Early last year, the Indian Army (IA) had concluded that the number of transgressions in the preceding months had been much more all along Sikkim and eastern Ladakh. Around March 2020 there was a paper by the IA’s Military Intelligence Directorate forecasting that the activity-level of China along the LAC is likely to remain as per the trend line. But it was later revised as the events elsewhere did not support this conclusion and it mentioned that “we have to be prepared for an adverse situation, which can be created by China along the LAC and the IA’s on-site formations have to be sensitised”. In early April 2020, the Directorate General of Military Intelligence and the Directorate General of Military Operations issued advisories to the IA’s HQ Northern Command.
Every year, the PLAGF goes to the Tibetan plateau for summertime military training, and these training areas are all along the G-219 Highway, which is around 200km from the LAC at its closest. From G-219, there are axial/radial roads to the LAC. The IA had picked up movement right up to G-219, and “blobs” of PLAGF positions were visible. Other countries, including the US, had also shared overhead satellite recce imagery with India. For the PLAGF troops to move up to the LAC or the launchpads is a matter of less than 24 hours in some cases, or 36 hours and that is precisely what happened at that point in time. The IA was monitoring where the PLAGF formations were sitting. After that, they came forward. Now that is at the strategic-level, their intent, that they wanted to do this, that was a gap. Had India known that they are going to do this, then obviously the IA would have also mobilised earlier.
Chushul & Spanggur Gap Areas
The PLAGF’s mobilisation along the G-219 was the same as previous years. If somebody is coming across and the IA sees a build-up, then the IA’s reserve formations too should have moved for forward deployment. The gap in being prepared for such action was at the lower level.
Even during the height of the standoff last year, the PLAGF was not organised” for combat except in the Panggong Tso region where there was some deployment on the north bank and in the Kailash range and with its strength, the PLAGF was actually trying to intimidate. India had told her IA formations on the ground that the FOL (Fuel, Oil and Lubricant) dumps all along the Shyok Valley roads, they had to be dug down and other infrastructure built, so if tomorrow any firing starts, you can’t be caught in the open. There was talk initially that one reason why China diverted its forces to the LAC in the region last year was India’s building of its infrastructure with the Darbuk-Shyok-Daulat Beg Oldie (DSDBO) Road. Yet China has never raised the road issue during any of the military-level talks.
PLAGF Deployments at Hot Springs
At Patrolling Point (PP) 15 and PP-17A in Hot Springs and Gogra Post, China “had agreed earlier” to pull back its troops but “later refused to vacate”. In the recent talks, China said that India “should be happy with what has been achieved”. At PP-15 and PP-17A, the current presence of PLA-BDR troops is of “Platoon-strength”, down from the “Company strength” earlier—an IA Platoon comprises 30-32 soldiers while a Company consists of 100-120 personnel. China has since then been
attempting to make the Kugrang Tsangpo River as the new LAC at PP-15 and PP-17A
in the Hot Springs sector.
Gogra & Hot Springs Areas
At Panggong Tso, though there is temporary suspension of patrolling by the two sides between Finger-4 and Finger-8 on the north bank, India has not been able to reach Finger-8, which it says marks the LAC, since the past three years (i.e. 2017) before the start of the standoff.
IA Deployments North & West of Panggong Tso Lake
The situation at the Depsang Plains pre-dates the standoff. IA and ITBP units have not been able to access their traditional patrolling limits since August 2013. But nothing happened there during the current crisis. In Depsang, the PLA-BDR units have been coming across and blocking Indian patrols at a number of these patrol points. PLA-BDR troops come every day in their Dongfeng 4 x 4 vehicles, and just block that passage. Consequently, India is not on a solid footing as far as the alignment (of the LAC) is concerned in Depsang. Starting from 2013, China built tracks, had better connectivity, so the PLA-BDR has been blocking the movements of the IA and ITBP.
IA Deployments East of Chushul
It was in 2008 that the PLA’s
focus shifted to desolate, inhospitable Chip Chap Valley, which remains
inaccessible until end-March. After mid-May, water streams impede vehicles
moving across the Shyok, Galwan, and Chang-Chenmo rivers, leaving only 45 days
for effective patrolling by India. No human beings inhabit there. Local Ladakh
Scouts personnel manned the posts there, but patrolling in the 972 sq km Trig
Height area had been lax. Trig Heights also known as Trade Junction, which
connected Ladakh with Tibet in earlier days, is an area where PLA-BDR patrols
began frequenting since June, July and August 2009. The PLA-BDR made
26 sorties in June, including two incursions by helicopters, and 21 in July. In
August, PLA-BDR patrols entered into the India-controlled territory 26 times
and walked away with petrol and kerosene meant for the IA and ITBP jawans. Back
in 2008, the PLA-BDR troops had made 223 incursion attempts and left tell-tale
signs. Easier accessibility allowed the PLA to intrude into Chip Chap with
impunity during July-August—its BDR personnel usually spent a few hours before
crossing back. But, during the 21-day Depsang standoff in April 2013, when
Burtse became a flashpoint, the PLA-BDR set up remote camps 19km inside
India-claimed territory. By August 2013, India lost 640 sq km due to “area
denial” set by such PLA-BDR patrolling. PLA-BDR soldiers virtually prevented
Indian troops from getting access to Rakhi Nallah near Daulat Beg-Olde (DBO).
Change in the river course was cited as another reason for the loss of
500-1,500 metres of land annually. In September 2015 the BLA-BDR erected a
watch-tower in that area, but this was later destroyed by the IA.
IA Mortar Pits South of Chushul
Bottleneck or Y-Junction, the
place where PLA-BDR troops have been obstructing IA/ITBP patrols since May
2015, is less than 30km to the south of DBO ALG and around 7km east of Burtse
town. Bottleneck derives its name from a rocky outcrop that prevents vehicular
movement across the Depsang Plain. By stalling Indian patrols at Bottleneck,
PLA-BDR troops have been denying India access to five of the PPs: PP-10, PP-11,
PP-11A, PP-12 and PP-13. These PPs lie on an arc of around 20km from Rakhi
Nallah to Jiwan Nallah, on a line marked as the LoP or Limit of Patrolling,
which lies 18km to the west of the LAC. This is the same place where the
PLA-BDR had pitched tents after an ingress in April 2013. The standoff had then
lasted three weeks before status quo ante was restored. In April 2020,
aggressive patrolling by the ITBP had managed to push back the PLA-BDR troops
back by at least 9km before they settled down at the present location, which is
nearly 18 km inside India-claimed territory in the Depsang Plains. The PLA-BDR
incursion was detected by the ITBP on the intervening night of April 15 and 16,
which sent its Quick Reaction Team that not only prevented the PLA-BDR
personnel from further ingressing in the area, but also pushed them back across
the Rakhi Nallah. The situation would have further worsened if the ITBP
personnel, deployed at an altitude of 17,000 feet ASL, had not moved in
quickly.
IA Gunpits South of Chushul
PP-15 and PP-17A are two of the 65 patrolling points in Ladakh along the LAC. (Some of these 65 also have an additional Alpha PPs, which are further ahead from the original PPs. So PP-17A is different from, but close to, PP-17.) PP-15 is located in an area known as the Hot Springs, while PP-17A is near an area called the Gogra post. Both of these are close to the Chang Chenmo River in the Galwan sub-sector of the LAC in eastern Ladakh. While Hot Springs is just north of the Chang Chenmo river, Gogra Post is east of the point where the river takes a hairpin-bend coming southeast from Galwan Valley and turning southwest. The area lies close to Kongka La Pass, one of the main passes, which, according to China marks the boundary between India and China. India’s claim of the international boundary lies significantly east, as it includes the entire Aksai Chin area as well. During the official negotiations on the boundary between India and China in 1960, Yang Kung-su, who was the Tibet Bureau of Foreign Affairs in the Chinese Foreign Office, had stated that the Western Sector of the boundary “is divided into two portions, with Kongka La Pass as the dividing point” and the portion “north of Kongka La Pass is the boundary between Sinkiang (now Xinjiang) and Ladakh, and the portion south of it is that between Tibet and Ladakh”. Thus, Hot Springs and Gogra Post are close to the boundary between two of the most historically disturbed provinces of China. Both PP-15 and PP-17A are in an area where India and China largely agree on the alignment of the LAC, which comes southeast from the Galwan Valley, turns down at Konga La and moves towards Ann Pass before reaching the north bank of Panggong Tso. China has a manned observation post of the PLA-BDR a few km east of Kongka La, while IA and ITBP posts lie southwest of it. However, according to the official history of the 1962 war between India and China, the region is not identified as a major “launchpad” from where an offensive can be launched by either side.
The official history notes that the PLAGF had “succeeded in eliminating possible launch-pads for any offensive against G-219 by eliminating the DBO, Chushul and Demchok positions. It said that it “all the more strengthens the contention that the IA should have attempted to retain at least one jump-off point: Chushul”. But the history notes that Hot Springs was an important post even during the 1962 conflict. In October 1962 there was a Company-strength IA presence at the Galwan Post, while three other posts—Hot Springs, Nallah Junction and Patrol Base—had strengths of a Platoon each. Hot Spring also served as the Company HQ, and was shelled by the PLAGF on October 21. PLAGF troops had wanted to get behind Hot Spring, but were resisted at the Nallah Junction.
