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Saturday, June 6, 2020

China-India Boundary Dispute: How It All Began

Inference: Whenever two neighbouring countries, when negotiating the delineation (on maps) and demarcation (on ground) of the mutually-applicable international boundaries (IB), resort to previous international treaties and historical paperwork relating to customary laws and traditions, this is not the case with Mainland China and India because, while the latter has documentation of the McMahon and Johnson-Ardagh Lines, the former has no such corresponding historical treaties or maps in its possession, since all such documentation was transferred from the Kuomintang (Nationalist) government in 1949 from Nanking (Nanjing) to Taiwan, where they today are preserved in a hardened underground tunnel complex located underneath the National Chiang Kai-shek Memorial Hall at Taipei’s Zhongzheng District. And without such documentation, China finds it impossible to agree on any legal parameter that is required for delineating and demarcating any IB and hence always insists that such documentation be superceded by a “political settlement”. It is for this reason that Mainland China will NEVER agree to negotiate the delineation and demarcation of not just the LAC, but even a legally-binding IB.
How Tibetan Ineptitude Reduced Pandit Nehru's Policy Options On Tibet
Inference: While popular perception dictates that India’s first Prime Minister Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru needs to be repeatedly excoriated for his government’s nonchalance in the face of stealthy military incursions by Mainland China into eastern Ladakh throughout the 1950s and 1960s, and for the disastrous and misguided “forward policy”, which constituted the actual casus belli for the Sino-Indian border-conflict of 1962, little-known historical factoids instead prove that it was the sheer ineptitude of the Tibetan government between 1949 and 1950 that forced Pandit Nehru to compromise with Mainland China throughout the 1950s.
Tibetan Uprising Origins
The CIA Starts Helping
Raising Of Special Frontier Force
CIA Wants Out, KGB Wants In
CIA Stirs Unrest Inside TAR, While R & AW Manipulates Dharamsala
Galwan River-Valley Clash Explained
34 45 40.71 N, 78 13 6.79 E
The first signs of discomfort in India started when the China a few days ago began pressing hard for another round of Corps Commander-level meeting to kickstart talks on the Panggong Tso Lake standoff. The PLA even moved a request for a Corps Commander-level meeting on June 16. India, however, declined and had conveyed to China’s interlocutors that a higher-level meeting would only be possible after complete disengagement from the Galwan Valley. This decision was taken at the highest levels. The issue on the table from an Indian standpoint were two semi-permanent structures with tents on PP-14 (Patrolling Point) in Galwan. The PLA-BDR troops had moved back some distance following local commander-level talks, but had refused to remove these structures. At PP-17 in Gogra/Hot Springs, China had apparently raised objection to some Indian Army hutments. In the recent past, PLA-BDR troops have acted in a pattern where they move up, build tented structures and then move back after talks without demolishing what they had made. This was flagged off by the Indian Army as a way to make re-occupation easier at these heights. However, pending resolution of these issues on Galwan, China was keen to start conversation on the Finger Areas of Panggong Tso. At that stage, a high-level meeting took place in Delhi on June 12 where it was decided that India will insist on complete resolution of the dispute in Galwan before moving on to Panggong Tso. South Block was, in fact, gearing up for a more protracted conversation on getting the PLA-BDR troops to move back from Finger-4 in Panggong Tso. It was felt that the PLA would be more belligerent there as it had moved into advantageous ground.
It was the People’s Liberation Army’s (PLA) insistence of constructing an observation post (OP) at Indian patrolling point (PP) that resulted in the violent scrap between the two sides on the evening of June 15. The post would have helped the PLA to not only observe Indian troop movements towards the Karakoram mountain range, but also would have had the capacity to interdict army vehicles plying on the Darbuk-Shyok-Daulet Beg Oldi (DS-DBO) road. Most importantly, the OP was on India’s side of the Line of Actual Control, or LAC. While India’s External Affairs Minister S Jaishankar red-flagged this issue in his conversation with his Chinese counterpart Wang Yi, it is quite evident that the PLA had a pre-meditated plan in the garb of de-escalation to change the agreed alignment of the LAC and push out Indian Army from PP-14. This would have been hugely detrimental to Indian interests. Set-up in 1978 by the Indian Army, PP-14 is on a ridge that overlooks both the Galwan River Valley and the Galwan Nullah, which joins the Shyok River on whose bank the DSBO road is being build by Indian Army and BRO engineers. The June 6 meeting between the military commanders of China and India had even defined the number of troops to be present at each point leading to PP-14. But even as the de-escalation was on, the PLA wanted to put up an OP near PP-14 on grounds that it wanted to observe the dis-engagement of troops. This was strongly objected to by 16 Bihar Battalion’s Commanding Officer Col Santosh Babu, who rightly saw this as the breach of laid-down rules of disengagement. Around dusk on Monday, June 15, Col Santosh and his Company Commander went up to PP-14 and told his PLA counterpart to pull down the OP. A heated exchange ensued, more troops rushed in from both sides, and punches were thrown. The PLA, which has a base camp down from the ridge near the Galwan River, rushed in more troops in armoured personal carriers to the nearest road-head to PP-14. Initially, the Indian Army troops were present in significant strength, but the PLA soon outnumbered them. While China’s Foreign Minister Wang Yi has asked India to punish its troops for breach of discipline, the fact is that the PLA wanted to set up the OP as part of its efforts to redefine the LAC. PLA officers had told Indian Army officers before the scrap that the alignment of the LAC was behind PP-14. The illegal OP would not only have made the Indian position at PP-14 untenable, but also given a huge tactical advantage to the PLA with the option of interdicting Indian Army movement on the soon-to-be-constructed bridge with field artillery or direct-fire. If the OP had been allowed