheers

Kunal

Swayamvu said...

I have a feeling this Kunal Unknown is a citizen of UriNation - a nation whose rain and showers are golden and you get a warm feeling LOLLZZZZ

Parthasarathi said...

Prasunda,

Many airlines are either mothballing A380 ( Boeing 747 too ) or scrapping those planes ! ( Example Quantas https://www.traveller.com.au/qantas-a380-jumbos-sent-to-mojave-desert-in-california-for-deep-storage-boeing-747-retired-immediately-h1ozs7). Can't IAF buys few of those and change to tanker or freighter ? ( https://www.iai.co.il/p/b747-400bdsf ).
Best regards,

AMIT BISWAS said...

https://thecommunemag.com/lancet-publishs-politically-biased-article-targeting-pm-modi/amp/#.YJqBpAQmURQ.twitter

Is it true?? Now china has started to hit ruling party badly instead of india

Unknown said...

Another desi idiot as usual in India..no wonder why we are all a nation of idiots..and for that matter i personally dont use urine products, cant bear the stench and dislike them..but its just that one should strive to have a balanced view

Cheers

Kunal

joydeep ghosh said...

@prasun da

1. correctionits probably no one in US Navy is sure, do you really think USA Israel would have left it easily if they had proof it was from Iran, the 2 chaddi buddi would have drained their lungs out by now to prove involvement of Iran, that they left the the dhow n crew go is fishy enough also they amount of weapon seized n size of dhow from video don't seem likely match

2. btw whatever happened to Pottu Amman, where the hell is he now? its over 10 yrs now that LTTE was summarily defeated?

3. the shameful silence of Arab/muslim nations on the desecration of Al Aqsa mosque is baffling also the world is silent on Israeli apartheid, is a bigger shameful concern, just curious why don't hamas hezbullah use SAMs against Israeli jets/helo

4. Panag sir says IA made blunder vacating Kailash range heights, many r saying china will take advantage of this lapse in the coming weeks by june end then their are some who are saying this will happen and to support their claim digging up astrologers who say star alignment are same as 1962 conflict, who n what to believe?

thanks
Joydeep Ghosh

Unknown said...

Amit there is something know as "trajedy porn". Many such things will come up.

Regards

Kunal

Unknown said...

Terrible coronavirus situation brewing up in Japan..not sure, but wont be surprised, that japanese media does.not engage in pornographic portrayal of the 4 th wave in Japan like Indians do. Guess that country is mature to handle trajedies that cause significant human losses.
https://www.nippon.com/en/news/reu20210511KBN2CS089/amp/?fbclid=IwAR3guKDneUYMm_RFIR_pOSEg92ylXTjLMISx19zTD1matRv7wpJXTrvExdk&__twitter_impression=true#

Regards

Kunal


Prasun K. Sengupta said...

To PARTHASARATHI: Why go to Mojave when in Delhi itself one can se rows of such B.777s & A330s belonging to Air India & Jet Airways? For military applications, the air forces generally prefer dedicated freighters for air-cargo transportation since they have rear hatches for loading/unloading--a feature not found on commercial air-cargo aircraft.

To AMIT BISWAS: I'm sure India's readers are generally discerning & can easily tell fact from fiction & hence don't need sermonising. After all, that writer is Han Chinese but could well be a citizen of any other country other than China. Hence, I for one will be more inclined to sift through FACTS that appear in Indian publications, such as this:

https://indianexpress.com/article/opinion/columns/welfare-schemes-covid-crisis-modi-7311361/

https://indianexpress.com/article/opinion/columns/prakash-javadekar-covid-crisis-negative-news-report-7311356/

Now I'm waiting for someone to allege another conspiracy theory that claims the following news-report as being a deliberate ploy against 'Hinduism/Hindutva':

https://www.reuters.com/world/us/indian-workers-allege-shocking-violations-building-hindu-temple-new-jersey-2021-05-11/

Prasun K. Sengupta said...

Mi-28 Production Plant: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IgbUbVxcX00

Hopefully HAL will learn from this & come up with videos showing the final-assembly lines
of the LCH & LUH at Guntur.

China’s Swarm Drones: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V-YrDQ_970o

IA's small-arms shown at IA-organised open-house somewhere in Mizoram:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6GOYWC6autM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KtUM8zUvXWc
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ni4nwkQiDWk
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pl70i6DxXPI
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vB28uIRiihI
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TP50Xb5vbBM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j9gaOWhbdKk