IA Ammo Warehouses at Tangtse
As two of the four initial friction-points during the recent standoff, disengagement of troops from PP-15 and PP-17A had started in June 2020, during the initial rounds of discussion. Both sides had agreed to disengage from PP-14 (Galwan Valley), PP-15 and PP-17A after the third round of meeting of the senior military commanders last June, following the Galwan Valley clashes. However, though China pulled back its troops from PP-14, it did not complete the disengagement from PP-15 and PP-17A.
IA SS-BSM Storage & Launch-Pads at Stakna
Unilateral Surrender Of Pasturelands By India
From the 1980s till 2008, more
than 400 sq km of prime pasture land was conceded by India to China in Ladakh
region only. And last year, China effectively further shifted the LAC to
India’s disadvantage all along the Eastern Ladakh area. The LAC shifted
westwards by 15km (loosing yet another 650 sq km of real estate) at PP-10, PP-11,
PP-11A, PP-12 and PP-13 in the Depsang Plains area; by 1km at PP-14 in Galwan;
by 4km at PP-15, PP-17 and PP-17A in Hot Springs; and by 8km in the Panggong
Tso Lake’s northern bank. The northern pasturelands at Marsimik north of the
Panggong Tso Lake are now out of bounds for Ladakhi grazers due to the PLA-BDR
establishing blocking points there.
Over the years, the PLA-BDR
has followed the nomadic Rebo routes for patrolling in contrast to Indian
authorities restricting Rebo movements that has led to the massive shrinking of
pastureland and border defence. This resulted in local Changpas of Chushul,
Tsaga, Nidar, Nyoma, Mud, Dungti, Koyul and Loma villages gradually losing
their winter grazing that sustained 80,000 sheep/goats and 4,000 yak/ponies
every winter. Ladakh’s earlier borders lay at Kegu Naro—a day-long march from
Dumchele, and the Linzhithang Plain that lies to the east of the Depsang Plain.
Starting from the loss of Nagtsang in 1984, followed by Nakung (1991) and Lungma-Serding
(1992), the last bit of Skakjung was lost in 2008. China first made
encroachments into the 45km-long Skakjung pastures
in the Demchok-Koyul sector in early 2008. In addition, Ladakhi shepherds and
nomads from December to March every year (during which their young lambs) were able
to walk frequented the area of Dokbug and Doley Tango. In December 2008, PLA-BDR
soldiers damaged their tents and threatened them to vacate the land.
Since 2009
the PLA-BDR has erected permanent garrison infrastructure at Charding-Ninglung
Nallah in Demchok, thereby forever obstructing the entry of Ladakhi grazers in
that area.
Between 2009 and 2013 the Chumur-Karzok
grazing area spread over 29,000 sq km was similarly surrendered without any
contestation. Around 1,200 families of the Changpa tribe used to live there,
with 2.5 lakh Pashmina goats.
It was in 2008 that the PLA’s
focus shifted to desolate, inhospitable Chip Chap Valley, which remains
inaccessible until end-March. After mid-May, water streams impede vehicles
moving across the Shyok, Galwan, and Chang-Chenmo rivers, leaving only 45 days
for effective patrolling by India. No human beings inhabit there. Local Ladakh
Scouts personnel manned the posts there, but patrolling in the 972 sq km Trig
Heights area had been lax. Trig Heights also known as Trade Junction, which
connected Ladakh with Tibet in earlier days, is an area where PLA-BDR patrols
began frequenting since June, July and August 2009. The PLA-BDR made 26 sorties
in June, including two incursions by helicopters, and 21 in July. In August,
PLA-BDR patrols entered into the India-controlled territory 26 times and walked
away with petrol and kerosene meant for the IA and ITBP jawans. Back in 2008,
the PLA-BDR troops had made 223 incursion attempts and left tell-tale signs. Easier
accessibility allowed the PLA to intrude into Chip Chap with impunity during
July-August—its BDR personnel usually spent a few hours before crossing back.
But, during the 21-day Depsang standoff in April 2013, when Burtse became a
flashpoint, the PLA-BDR set up remote camps 19km inside India-claimed
territory. By August 2013, India lost 640 sq km due to “area denial” set by such
PLA-BDR patrolling. PLA-BDR soldiers virtually prevented Indian troops from
getting access to Rakhi Nallah near Daulat Beg-Olde (DBO). Change in the river
course was cited as another reason for the loss of 500-1,500 metres of land
annually. In September 2015 the BLA-BDR erected a watch-tower in that area, but
this was later destroyed by the IA.
Bottleneck or Y-junction, the
place where PLA-BDR troops have been obstructing IA/ITBP patrols since May 2015,
is less than 30km to the south of DBO ALG and around 7km east of Burtse town.
Bottleneck derives its name from a rocky outcrop that prevents vehicular movement
across the Depsang Plains. By stalling Indian patrols at Bottleneck, PLA-BDR
troops have been denying India access to five of the PPs: PP-10, PP-11, PP-11A,
PP-12 and PP-13. These PPs lie on an arc of around 20km from Rakhi Nallah to
Jiwan Nallah, on a line marked as the LoP or Limit of Patrolling, which lies 18km
to the west of the LAC. This is the same place where the PLA-BDR had pitched
tents after an ingress in April 2013. The standoff had then lasted three weeks
before status quo ante was restored. In April 2020, aggressive patrolling by
the ITBP had managed to push back the PLA-BDR troops back by at least 9km
before they settled down at the present location, which is nearly 18 km inside
India-claimed territory in the Depsang Plains. The PLA-BDR incursion was
detected by the ITBP on the intervening night of April 15 and 16, which sent
its Quick Reaction Team that not only prevented the PLA-BDR personnel from
further ingressing in the area, but also pushed them back across the Rakhi
Nallah. The situation would have further worsened if the ITBP personnel,
deployed at an altitude of 17,000 feet ASL, had not moved in quickly.
77 comments:
Prasunda,
Replying to Bhoutik in the previous thread, you wrote that US tracking assets are moving to the IOR in anticipation of IRBM and ICBM testing on our part. Is'nt this a futile move given that the second covid wave means no such testing for the next year or two at least ?
Satyaki
Dear Prasun,
So as usual China has a psychological advantage over India. Am I right? It is successfully acquiring inch by inch our land.
Prasunda,
What do you make of reports that the PLA has deployed long range MBRLs (PHL 16 with 350 km range) in Xinjiang/Tibet ? Any chance that China would launch aggressionto settle the dispute in its favour, seeing an opportunity in the covid crisis here ?
Ashwatthama
Prasun,
Where is all this going to end!China wants another war?
Provided, India is perceived to be in a position of not being able to guard it's borders, the enemy, in this case, PRC will try to claim whatever is feasible.
Prasunda, perfect summation of the situation in Assam, something that I had witnessed in person. They do the same here in Bengal.
Marwaris also stay behind the scene, plays one party against the other and reaps the benefit of the conflict. Of course since local political parties are generally on their payroll they don't oppose such sinister Marwari agenda either.
To SATYAKI: Let’s see if the DRDO still manages to pull off the planned ICBM test-firings. Matters are still very much in the realm of possibility.
To ASD: Yes, it is all due to India’s stupidity over the past few decades. In response to several queries in the past, I have uploaded above the data & slides on all the pasturelands that India had surrendered without any fight.
To ASHWATTHAMA: LoLz! My regular ISR forays into TAR since March 20, 2020 had revealed that last September itself the PLAGF had begun digging underground hardened warehouses for storing such MBRLs in Ngari Prefecture. I can even reveal the locational coordinates of this warehousing site & it is at 31.9366 N, 080.1534 E. My own single-man ISR Fusion Centre is fully aware of this as well as several other infrastructure-based accretions throughout TAR that have been reported about only here to date:
http://forceindia.net/feature-report/on-a-building-spree/
Perhaps this is the PLAGF’s answer to the IA erecting permanent SS-BSM sites at Stakna (see the uploaded slides above). Similar sites are now being built in both Uttarakhand & Himachal Pradesh.
To THE INDIAN: LoLz! If China really wanted another war, then the PLAGF would not have deployed in such high density over restricted terrain, since such deployments are highly vulnerable to artillery fire-assaults as well as standoff airpower-delivered air-to-ground strikes. But make no mistake, for China will continue nibbling away at any piece of real estate that is left unguarded or ignored. The only solution therefore is to construct all-weather habitats & transportation infrastructure right up to the India-claimed areas ASAP before any other party arrives & squats on it (i.e. unopposed encroachment) as had happened throughout the 1950s & even since the 1980s, as I have explained above.