to be set-up the Indian Army supplies to DBO camp ahead would have been at the mercy of the PLA. With more than 600 troops involved in fisticuffs and hand-to-hand combat, the mountain ledge on which the fighting was taking place gave away to a landslide. This led to casualties on both sides as the troops fell into the Galwan Nullah and River, with a section of Indian Army troops being isolated on the other bank of the tributary. Drenched in the ice-cold water of Galwan River and with temperatures running way below zero, the Indian Army troops had nowhere to hide against the elements at an altitude of 16,000 feet ASL. A large number of Indian casualties are on count on standing out in the open in wet clothes to prevent the PLA from taking control of PP-14. The PLA engaged in a show of strength on the morning of June 16 by bringing in more armoured personnel carriers to the nearest road head to intimidate their Indian counterparts. The PLA had also linked the dis-engagement on PP-15 (in Gogra/Hot Springs) to the Indian Army allowing the OP being built near PP-14 on the Indian side. It was the courage of Col Santosh and his men that prevented that.
The clash between Indian Army and PLA troops in which both sides suffered casualties on June 16 began at around 7pm in the Galwan Valley when an Indian Army squad of about 50 soldiers, led by Colonel Santosh Babu, reached a contested site near PP- 14. The soldiers were unarmed, as part of a protocol between the two sides. Forward troops patrolling the disputed border either do not carry guns, or, if they do, keep them slung on their backs with the magazines in pouches and not clipped on. The PLA soldiers were supposed to have withdrawn from the location under a de-escalation plan discussed by senior commanders from both sides on June 6. But the Indian squad found the PLA troops, in violation of that understanding, did not pull back and their tents and an OP was still around. It was when Col Babu and his team confronted the PLA soldiers about their continued presence at the site that the clash broke out and the situation swiftly escalated as the PLA soldiers refused to vacate their positions and the Indian soldiers removed the tents and the OP that were on the Indian side of the LAC. In a matter of minutes, the soldiers were locked in hand-to-hand fighting that triggered a seven-hour violent face-off involving reinforcements from both sides. The clashes spread out from the PP-14 area to a nearby narrow ridge overlooking the river. It was there that both sides suffered casualties. The soldiers exchanged blows, threw stones at each other, and the PLA troops attacked Indian soldiers with iron rods and nail-studded clubs. Some soldiers, from both sides, fell into the water and their bodies were later retrieved on Tuesday June 16 morning. India’s Ministry of External Affairs (MEA) corroborated this sequence of events on June 17 when it detailed a conversation between Foreign Minister S Jaishankar and his Chinese counterpart Wang Yi. In a phone call, Jaishankar told the Yi that the PLA soldiers’ actions “reflected an intent to change the facts on the ground in violation of all our agreements to not change the status quo”. Jaishankar, in his call, underscored the need to implement the June 6 understanding reached by the military officials of both sides as part of a phased de-escalation strategy to ease tensions that had persisted for weeks. The plan was discussed between Lt Gen Harinder Singh, GOC of the Indian Army’s Leh-based XIV Corps, and Maj Gen Liu Lin, Commander of the People’s Liberation Army’s (PLA) South Xinjiang Military District. According to it, the PLA was supposed to have fallen back around 5km to the east of the location. It had retreated a bit last week but came back to retake the positions they had temporarily vacated. On June 15, the PLA deployment had numerical superiority over the Indian side—more than 250 of them were present in the area when the Indian squad, despite being fewer in numbers, demanded that the PLA remove the structures and withdraw in order to return to status quo. The PLA was, however, adamant on holding its ground. It seemed prepared for a face-off. In the first wave of clashes on June 15 night, Col Babu and two other soldiers were grievously hurt and succumbed to their injuries. Reinforcements arrived from the Indian side within an hour and the brawl spilled over to beyond midnight, and the face-off involved more than 500 soldiers from both sides. The clash took place in pitch-dark conditions and resulted in 20 deaths on the Indian side, and possibly 46 casualties including injuries on the PLA side, pushing the bilateral relationship between the two nuclear powers to an all-time low. They were the first Indian casualties in a border skirmish with the PLA since October 1975 when PLA troops ambushed an Indian Army patrol in Arunachal Pradesh’s Tulung La sector and shot four soldiers dead. The deadly confrontation came on a day when Army delegations from India and China held talks at two locations along the LAC--one involving Brigadier-ranked officers who met at the Galwan Valley, and the other between Colonel-ranked officers at Hot Springs--as part of continuing efforts to resolve the standoff. The Indian Army acknowledged three casualties in a statement issued on June 16 afternoon. It later issued another statement in the evening saying, “17 Indian troops who were critically injured in the line of duty at the stand-off location and exposed to sub-zero temperatures in the high-altitude terrain have succumbed to their injuries, taking the total killed in action to 20.”
Galwan River-Valley
Gogra-Hot Springs
Panggong Tso Lake
Depsang Bulge-Trig Heights-Burtse
The PLA has marked its presence at a crucial Y-junction near the Burtse patrol camp in Ladakh. Barely 30km south of the strategically important Daulat Beg Oldie ALG, this Y-junction is also known as ‘bottleneck’ in Indian strategic circles because any patrol seeking to reach either Point 10 or Point 13 along the Line of Patrol, must cross this junction. It is interesting to recall that the PLA had crossed the Y-junction and stopped barely 1,500 metres short of the Burtse camp in April 2013. Both India and China use the route along Raki Nala, north of Y-junction, for patrolling purposes and it is not uncommon for both sides to run into each other. In 1976, the Govt of India had constituted a China Study Group (an in-house think-tank of the MEA), which revised the patrolling limits along the LAC. As can be seen from the map, patrolling points 10, 11, 11A, 12 and 13 fall slightly short of the LAC.
IA & PLA Martyrs