To KAUSTAV: Also, India has an excellent legal case in support of all her territorial claims, as explained in detail in this well-drafted assessment that also reflects all that I had explained in the past:
https://thewire.in/security/china-redrawing-lac-ladakh-1960-claim-line
"Vishwas Khatam Ho Gaya"
This applies to several India entities. For instance, look at this Nalaayak not wearing a face-mask despite everyone else around him wearing one:
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EzWAZXdVEAIVyRz?format=jpg&name=large
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EzV_3hNVoAIXGjh?format=jpg&name=large
Then we have these imbeciles: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RSFm7wJ6Rlc
And then we have Baba Ramdev & his dubious claims:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ut5ETdxSPzo
And finally, the ‘desi patrakaars’ like N RAM still making irrational arguments about the Rafale M-MRCA contract:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PKH3ioEJ7r8
How can he expect the Govt of India to include the ‘Integrity Clause’ in a G-to-G contract that India had inked with the French DGA, arm of the French government? Is N Ram of the view that the Govt of France has bribed the Govt of India? If at all an Integrity Clause is reqd, it should be in the contract that was inked between the DGA (representing the French Govt) & Dassault Aviation, the prime industrial contractor.
Lastly, a silver lining & a ray of hope: Several Muslim Volunteers at Hindu Antim Sanskars in Surat:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZW3LaF8EnAg
To RAD: This is Raytheon’s airborne testbed (a B.727) used for developing & evaluating various types of airborne radars—like AESA-MMR & battlespace surveillance radars:
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EvK9jiaU4AI9k5A?format=jpg&name=large
And this is the USAF’s NT-43A flying RCS & IR signature measurement aircraft:
https://www.thedrive.com/content-b/message-editor%2F1617147237328-fvbhrpmj0evvn7zx3dfg1.jpeg?quality=60
Does the DRDO have such airborne testbeds? If not, then how can it be expected to develop radars like the ‘Uttam’ AESA-MMR & how can it do RCS & IR signature measurement of platforms like the AMCA or even the MWF? Or will the internet-fanboys still claim that India being the world’s undisputed ‘Vishwaguru’ will prove everyone else wrong by proving every existing laws of physics & mathematics to be wrong???
Prasunda,
Weren't the DRDO Labs using HS-748 & later DO-228 Test Beds? There were some images floating around from about five years ago of such aircraft hacks for testing radars & avionics. Ofcourse, after that it's off to either Israel or Russia
HI PRASUN
there are a lot of un used commercial air craft lyin g in delhi as u said before it would be easy for drdo to buy 1 A 320 . even a used one would do. its just that leasing a private aicraft is more lucrative to the guys when the float a tender so that commission can be made.
i hear that a hs 748a avro has been alloted to the drdo for such tests and a private jet as well?
The traitor N ram is an active cpi member and is an anti national
i wonder how is the IRST program goin g on , we have no proir expericane and we seem to have jumped on to some ting we cant handle. India seems to be very weak whenit comes to IIR tech.
what is the news about the IIR astra?
So now we have lost land hmmm.
To KAUSTAV & RAD: undoubtedly you are referring to this HS-748:
http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-RthVajx4okI/UmWRZjK9XBI/AAAAAAAAF6c/5erFJ-QFIxY/s1600/MSWS-2.jpg
What needs to be understood is that airborne flying testbeds are of 2 types: one for testing out the systems integration architecture that uses components that have already been developed & engineered (like imported radars, RWRs, LWRs, EW jamming pods or internally-mounted jammers, conformal DIRCM suite, MAWS & other such avionics); and the other for developing such individual avionics like radars, RWRs, LWRs, EW jamming pods or internally-mounted jammers, MAWS, IRST sensor, DIRCM, & other such avionics. For the former, power-supply & EMI parameters & databus interfacing parameters are all already known & hence only the number of data-points reqd for validating the systems integration software are reqd. Hence, platforms like HS-748 or Do-228 can suffice for this tasking. But when it comes to establishing the performance parameters of avionics still under development (like the ‘Uttam’ AESA-MMR) for the purpose of deriving a fully engineered & functional end-product, the airborne testbed is reqd to be larger & faster platform because it needs to accommodate a far higher quantum of test-benches & related workstations (for measuring, recording & analysing various performance parameters under different airspeeds & altitudes & flight attitudes) & power-supply alternators.
Hence, for these 2 distinct types of flight-test regimes, 2 different kinds of airborne flying testbeds are always the global norm.
To RAD: According to N Ram’s sick mindset, if there were the Bofors & HDW kickbacks, then every subsequent military procurement exercise too must have involved the payment of kickbacks. This is a highly unprofessional way of evolving irrational conspiracy theories when the French ‘patrakaars’ are themselves admitting that all the available evidences are of the circumstantial-type & are of 2010-vintage when the M-MRCA competition was still underway & it was to be a direct commercial contract & not a G-to-G contract! In fact, a simple look at all the G-to-G contracts inked with the either the US (through the FMS channel) or with Russia (through the state-owned Rosoboronexport State Corp, which is like India’s State Trading Corp or STC) will reveal that none of those contracts have the Integrity Clause. Imagine a buyer-country insisting on an Integrity Clause from a supplier-country, which by implication means the former strongly suspects the latter of indulging in corrupt business practices! Consequently, no self-respecting supplier-country will ever accept such humiliating/insulting preconditions—a reality that ‘desi patrakaars’ like N Ram fail to comprehend.
Sir,
https://youtube.com/watch?v=CQ371WE1DGk
This person related to you? Also pls share ur youtube details.
Three days ago I had proposed to the MoD’s dept of Defence production & Supplies to modify this piece of hardware (OBOGS) into a functional, captive, modular & portable oxygen-generating system that is cost-effective & which can be mass-produced for both domestic hospitals as well as for export abroad:
https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-DghKwVg3620/WZS3mDuYqaI/AAAAAAAANWo/hnNLooTEsL09ewrwHaWssfXfCU0OpE4CQCLcBGAs/s1600/LCA%2BLRUs-3.jpg
https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-wFXFlsRKYZI/WZN4IxaVOWI/AAAAAAAANWE/fIOTUYjeLIEF4TQR4C2hfST5VgMKySy2gCLcBGAs/s1600/OBOGS.jpg
Looks like this unsolicited proposal was quickly processed by both the MoD & Union Ministry of Finance & earlier this afternoon was cleared for mass-production by MSMEs.
Prasunda,
The muslims you are talking about in Surat have been doing it for decades if not more. They accept any dead body and will do rites per the person's religion. Very very nice non-profit which deserves attention.
AJ
Prasun da
Are our DSRVs operational?
Or do they need some other supporting Vessel which is not currently available?
Thanks
aarpee
Shri PKS : Wow! Regarding the suggestion for this portable oxygen-generating system, the Nation and the People will be utmost thankful to you. Regards.
Israel-Developed Nasal Spray Stops 99.99% of COVID-19 Infections:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w4lTPaYrEa4&pbjreload=101
Israel-based SaNOtize Research and Development’s Nitric Oxide Nasal Spray (NONS), under the brand name Enovid, is now in mass production by Israel-based Nextar Chempharma Solutions Ltd.
CoroFlu Intra-Nasal Spray: https://www.bharatbiotech.com/intranasal-vaccine.html
Co-developed with the US-based University of Wisconsin.
https://altimmune.com/adcovid/
https://codagenix.com/vaccine-programs/covid-19/
https://www.mobihealthnews.com/news/emea/finnish-academics-developing-intranasal-covid-19-vaccine
Serum Institute of India is manufacturing an intra-nasal vaccine candidate--Codagenix CDX 005--which is an intra-nasal live attenuated vaccine candidate for Sars-Cov-2. As a single-dose, intranasally-delivered vaccine, COVI-VAC does not require a needle and syringe, nor ultra-low temperature freezers.
Hyderabad-based Biological E Ltd along with India’s ICMR is also developing an intra-nasal spray that uses highly purified antisera—which are blood serum high in antibodies against specific antigens and are injected in humans to help kickstart the immune system to fight specific infections.
To AARPEE: The IN last year itself took on long-lease a support vessel from a domestic private shipping firm.
To RAMKUMAR: Not related to me. Nor do I have any YouTube account.
*follow-up query - turks being west asian, wouldn't abrahamic religions - even if found to be born there, still be west asina?
*is there a way to have these IRBM/ICBM tests done in a way that they are not monitored? in case of testing SLBMs from a sub in deep ocean, is it still required to issue NOTAMs? and will the Indian tracking ships be also used to track american missile tests of interest to us?
*do you see a possibility of covaxin getting approval for usage in the USA?
*noise in social media about goings-on in paxstan. apparently some infantry soldiers or paramilitary members have revolted & joined the protests. where do u c this headed?
*apologies in advance but i have to ask - saw pictures of the radar for the korean KF-X and it seems oddly similar looking to the uttam. just my ignorance or is there something to it?
BTW - i can't read or write Hindi, but prashun bhai, either you or someone reading this, unless it is already done, please have this entire blog published in Hindi and all other Indic languages. disservice if this is not being done.
Prasunda
Finally sense begins to prevail. Being in the open fresh air, away from crowded urban areas, might actually be the best defence, specially after the Lancet study that again states this year that the virus is airborne.
Stop the blame game. There is less than limited evidence to suggest that electoral rallies resulted in spread of the pandemic
https://indianexpress.com/article/opinion/columns/covid-19-india-second-wave-cases-electoral-rallies-modi-govt-7283840
The worst performing state is Maharashtra — actual infections were 45 per cent higher (as of April 17) than predicted. Punjab reports the second-highest deviation — 42 per cent. This could be because of the farmer rallies without masks, but that took place in Delhi — a state which performs better (4 per cent fewer infections) than expected. But Delhi has the highest incidence of cases — 49 per thousand population. Maybe farmer rallies did cause a big uptick (but the glitterati was notably absent from objecting to the same, including international experts like Rihanna and Greta Thunberg). Kerala was supposed to be the best-performing state, and not too many BJP rallies there. It has the second-highest incidence (after Delhi), and its recent performance is only marginally better than average. Most of the “expert” complaints against election rallies have been aimed at where the BJP is holding the most rallies — West Bengal and Assam. Both these states show infections below that predicted before the rallies began in earnest. Their absolute infection rate is also low. What happened (or is happening) – maybe being outdoors (the opposite of lockdowns) is better than remaining indoors? We don’t know — but maybe we are beginning to understand.
A closer look at the Bihar elections (conducted between October and November 2020) supports the above result. It shows the lowest number of cases (only 3) per thousand population. And the recent surge there is equal to that of Kerala. Choose your conclusion.
The experience with COVID-19 should have taught us humility — the reality is that we just don’t know. We predicted herd immunity, and are surprised, and shocked, with what is happening. Besides lockdowns, there have been several other favourite suspects. Let us take the example of seemingly the most intuitive recommendation to prevent infection — wearing masks. The one organisation mandated to analyse COVID-19, the WHO, has made several missteps. It has been analysing flu epidemics for decades, and yet came out with a recommendation in November 2019 — in the form of a detailed report — that masks were not very useful. Even an expert as expert as Dr Anthony Fauci, the director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, has had to reconsider if not retract. In April 2020, Dr Fauci said that “there’s no reason to be walking around with a mask”; he changed his stance later as the pandemic progressed. Recently (late 2020), Fauci advocated the use of double masks and added that this was “common sense”.
So, what works? Possibly masks and social distancing — and meeting people in the open (we know, from painful experience, that lockdowns don’t work). In the recent assembly elections, people have been wondering and complaining that the reason we have the new wave is that people have let down their guard, are no longer washing hands after touching metal (now the WHO tells us we never had to do that!), and are not wearing masks, or keeping any social distance at political rallies, let alone the “scientifically” proven six feet. Having a robust immune system with lots of fresh air & excercise obviously help.
To RAJESH MISHRA: VMT, but this yet again proves that for solving most problems, resort to rocket science isn’t reqd, but application of the mind & critical thinking will produce the best solutions—i.e. SOUND COMMON-SENSICAL methodologies will always prevail over everything else.
To BHOUTIK: 1) The term ‘West Asian’ is a recent derivation, just like the term ‘Middle East’. The 2 principal Abrahamic religions (Judaism & Christianity) have their roots in ancient Mesopotamia, while Islam originated in the Arabian peninsula & Zoroastrianism originated in Central Asia. 2) Only China & Russia have the kind of landmass that can be closed to any international air-traffic & hence only these 2 countries can test-fire SLBMs & ICBMs without issuing any NOTAMs. Test-firing from deep oceans nearer to the South Pole isn’t possible since close proximity to either of the 2 poles severely affects the performance of inertial navigation systems. 3) I am much more optimistic about the intra-nasal vaccines than the existing bunch of injectable vaccines. The former is far more cheaper & is also safer for children. 4) Pakistan is facing multiple problems on several fronts. On the domestic front, it is facing the onslaught of the Barelvis that has opened a brand-new faultline within the so-called ‘Muslim Qaum’ & has also yet again proven Pakistan’s hypocrisy (under which negotiations can be held with banned outfits that have already been slapped with terrorism charges) as explained here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hm61Mw3xH6I&t=22s
This in turn has begun to cause more problems in the external front, i.e. relations with the EU & Iran will be severely affected. Iran in particular sees this as an existential threat since a victorious Sunni Barelvi cult will eventually see convergence of interests with the Sunni Deobandi cult & together they will further increase sectarian violence against the Shias of Pakistan. As the Shias are in a minority in Pakistan, logically the brunt of sectarian violence will be borne by them in areas like Gilgit-Baltistan, Balochistan (the endangered Hazaras) & Parachinar. Iran therefore isn’t taking any chances & has therefore increased its covert operations inside Pakistan by giving such Shias paramilitary training for self-defence & is likely to supply weapons as well, as per the fears of former Pakistani diplomats that are revealed here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tM7XvmOv2Ec&t=7s
For India, this can be the breakthrough that can eventually be exploited for the sake of liberating Gilgit-Baltistan. For, Iran too believes that the Shias of India, being a minority sect within a minority community (dominated by Sunni Muslims), can get the best protection only in countries like India, not Pakistan.
4) LoLz! The South Korean AESA-MMR looks much more refined as an optimally engineered end-product. The ‘Uttam’ has yet to reach that stage. 5) VMT, but Google can easily translate all this in real-time in-screen. Hence, there’s no need at all to re-publish all this in different Indic or non-Indic languages.
hi prasun
how did the turks manage to copy the amraam and the sidewinder 9x ? and how are they going to to get it on to the f-16 without the codes and thre permission form the US especially wihtht toubled times ? where did thet get all the tech from ?
can they give it to the pakis tanis to arm the F-16s?
Prasunda.
It seems that Indian 🇮🇳Navy sends Deep Submergence Rescue Vessel to help in search & rescue ops for Indonesian Navy 🇮🇩 submarine KRI Nanggala (Type-209)https://t.co/QMnRzcqE1M
Isn't this a good initiative
Sir,
https://twitter.com/PressTV/status/1384909993120518149?s=19
Libtard jihadi groups have infiltrated US deep state under the guise of freedom of religion. They are waging e-Jihad for their so-called azaad kashmir. Pandits going back home after 370 repeal proved too much for their fragile egos, since they want Kashmir to be the same as when Kashmir was part of Afghanistan (under Taliban-style rule).
Why does West tolerate these parasites after 9/11 and countless terrorist attacks? Simple reason is that West does not want to see Bharat rise. CCP is atheist, but the Abrahamic west is very scared of Dharmics. After Kal Yug, Dharmics will triumph over Abhramics according to their prophecies.
https://thedisinfolab.org/uscirf-an-organization-of-particular-concern/
Sir, what will happen to INS Chakra SSN after ending of it's lease period in 2022.....Is there any plan to extend the lease....What is the status of leasing agreement regarding another akula (probably K-322 Kashalot)...media reports has mentioned a price tag of $3 billion for 10 years lease... isn't this too much.... shouldn't we consider investing this much resources and time in building domestic capabilities..?
To KAUSTAV: LoLz! The key operative words are AWAY FROM CROWDED AREAS, regardless of whether they exists in rural or urban areas. This also means that events causing crowded assemblies are to be shunned & avoided. It was known since January 8, 2020 itself that the COVID-19 virus air transmissible by air, just like the earlier variants of the COVID virus family (like SARS) & even back in 2003 for those of us residing in Southeast Asia at that time, the precautionary protocols specified were the same as they have been since last year. But, as I had explained earlier, I can’t blame those very ‘netas’ & ‘babus’ who hail from amongst us and all of whom have been subjected to a far more deadly virus that I have named as “Hum Kabhi Nahin Sudhrenge” (we will never reform for the better). Hence, the kind of stupidity now being witnessed (highlighted in the weblinks below) will continue for the foreseeable future:
https://theprint.in/india/governance/top-officials-earn-modi-flak-should-have-been-better-prepared-to-handle-2nd-covid-wave/643299/
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Lm0BvJvJ3GM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lKdGGQa5bCk
About the DSAR, the Republic of Singapore Navy also possesses the JFD-supplied DSARs & hence it is surprising why Indonesia turned to India & not to Singapore (which is far nearer to Bali) for such assistamce.
To RAD: The Turks are CLAIMING this to be the case but in reality it is impossible to clone such PGMs. And you can also rest assured that the Turks don’t possess the software or source-codes reqd for reprogramming the F-16’s weapons management computer.
To VISVAGURU: As Misaala had told Ben-Hur, an idea can only be killed with another idea. Hence, India also needs to come up with a befitting, credible counter-narrative, instead of resorting to whining & wailing & ranting like the ones witnessed here yesterday:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9SCk58p4sqY
What needs to be propagated by India is this as one of the prime examples of inter-faith harmony:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3oPN7YnNQd8&t=188s
To AMIT BISWAS: This will answer your earlier query about how rotating radar antennae avoid entangling their wiring:
http://www.radarindia.com/Proceedings%20Archive/IRSI-15/15-FP-169.pdf
Excellent congratulations!!!