210 comments:

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Ashish Gautam said...

Sir, EAM n Modi m statements mei differences hai. U know them well. Mujhe to bs ye smjh aya that china claimed whole of Galvan valley to be theirs n they took it by force. N worst is Modi accepted it n declared it on national television. Gaya kisi ka kuch nahi q ki LAC decided nahi thi. Jo b reason ho kya fayda aisi fauj rkhne ka ispe itna paisa waste krne ka. Totally useless.

vineet kumar said...

Sir, Capturing a strategic area of china is a possibilty for IA and then let them come to us for negotiation.
India has to take caliberted steps of escalation this time, keeping conflict localised at borders yet setting example.

Ganesh said...

Hello Prasun, I am amazed by the narrative being created that India is feeble, useless and utterly incapable of doing anything good to its country men, since India is always governed by people from Mars whose only purpose to self preservation and promotion. If anything positive happens then say that is by default and if anything negative, it proves the point that has always been said. Take any topic or issue that has been lingering for some many decades or centuries that has been resolved as examples and those that are still work in progress. Anyway, since this forum is rational, putting forth my views. All the best to strong souls who live through to gain digvijay rather than those shout out their weak emotions. One thing is for sure, the current setup has built a narrative of being patriotic and sensible to enhance the national interests. I do not see that thrown under the bus in a jiffy.
Thanks, Ganesh

Mohan said...

Those who think galwan valley is gone just look at the LAC drawn by prasun sir for galwan valley picture:
https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-9IyPx6MtHRI/XsnMAZAVXXI/AAAAAAAATZE/4eBEiN6AVfk9NuUWjVfhN33gghcTkJ42ACLcBGAsYHQ/s1600/PLA-BDR%2BBuild-Up-1.png
Does PLA position across the indian side of LAC in Galway valley? No
Does PLA intrusion happened? Yes,in may 2020 but IA push them back to there side and that vedio was released.
So the status quo has not changed but build up happened on both sides of the LAC in Galway valley

Senthil Kumar said...

@Ganesh,

"I am amazed by the narrative being created that India is feeble, useless and utterly incapable of doing anything good to its country men, since India is always governed by people from Mars whose only purpose to self preservation and promotion." Haaaa Haa haaa

Now coming to subject, after killing 20 brave Indian Soldiers the whole BJP is jumping to quit Chinese products. Just read this small article below

chinese crackers after Modi become Prime Minister
https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/tamil-nadu/chinese-crackers-a-stealthy-and-dangerous-import/article19744706.ece

All North Indian Bania Gang for their selfish, imported the Chinese Crackers and finished the famous Sivakasi Cracker Industry. BJP/Congress gang is part and parcel. Millions of daily wage workers lost the job and fall in poverty.