The ultimate story that is now unravelling: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dK0LbMcvGg4
To UNKNOWN: INS Arihant can always be used as an SSN as well, along with INS Arighat. There's no need to lease any other SSN or SSGN from anywhere else.
Hi Prasun,
See the following link. Russians are testing a new engine for the Kamov Ka-226T helicooter. What is the possibility of this engine being utilised for the Indian contract instead of the French one? That would remove the restriction currently placed on military use of the helicopter
https://rostec.ru/news/rostekh-izgotovit-tri-opytnykh-obraztsa-dvigatelya-dlya-ka-226t-do-kontsa-goda/
dear sir,
1. cud u explain what is PLA much touted strategy "that is said to end the war before it
starts?". is it a combination of hard and soft power + diplomacy or just psywar by CCP?
2. is the icbm new or A5?
3. is drdo developing longer range pinaka or we going to buy upgraded smerch
4. any idea why is there such delay in ak 203 deal sir?
thank you
Yogesh
Dear Prasunji,
A sincere request please stop showing/quoting coverage of media channels like Print, Wire etc. which are well known for their leaning, propaganda lies and biases. Yes the situation in country is precarious and people are dying but please do as much analysis based on facts and data but do not behave like NY Times and Washington post when narrating incident in India.
That much-hyped vaccine diplomacy went into waters now. Expectedly Chini's offer to help India and its slave's salvo on India and discrediting India's effort to make Chini the savior of the world again is not surprising at all.
India lost the opportunity yet again and perhaps forever it seems now.
What stopping India from importing Israeli nasal spray?
People are worst than the leader as always.
But Sir how come you are so optimistic about next-gen politicians as politics is a family-run business in India?
To RAGHU: This will only increase the acquisition costs since the costs will now have to factor in the developmental costs to be charged by Russia for this engine, plus the time taken for certifying the engine. Hence, sound common-sense dictates that the 3 armed services adopt only the HAL-developed single-engined LUH, which is now available for mass-production.
To YOGESH: 1) Simply put, it is the weaponisation of all available instrumentalities/tools, like imposing trade embargoes, predatory subsidisation to make products far cheaper compared to those of the adversary, thereby forcing the latter to de-industrialise; creating huge bilateral trade deficits that favour China; engaging in ‘Gray Zone Warfare’ of the type being waged against The Philippines so that commercial shipping costs go through the roof due to steep rises in merchant marine insurance premiums; and finally cultivating subversionists inside the adversary’s country, like what China had done in the 1950s & 1960s by fully supporting India-based Communist Parties that had led the pro-China lobby inside India back then. 2) A-5 with MIRVs & decoy MIRVs. 3) Yes, a ‘desi’ substitute of the Smerch-M is under development. 4) Due to administrative dysfunctions within the MoD.
To SANJAY: What you are suggesting is highly reflective of the ‘Ram Rajya’ thought-process that remains widespread within India, i.e. blindly accept accusations of marital infidelity against Sita & put the onus on Sita to prove her purity through ‘Agni Pariksha’, while not holding accountable all those imbeciles who had levelled such accusations & letting them go scot-free in the aftermath of the Agni Pariksha. It is up to each one of us to make sense out of the data & in this case the official data of the GoI itself proves what the QUINT & others are now revealing. Against this, the expressed in ‘Op-Eds’ of local & foreign publications are the ones that draw mostly erroneous inferences & conclusions. Hence, must must distinguish between the two, instead of lumping them all together. There is a strong need to be DISCERNING, which unfortunately you are not being as demonstrating by your comment.
To DASHU: LoLz! You can justifiably portray me as the perpetual PESSIMISTIC OPTIMIST. As for single-doze intra-nasal sprays, to me from a strictly medical standpoint it is the best solution on-hand for preventing the spread of the virus, especially for toddlers & children. For sound common-sense dictates that the virus is best fought through preventive means at the entrance-point itself, i.e. nip it in the bud & forestall all chances of a growing internal infection. Injectable vaccines on the other hand are more effective AFTER the infection has already started growing internally.
* https://www.scmp.com/news/china/science/article/3130338/china-starts-large-scale-testing-its-internet-future
any similar project by India?
* https://www.scmp.com/week-asia/politics/article/3130423/japan-troops-wont-get-involved-if-china-invades-taiwan-pm?utm_content=article&utm_medium=Social&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1618990299
was there a need to expressly state this?
*https://www.msn.com/en-in/news/newsindia/why-india-opted-for-a-stand-alone-agreement-with-china-in-ladakh/ar-BB1fV0TS
do u agree with Mr. Panag's conclusions?
*https://www.businessinsider.com/elon-musk-spacex-starlink-europe-space-broadband-satellite-internet-2020-12
isn't a similar constellation needed for India? couldn't this be used for distributed providing military comm. if large sats. are taken out in the event of conflicts?
Some recently-issued RFIs & EoIs by Indian Army HQ:
https://indianarmy.nic.in/writereaddata/RFI/783/RFI%20MGS%20Arty%2001%20Apr%202021.pdf
https://indianarmy.nic.in/writereaddata/RFI/786/EOI%20FOR%20AFV%20%20090421.pdf
https://indianarmy.nic.in/writereaddata/RFI/788/RFI%20FOR%20LT%20TK%2023042021.pdf
https://indianarmy.nic.in/writereaddata/RFI/788/RFI%20FOR%20LT%20TK%2023042021.pdf
https://indianarmy.nic.in/writereaddata/RFI/787/EOI%20For%20Portable%20Helipad%2015042021.pdf
Submarine Hull Fabrication: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2UG98DRKbI0
BSF's Innovative Steam Technique: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=194RrwKU8uA
OP Midnight Jackal: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=37Sc-0fRwMg
To BHOUTIK: 1 & 4) Japan & the US have already formally teamed up for developing 6-G cellular networks. In India folks like Commodore S Paulraj who had developed APSOH sonar family for the IN are now working in the US on developing 6-G networks & his portrait dones the Hall of Fame of Stanford University. You won't find anything like that in India & so don't expect India to develop anything futuristic. India was, is & will remain a nett technology-importer for decades to come. Only portraits of 'netas' will don the hallways of India's Parliament building (old & new) 2) Why not? Because it is the obvious & common-sensical fact-of-life. 3) With each passing day he is being proven right.
Was busy yesterday covering the ongoing 9th Int'l Radar Expo at Nanjing, China:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SuQFdhPbVSM
Of course, no one else from India will be covering such expos or writing about it. My show report will be published in the May 2021 issue of FORCE, rest assured.
Prasunda
So silly season begins again on US not giving raw materials. Big Deal. That's how the world works. Every nation is duty bound to look out for itself. It just shows that India's policy of never putting it's eggs in one basket has been correct. India takes what it can from where it gets it. The US is an ally only to the extent of mutual interest. India has & will continue to co-operate with Russia, US or PRC as per it's needs. Ofcourse the US is an ally, but so is Russia. India also co-operate with Russia & has extensive mutual interests & aims. Even with PRC where as the weaker power & being dependent on PRC for many supplies, ee have to be careful & also co-operate on common agendas. So what's new? Why this expectation that a US govt w/o Trump but with Biden & KAMALA HARRIS are supposed to rush to our aid. Isn't India kind of needy when it's a question of basic medical infrastructure where India lacks as with other sectors. The supply chain constraints on raw materials are nothing new, whether with respect to vaccine or other constraints
Sir, what are chances of revoking BECA & other agreements if USA & Comrade Biden keep heaping insults on India
Hello Prasun,
Thanks for proving beyond doubt of writing gibberish on subjects not relating to defense; examples that nasal drops are better than injections; in the same vein, every preventive medicine given to new borns up to 10 years (as per the prescribed/recommended vaccines) should be either oral or nasal. Talking of traitor communists siding with enemies during the war; still feeling for their irrelevance in rest of the country except in the most advanced economies of Kerala and Waste Bengal (where they are almost irrelevant now). Talking highly about the presstitutes from wire, quaint et al, in the garb of having a complete perspective. Their narrative is being understood by most in India except for some. Vilifying people as those with no intellect (at least in the past couple of weeks) who do not agree with your narrative by posting hyperlinks of those presstitutes who peddles half truths in a convenient manner. I do not see any difference in your language and Aishe Ghosh, Kanhaiya kumar or my favorite Biman Bose. All the best to you on this.
Thanks, Ganesh
Ha ha mera naam istemal kar.
Sanjay
Dear Prasun,
I was going through your response. What would happen when communist party comes to power to form central government. Will they surrender India to China meter by meter!!!!
"It is my assessment that the Chinese issued a direct/indirect threat to go on the offensive in DBO and Gogra-Hot Springs sector. Given our critical vulnerability in these areas, we agreed to a “stand-alone agreement”.---Lt Gen H S Panag PVSM, AVSM (R) in his article.
https://www.msn.com/en-in/news/newsindia/why-india-opted-for-a-stand-alone-agreement-with-china-in-ladakh/ar-BB1fV0TS
Prasun Da, wasn't any choice left for India ? Like threatening a counter offensive through any area of LAC , When it's true, that the PLA was not ready for the WAR ? Or just Indian decision makers chickened out, I may be wrong. Please share your views. And there's no way out now?
To KAUSTAV: The US Defense Authorisation Act was activated on March 18, 2020 & India had all the time since then to come up with alternatives. But of course that did not happen, similar to the criminal negligence displayed when it came to setting up new liquid oxygen generation plants, as everyone now knows only too well & even the PM himself is aghast about it.
To IYENGAR: LoLz! Beggars can never be choosers.
To GANESH: LoLz! My dear ol’chap, a little bit of research always helps in finding out what kind of medication can be administered orally or through injections. Since like the great bulk of the natives of India you too are loathe to do your own fact-finding, here’s something you can read up:
https://www.who.int/immunization_standards/vaccine_quality/qa_production_control_pq_11july2012.pdf
And of course going by your thought process, all those around the world developing intra-nasal medicines are are a bunch of arseholes & only folks like you are the ‘Vishwagurus’ blessed with All-Knowing Wisdom. So be it, if that’s what satisfies your sense of self-esteem. The truths are already out in the open & no less than the Indian PM has acknowledged this. If you still want to dwell in a state of self-denial, then kindly continue doing so as it does not harm or damage me in any manner. For, had you been in possession of the truths, then you surely would have had the sense to share it with all of us, instead of sprouting delusional rants. Again, if all that provides you any kind of psychological solace, then so be it, because truth always hurts the most & is the most bitter pill to swallow. But on the other hand, for as long as you feel the pain (from the truth), you also then get to know that you are still alive.
To ASD: LoLz! Do you see that as a distinct possibility in the foreseeable future? But if at all that happens, I’m sure bloggers like GANESH will try their best to muster the forces necessary for combatting the Communists.
To SUMANTA NAG: India had no choice but to accept the new ground realities, since the Indian Army is not in any condition to make any credible counter-move. In fact, the PLAGF moved into eastern Ladakh because it was convinced beyond any doubt that the IA will not be able to make any credible or matching counter-move. Therefore, what this whole incident has demonstrated that despite the IA’s large size, its dissuasive deterrence stratagems & postures failed completely. Now, if a commission of enquiry was to be instituted to look into the lapses, what will emerge first & foremost is that the IA & also the IAF after May 1998 failed completely in evolving a joint forces warfighting doctrine that could stand the test of time under a nuclear overhang. Simply put, the rebalancing, restructuring & re-equipping processes (including the raising of mission-specific IBGs) all began far too late back in 2011. All this ideally should have begun in the latter half of 1998 itself & should have been completed by 2008, following which only consolidation of the gains should have followed. But all this is not possible in India where both the civilian netas & the bureaucracy are inward-looking & are not at all a well-read lot. And the armed forces are far too obsessed with being seen to be apolitical & hence are not too willing to give any well-meaning advice to the Govt of India.
Typical. If one does not agree he is a presstitute, commie etc. As if there is a single narrative of nationalism. Every single citizen of this country is born with the same rights, irrespective of religion, cast, ethnicity or class. Each has the right to his own opinion. Btw, kanhaiya Kumar is mostly right when he questions the govt, or we are no different from your most hated China.
Prasunda,
1) Are you saying (in your reply at 2:40 am, Apr. 24) that the ICBM the DRDO is expected to test soon is the MIRVed variant of the A-5 ?
2) If so, is this different from the A-6 revealed by Dr. Saraswat in his 2013 talk in IIT Bombay ?
Satyaki
Hello Prasun,
Thanks for responding. Second thing first, yes with my efforts and God's grace, working to do the needful to make my country resourceful and competent (simultaneously growing in both). Never interested in jingoism and do not have any digital presence apart from this blog. Coming to the context/crux of the topic; there are various means to administer various medicines; talking exclusively on Polio and your hypothesis is incorrect. Any reference to vaccines administrated to children since birth will get you answers.
I believe in the premise that when I grow, my country also grows, no need talk of making it vishwaguru, it will happen by default. Never claim I know everything; however, I very well understand what I talk and its purpose and consequence. Failure or success is measure to decide when task is complete, no need to propagate prematurely; understanding the progress and taking corrective action is important.
For Corona, nasal strays are being developed in India by Bharat biotech and phase 1 trials are underway, others are also doing indigenously. As you rightly mentioned, it will be useful for resources below 18.
I understand your fixation with non-defense external (and incredibly stupid) references web links which mostly peddle half truths and lies; upon self-analysis understand your tendency, will refrain from commenting about it henceforth. Hopefully, with dispensation change after May 02 better sense may prevail.
Take care, Ganesh
Dear Prasun,
1. What's the status of LUH and LCH? Any update?
2. What's your view on IA planning to procure 350 light tanks?
3. If PLAGF achieves the goal of fully mechanised force by 2025, how will be IA prepared to take on it? By bleeding and attaining martyrdom or giving back a bloody nose to PLAGF?
4. We have a so called think tank. I'm certain you are also part of it. I'm certain our country must have many more Prasun Sengupta. Then why is this country suffering from myopia of shortsitedness? What's that blocking the usage of common sense which you wail everytime that we lack it? How can we go beyond the political rivalry to develop the country?
5. As you told earlier when UPA was in power, BJP vehemently opposed GST. Then why the chhappan inch ka sina hails itself the only patriotic party, instead when it hurts the national interest. Are we all blind about it?
5. You usually tell that GoI people too go though your blog. Are they? I don't think so!!!! Else India would have been developed country by now. You can't deny it. Feeling disgusting!!!!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yOVfsbXBi40
India doesn't even have access to Pfizer vaccine.. what drugs this nazi is on!!?
Prasunda,
Good news!!!!!!!!!
https://twitter.com/KabeerK07/status/1386033911269003264
Will this be considered the start of end of pandemic (I know i am being too optimistic)
Regards
are the light tanks for an expeditionary capability & do you think the buy is necessary? what would be the best option for such a procurement?
To SATYAKI: The MIRVed variant of A-5 is the A-6. Also, it will be lighter as all its fuel-tanks are built with composites-based materials.
To GANESH: I wish you all the very best for making both yourself & the country resourceful and competent, but it all won’t happen by God’s grace since the Almighty only helps those who take the trouble to help themselves (thus nothing ever happens by default) & I’m afraid you’re not doing that by steadfastly refusing to either reveal the truths & thereby exposing the untruths/lies, or sharing the rest of the truth in case of half-truths. Needless insinuations, surmises & suppositions don’t matter to me at all. And unlike you, I’m the eternal hard realist who knows for sure that whatever happens on May 2, it will neither earth-shattering nor transformational since no one from the Heavens above will parachute down to India & relieve her of all her miseries. Consequently, the choices will again be the same as they were before, i.e. choosing between Skin Cancer, Blood Cancer & Bone Cancer.
To RAMKUMAR: beggars can never become choosers. Don’t forget this:
MoD to airlift 23 oxygen generating plants, containers from Germany for AFMCs:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uAA1KpItpJ8
To ANIONE: I have been in regular touch with that company for the past 10 months as it appeared to be the only one applying sound common-sense as far as new product development goes. Pandemics won’t end so fast. They last for at least three-and-a-half years, which India’s ill-read & ill-informed netas have not yet understood.
To ASD: 1) LCH’s LSP-series airframes are now under fabrication at HAL’s new facility in Guntur & very soon the LUH’s LSP-series airframes too will enter the fabrication stage. 2) Absolute stupidity. Just read the RFI carefully & you will realise that the same project office that is responsible for the still-born FRCV project is also handling this light tank project. 3) A bloody nose will be given by the IA, but it will in turn incur a much bloodier nose. 4 & 5) Because no one person can be the answer to all problems/shortcomings/deficiencies. Governing any country is all about teamwork, which the present-day ruling dispensation loathes & hence the existence of programmes like PM Cares, Pradhan Mantri this & that etc etc. The feeling is being given that in this country only the PM cares about all Indian citizens & the rest of the Indian citizens don’t care about one another, i.e. a retarded mindset prevails & this in turn gives rise to regional & sub-nationalistic animosities. And that’s why in the present-day Union Cabinet, there are very few full-fledged Union Cabinet Ministers & the rest are all Ministers of State who don’t even qualify for sitting in the Cabinet meetings. The end-result of such practices is for all mof us to see now: administrative paralysis & fatigue due to over-centralisation at the PMO. 5) What goes around also comes around & I guess the Gods of Yore are now delivering divine justice to the ruling dispensation by showing it the mirror. Therefore, at the end of the day, all the shouting, chest-thumping, saluting, statue-building & grandstanding does not amount to anything at all. This is the Almighty’s way of imparting lessons on HUMILITY. Let me share a few examples with you:
3 PLAN Vessels Commissioned on 72nd Anniversary of PLAN: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bdSu_xf-O84
3rd Type 055 DDG, Dalian 105; 1st Type 075 LHD Haïnan 31 & 6th Type 09-IV SSBN the, Long March-18 421
Notice that despite being the C-in-C of the PLA, President Xi is neither saluting nor wearing an military dress. Unlike India, China does not need to celebrate too many Vijay Diwas.