Suddenly people wake-up and shouting to Quit Chinese Products.

And GOOD NEWS, BCCI will continue to Use VIVO sponsorship for IPL where Amit Shah Son is the Secretary.

Churchil opposed Independence to India, reason he told this idiots don't know to rule. He is correct.

Thanks & Regards
Senthil Kumar

voiceoftheneglected said...

Can we transform the gains of the recent chinese intrusions in pangangtso lake to liabilities for china ? What options do we have in all fronts : Military , diplomatic, political and economical ? Can we introduce non-state actors to bleed them ?

But as you say and many experts say ,the need of the hour and everyone responsibility is to think what next with cool composed mind not by anger , vengence and nationalistic feeling.

Is there software based simulations that can suggest options to our leaders ?
As i understand right now the pressure to act and anger is more than sane thoughts . It is quite contraty on chinese side.




Ved said...

Dear Prasun,
Will the new proposed purchase of 21MiG29 be of UPG standard? Have the existing UPGs been cleared to carry Astra MK1?

In case of air skirmishes what is the advantage or disadvantage of IAF wrt PLAAF?

Is China merely playing this as a distraction for COVID19 pandemic and to divert world's attention?

VSJ said...

Sir
This
https://m.tribuneindia.com/news/nation/sukhois-tanks-stacked-up-along-lac-101532

1) Where are we getting 2 new divisions from? We have just 1 extra division of MSC. Will we have to denude certain corps? I see Dehradun has 1 but it is dual tasked, facing China but part of Pakistan centric strike corps.
What units do we cover HP and UK with?

2) Any option to go in and sit tight at extreme end of Barahoti and settle their intrusions their forever?

3) Did we order 4 or 5 brahmos regiments?
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/defence/army-to-have-2-more-regiments-of-brahmos-missile-manohar-parrikar/articleshow/51634075.cms

4) Can AASM be integrated with our mirages and excalibur with dhanush, sharang, k9 and Fh77 quickly?
We should request France and US to dip into their stocks and airlift them within this week on credit and a few more SPICE, only counter i see to the longer range MBRL and truck MGS available on either side to our enemies.

thanks once again for explanation.

সুমন্ত নাগ said...

Prasun Da, it seems that Nepal is quietly building logistics around the Kalapani area, after upgrading the Changru post near Kalapani, to a permanent one, now a Helipad. It appears to me PRC is indeed behind it, since as per media report the Chinese ambassador, was influencial on Oli's decision for up ante against India.

https://m.tribuneindia.com/news/nation/after-nepal-border-post-upgrade-comes-new-helipad-101530

https://youtu.be/o7XJwuFpxCM

https://youtu.be/eHQRbrgXyxA

And now, Nepal is parroting Chinese line, and blaming India occupying territories.

https://www.timesnownews.com/amp/videos/times-now/india/nepal-continues-to-parrot-chinas-script-claims-india-occupied-territory/63490

& Now,ratifying its citizenship law about Indians, meaning, IMHO targeting to wane India's options using Madhesi population. There's no law in India as such vis a vis Nepalese.

https://www.timesnownews.com/amp/india/article/nepal-amends-citizenship-law-for-indians-cites-indian-laws-to-justify-change/609491

This comes at a time at ever increasing anger in Nepalese people against Oli.

https://youtu.be/jlwEA7OzXhE

The door of diplomatic talks at present with Nepal is closed now, the Communist Government (getting highly unpopular) is now controlled by the PRC.

In the worst case scenario, Can China open confront India using Nepal's facilities in Changru?

Kindly share your views. Also request you to come up with a thread regarding present scenario including Nepal, and other neighbours,
possible Chinese gameplan and India's options.

Thanks in advance.




Anand said...

Hi Prasun,

I think your depiction of the Burtse camp on the google earth map is wrong.That point in your map is just 12 km from DBO. From what I found from open source info from net, Burtse camp is south of Depsang at 35°06'25"N 78°03'00"E.Its visible in Google Earth. The "Y" juntion seems to be at 35°08'55"N 78°07'00"E at a distance of 7.6 km from the Burtse camp.Distance from DBO to "Y" juntion - 31.5 km, which fits your description also.

In your 2nd map (orange background), just south of the Burtse camp there is a bend towards west, that's the DSDBO road taking the bend towards Murgo. The Jeevan nala seems to be south of Murgo around 6.6km south of Murgo.However in Google Earth, I couldnt demarcate the PPs.


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