And all the big talk about Atmanirbhar Bharat & Swabhiman Bharat has now gone for a toss through these imports:
Oxygen Tanks from Singapore: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kVgcnWHTJeE
But what is not being revealed by the GoI is that it is TATA Sons that is paying for & arranging for the import of such cryogenic tanks:
MoD to airlift 23 oxygen generating plants, containers from Germany: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uAA1KpItpJ8
TATA Importing 23 Cryogenic Tanks:
https://twitter.com/TataCompanies/status/1384534151919902724
Russia Offers Help: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gjFJt7RjhAA
India To Import 10,000+ Oxygen Concentrators: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=41hr6b_YH0A
Govt of India Says Even 5% Of Samples Can't Be Sent For Genome Sequencing: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3kbtG4DAVjI
Apex-Level Mis-Management: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qV5WuhIyJUs
Vote Do Aur Uske Baad Jaan Bhi De Do (Give Your Votes & Then Your Lives Too): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uCf0uL-wjz0
Why Kerala Has Surplus Medical Oxygen: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WJ1YCOf65rM
China & Pakistan Rubbing Salt on India’s Wounds by Offering Help to the People of India, Not to the Govt of India: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o0VVJj4-yl0
What this means is that both these countries are trying to run down the GoI in the eyes of India’s citizens.
Several military veterans are angry that the IN’s CMO VADM Rajat Dutta has surrendered all his capacities & assets to the DRDO: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZwFctIEFhIg
Cont'd below...
India’s armed forces are importing 23 medical oxygen generating plants from Germany to cater to the AFMCs because veterans all mover India are being denied the medical facilities that they are entitled to: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3cUBRmtFVLg
While the DRDO’s choice of sites for its field hospitals definitely smacks of political favouritism:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QzPOkB7Vm9M
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sA4VIjyOG8U
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2nHxmfE40KU
Another Glacier Disaster In Uttarakhand (I reckon this the Almighty’s way of punishing that state for hosting the Maha Kumbh Mela): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GS5EHEfzuII
And finally we have this embarrassment:
https://theprint.in/defence/army-stresses-on-integrated-logistics-on-the-lines-of-amazon-flipkart-amid-covid-crisis/645260/
Now why has all this dawned upon the VCOAS so late? Didn’t he even know that China had since the beginning of this decade embarked upon this very same path under the umbrella of ‘Military-Civil Fusion’ as explained by these charts:
https://www.state.gov/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/What-is-MCF-One-Pager.pdf
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EeIRzlJX0AIbGQ3.jpg
https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Amrita-Jash/publication/346969971/figure/fig1/AS:968269787836417@1607864915136/Chinas-Unified-Military-Civil-System-of-Strategies-and-Strategic-Capability.png
No wonder that the IA began talking about its ‘Cold Start doctrine & the IBGs since April 2004, but the IBGs began taking shape only in 2018!!!
And now to some good news:
Medical Oxygen Generators: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-8fozplIj2k
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BA8bIGv8ZPs
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-gid7CqXMNE
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fkrhq840Hvg
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v7AB-CN81lI
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7W0HV7EXrIE
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0LhEoWzSj0c
Hero MotoCorp https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=06PvAvL9RcM
https://www.gogoro.com/news/Battery-Swapping-Hero-MotoCorp-Gogoro-Partnership-India/
DRDO’s Blood-Oxygen-Saturation Supplemental Oxygen Delivery System:
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EzVU40_UcAwIRWC?format=jpg&name=4096x4096
DRDO develops Naval Chaff: https://twitter.com/DRDO_India/status/1378968994334445569
To BHOUTIK: There's no need for such light tanks. All that is reqd is to re-engine the existing T-72CIA MBTs by replacing their existing 780hp engines with 1,000hp engines of the type used by the T-90S & these engines on the T-90S can be replaced by 1,350hp engines imported from Russia.
To CHANAKYA CHATTERJEE: NLOS-SS-BSMs are not ballistic in their flight trajectory & are in fact powered all the way to their targets. Hence they cruise at far lower altitudes, i.e. 13km like the BrahMos-1 does. Hence NLOS-SS-BSMs will never be mistaken for ballistic missiles. For achieving pinpoint accuracy over long distance, i.e, beyond 90km & up to 500km, two NLOS-SS-BSMs can do damage that artillery projectiles can’t. Hence, for initial fire-assaults lasting for the first 72 hours of any high-intensoty engagement, it will be the NLOS-SS-BSMs that will be used the most for inflicting attrition losses on the adversary, following which conventional tube artillery will take over.
My unbiased view is this: India preaches something & ends up doing something else. For instance, if India portrays herself as the ‘Vishwaguru’, then it is incumbent upon here to act as one too. But is that happening? Absolutely not. For, while India preaches & sermonises about her ancient civilisational status, her decision-makers don’t seem to have learnt anything from your namesake CHANAKYA a.k.a. KAUTILYA & his Arthashastra, which is all about stratagems. Remember China’s 36 Stratagems? That’s why I was AGHAST when PM Modi proudly declared on January 28, 2021 at the Davos Forum’s virtual summit that India had successfully combatted the COVID-19 pandemic. This was the greatest proof of him & his advisers being ill-read & ill-informed, especially at a time when no less than 6 cities of China were under total lockdown due to the second-wave of the pandemic prevailing there & harsh measures like a 21-day quarantine was imposed on all those cities in Liaoning, Zhejiang, Yunnan & Sichuan provinces & also in parts of Xinjiang & Inner Mongolia. And that is why it is now dawning upon the citizens of India that there has been apex-level mismanagement of the current second-wave in India. Of course there will be the usual bunch of naysayers alleging these are either untruths or half-truths or quarter-truths etc etc, but empirical official data does not take any sides & is now freely available for everyone & anyone to analyse & assess.
And the recent statements from the German Chancellor is adequate proof of the GoI pressurising SII to not adhere its vaccine export commitments, which will have severe repercussions for India if indeed the GoI is obstructing India-based pharma companies from fulfilling their commitments against already-paid-for orders placed by foreign countries. This will shed more light on the tight spot that India is in now:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qV5WuhIyJUs
Perplexing to see people (read some journos and think tank guys) blabbering on the US and POTUS like how he is treating an ally during a crisis etc etc.
The fault is entirely on India yet they are blaming the US, Mr. Xi must be very happy to see these Indian's behavior.
Agree POTUS could have eased export of raw materials asked by India as in US walk-in appointments are now available that too with the choice of company betweent Pfizer or Moderna, which indicates ample amount of vaccine the US is sitting on.
Add to that reluctance of many people to get vaccinated. So he could have allowed export, but he might be having some inside intel for not doing it.
Dear Prasun,
Thanks for your time and response. You have never left anyone disheartened in the blog. Everytime you have responded with the motivation to give solutions to the problems which common man finds impossible to overcome.
However, India can't start wailing. India needs to prepare for the same to face China's might.
Now the question is if you are in charge of the same, what would be your roadmap to deal with China? How would you stop China from grabbing inch by inch land that belongs to India? Please enlighten.
To DASHU: That was to be expected, because of the widespread contagion called HUM KABHI BHI NAHIN SUDHRENGE. The question that should be asked is if Russia allowed its citizens to get vaccinated from last January onwards, then who the hell is the ICMR to conduct its own multi-phase vaccine trials? Is the ICMR blessed with all-knowing wisdom? Why did the ICMR not show a sense of urgency for expediting the certification of other India-made/India-developed vaccines (injectable & intra-nasal)? Ask any responsible authority now & they will claim that they then had all fallen for the Indian PM's claims made on January 28 during the Davos 2021 virtual summit!!!
To ASD: VMT. The answer lies back in history, when India was faced with the same situation back in the 1950s & it has all been recorded & published in the book called THE CHINESE BETRAYAL by the then IB, Bhola Nath Mullick. I am now in the process of scanning selected pages from that book & will upload them ASAP, which will explain everything.
Prasun da,
Your demonization of kumav mela because of 2nd wave is completly wrong. 2nd wave of covid started in Maharashtra then chhatisgarh, delhi. If your thoery is correct than why is uttarakhand not in top 10 list of covid cases? why elections state in WB,assam,TN not severely affected?
Reality is new varient like double mutent spread more in Maharashtra of 60% cases, Chhatisgarh more uk varient spread. Most of the leftest media is so baised that they donot acknowledge the 2nd wave started from Maharashtra
Dear Prasun - Hope u and ur family & loved ones are all safe and healthy.
While we are in the middle of the mega crisis, do u think China will once again take advantage and try to put some pressure on the borders?
Maybe even in other parts such as HP/Uttarakhand or the East in Sikkim/Arunachal this time?
Whats our level of preparedness and deployment at the moment?
Mr.Prasun
If the Pakistanis start Ceasefire violations at LOC and massive infiltration and terror attacks in J&K and rest of India in the near future and also the Chinese start their Operation Landgrab again all this amidst the Pandemic.
We are doomed I guess.
What's your take?
*https://spacenews.com/china-is-developing-plans-for-a-13000-satellite-communications-megaconstellation/
sorry to bring this up again but was browsing news & this showed up. since an Indian constellation is necessary, what would be the ideal scenario forward? how should India progress on this front? what should be done now in India?
Dear Prasun,
1. Thanks for the response. BTW I have one query if you don't mind. You have been blessed with the god gifted commonsense. You have always responded queries with rationality. Being a responsible citizen, have you ever carried out any brainstorming for the bureaucrats to help develop the country. If you can train and help the country have some more Prasuns, then certainly India will be Vishwaguru.
2. Are you in Tweeter? If yes, can we have your consent to follow you?
Mr.Prasun the book is available free online anyone interested should start reading.
Hello Prasunda pranams
Could you tell us more on the s400 india has ordered.
1. How many regiments or systems?
2. How many batallions in each
3. How mnay batteries in each battalion
4. How many launchers each of the long mid and shorter distance missiles
5 uour thoughts on the deployment and what wide areas will they cover.
6. Lastly how many more systems wil.be ordered.
Many thanks
After sometime army will also realise the importance of harnessing civilian 4G/5G networks with military firewalls and protocols for communication network..as u had predicted
To MOHAN: As you claim, my ‘demonisation’ was NOT about the MAHA KUMBH MELA, but about the methodology of conducting it & more so because CM of Uttarakhand himself had claimed that ‘Ma Ganga will cure everything & everyone’. Furthermore, testing rates in Uttarakhand are nowhere near the testing rates being conducted in major Indian cities & hence the quantum of detected +ve cases in Uttarakhand will be far less than that of major cities. Now let’s get to the origins of the pandemic’s superspreading across the country. It all starts when large concentrations of people—within India & the natives intermingling with folks from abroad—take place. The superspreading began late last year when places of worship were opened for the masses & as we all know, the masses in India are always loathe to comply with rules & regulations. Next came the Aero India 2021 expo, which was held when all over the world such expos have been postponed indefinitely. Following this was the festival of Holi & the New Year celebrations, the Maha Kumbh & the Panchayati elections in UP. All this had led to a lot of migrant labourers from major cities going back to their villages throughout northern India. And as I had explained on April 16, 2021 at 6:07AM, the rail/road transportation routes passing through Delhi was another cause for the rapid spread in Delhi, while the ‘Sadhus’ now back in Himachal Pradesh’s Kangra Valley from Uttarakhand have now forced Himachal Pradesh to declare curfews & lockdowns:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8nZSDqJVGWE
Hence, what you are claiming to be the reality is in fact totally wrong & does not in any way reflect the ground realities. And this was exemplified by the decision to prematurely terminate the Maha Kumbh Mela by the concerned authorities in both Delhi & Uttarakhand. You therefore will have to go much more deeper for conducting credible assessments.
Situation in UP’s Rural Areas: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Rulqo-wumQE
Hoarding of Hospital Beds in UP: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PXJHpswpz8s
To KIDDO: It is impossible for the PLA to replicate in either the north-east or in Uttarakhand or in Himachal Pradesh all that it has done in eastern Ladakh because the terrain in the former is far harsher & the IA is sitting atop all the dominating heights there.
To RAJ GUPTA: It is unlikely to happen since Pakistan is financially grounded, while China will be busy with the celebrations of the CPC’s 100th anniversary. As for the book, VMT, it is indeed available on-libe for free download & can be found here:
https://ia801605.us.archive.org/14/items/in.ernet.dli.2015.148183/2015.148183.The-Chinese-Betrayal.pdf
To BHOUTIK: India is developing similar plans. In fact, exactly such a plan had been devised by DEVAS MULTIMEDIA in the previous decade, but as we all now know, the ‘desi patrakaars’ raised a stink about it & had wrongly made allegations of corruption. Consequently, such a trend-setting initiative was sabotaged & had to be terminated.
To ASD: Every human being is blessed with the gift of sound common-sense. But it is left to each individual to discover & utilise it. Nothing earth-shattering about it at all. Most govt officials at all levels are against the display of initiative because they’re scared of being marked by Vigilance Dept officials & hence they do not want to rock the boat. They always say that since they have only a few more months left in service, they would prefer to defer the difficult decision-making to their successors.
And will someone tell this chap that India’s greatest enemies are within India & not abroad:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_Kpq9wg_EAY
Here is one prominent example of an imbecile who can singlehandly destroy all of the Indian MEA’s good-neighbourly policy initiatives:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LdV-LFu3zoY
To my eternal regret, he also happens to be a Bengali, thereby bringing into disrepute that entire community. If such entities become decision-makers, then India will truly be beyond both hope & despair!!! Lastly, I don’t have any Twitter account & prefer to stay away from multimedia-related banter.
To KANE1966: All that was revealed here:
http://trishul-trident.blogspot.com/2018/10/iafs-almaz-antey-s-400-triumf-adms.html
To AMIT BISWAS: PLAGF Mengshi 122mm SPH used for Highland Warfare along India's & Myanmar's Northeast:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=38VYT_23430
Prasunda,
Thanks for your prompt replies, highlights & information snippets. Enlightenment not only on defence but an India update as well about our various Refusing to Develop or Hun Nahi Sudhrenge SNAFU shenanigans.
Ofcoirse the Tripura CM suffers from the usual Chaaplus Flattery syndrome which has destroyed better parties than the BJP. BUT HE WAS JOKING, NOT TO BE TAKEN SERIOUSLY.😆😆😆
This OTOH is much more shameful - Bangladesh closing its Borders with India because of our increasing covid crisis over-load. Bangladesh with a higher population density has out perfotmed us again & shown India a mirror.
This you tube video & Bangladesh closing it's borders to India should be lesson enough for Indians to read the writing on the wall about the incompetence, whataboutery & chaaploosi prevalent across the political spectrum alongwith political management & hubris / insensitivity with the NETA leadership being in election mode all the time & little governance.
https://youtu.be/Vu2ryLPOME4
(posdibly husband of FM)
https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/bangladesh-closes-border-with-india-amid-rise-in-covid-19-cases/article34407522.ece
https://youtu.be/CJ3p-JA4Gyw
Hi Prasunji,
-If Biden Administration applied the CAASTA Sanctions on India, then what they would be?
-Which engines can replace the GE F404 engine in Tejas MK1 and Tejas MK1A program?
Thanks & Regards
Hardik Thanki
Any idea how the raw material supply line for SII and bharatbiotech has been restored.Did india use any leverage of vaccine raw materials required by pfizer/moderna raised through Respective NSA.
Bhai covid positivity is directly proportional to testing numbers ... Check the testing numbers for states ... For every positive case in interior india many are going unreported because testing wasn't done
And do ask Shravan Rathod of Nadeem Shravan duo, what happened in the Kumbh ... You will need a direct line to a moksh prapt person though
Prasun da, you rightly blamed Kumbh mela, political rallies and New year. But the fact is that it is a total failure of Central govt and state govts. Also you perhaps conveniently forgot to mention the arathiya protests around Delhi which was a major contributor to the current surge in Delhi. Outside of Maharashtra, situation was pretty much under control in February. Also, complacency of people at large is the biggest reason behind this.
To HARDIK THANKI: If the sanctions are applied, you can rest assured that they will targeted in a way that causes the maximum harm to India. And they will affect not only US-origin weapons/platforms, but also Israel-origin weapons/platforms.
To ABHISHEK GUHA THAKURTA: Firstly, we need to know what was in short-supply. This is the list: The long list of raw materials that SII imports from the US include filters, bags, and adjuvant. Large, sterile plastic bags are used to grow vaccine cells. An adjuvant is a substance that is used to increase the efficacy of a vaccine and helps the immune system generate antibodies. While vaccine manufacturers can establish a fresh supply chain for raw materials like filters and sterile plastic bags, the disruption in the supply of adjuvant could hamper production for a longer period. Authorised vaccines are made with a certain adjuvant and any change in the vendor of that adjuvant would lead to fresh clinical trials and approvals.
Under the auspices of the QUAD partnership, all outstanding issues were resolved.
To PRATAP: I have repeatedly stated that ANY kind/form of large gatherings is against all laid-down public health safety protocols. It was therefore the responsibility of both Central & State Govts to ensure that such gatherings never took place. But states like Uttarakhand wanted to make financial gains from events like Maha Kumbh Mela. Similar was the case in Maharashtra during Maha Shivratri & Holi. Even the farmers’ protests could easily have been terminated very early in the month of January 2021 since they were clearly acts of deliberate civil disobedience that is not permitted either by India’s Constitution or by the 1861 Police Act.
Hi Prasunda
Can you help identify what this is or was
It's obviously a target practise craft but what exactly was this
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/40325/help-us-identify-this-mysterious-sr-71-looking-tow-target
Prasun,
http://idrw.org/pakistan-court-asks-india-to-cooperate-in-jadhav-case/#more-254167-- where is the whole Jadhav espisode heading to.. If we cannot extract him .. the least we can do is hurt pakis reaal bad . that atleast bring a smile to his face...
I doubt anything short of repatriation to his family will bring him a smile.
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